When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
53 games · 2025 · Week 5 · pick one to list those games
47% went over. Of the 25 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 20% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 19% of games.
All 53 games
2025 · Week 5 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 5 |
BYU -6.5 | 48.5 | 17243845 | U | COLO Q1 | 24–21 |
2025 · Week 5 |
LT -3.5 | 47.5 | 771041 | U | LT Q1 | 30–11 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MRSH -1.5 | 48.5 | 6345482105 | Q3 | UL Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
51–54 |
2025 · Week 5 |
SC -6.5 | 46.5 | 17384148 | Q4 | SC Q2 | 13–35 |
2025 · Week 5 |
PSU -4.5 | 52.5 | 06133454 | OT | ORE Q1 Late over |
30–24 |
2025 · Week 5 |
UGA -2.5 | 52.5 | 7384545 | U | ALA Q1 | 24–21 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MIZ -44.5 | 56.5 | 20274148 | U | MASS Q1 | 6–42 |
2025 · Week 5 |
CSU -6.5 | 48.5 | 13232323 | U | WSU Q1 | 20–3 |
2025 · Week 5 |
STAN -3.5 | 49.5 | 17343459 | Q4 | SJSU Q1 Lead lost |
29–30 |
2025 · Week 5 |
BOIS -17.5 | 59.5 | 14314761 | Q4 | BOIS Q3 | 14–47 |
2025 · Week 5 |
ISU -4.5 | 48.5 | 8295053 | Q3 | ISU Q1 | 14–39 |
2025 · Week 5 |
NCSU -10.5 | 56.5 | 10203444 | U | VT Q1 | 23–21 |
2025 · Week 5 |
USM -5.5 | 55.5 | 17244667 | Q4 | USM Q1 Late over |
25–42 |
2025 · Week 5 |
WKU -3.5 | 59.5 | 0194049 | U | WKU Q3 | 27–22 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MEM -13.5 | 62.5 | 17334381 | Q4 | MEM Q4 Late cover flip |
55–26 |
2025 · Week 5 |
WMU -8.5 | 44.5 | 10385161 | Q3 | WMU Q2 | 14–47 |
2025 · Week 5 |
KENN -7.5 | 54.5 | 24313140 | U | KENN Q1 | 16–24 |
2025 · Week 5 |
ODU -14.5 | 53.5 | 0142128 | U | LIB Q1 | 7–21 |
2025 · Week 5 |
TENN -7.5 | 63.5 | 1734446875 | Q4 | MSST Q1 Late over Lead lost |
41–34 |
2025 · Week 5 |
UNM -17.5 | 53.5 | 14314158 | Q4 | UNM Q4 | 20–38 |
2025 · Week 5 |
AFA -6.5 | 52.5 | 21243879 | Q4 | HAW Q1 | 44–35 |
2025 · Week 5 |
TULN -14.5 | 52.5 | 14384545 | U | TULN Q3 | 31–14 |
2025 · Week 5 |
OSU -9.5 | 52.5 | 0102030 | U | OSU Q4 | 24–6 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MISS -3.5 | 58.5 | 10243043 | U | MISS Q2 | 19–24 |
2025 · Week 5 |
TA&M -6.5 | 51.5 | 7161626 | U | AUB Q4 | 10–16 |
2025 · Week 5 |
IU -8.5 | 47.5 | 10202035 | U | IOWA Q1 | 20–15 |
2025 · Week 5 |
NU -6.5 | 46.5 | 3202331 | U | UCLA Q4 | 14–17 |
2025 · Week 5 |
BC -6.5 | 54.5 | 21313152 | U | CAL Q2 Lead lost |
28–24 |
2025 · Week 5 |
BAY -21.5 | 58.5 | 14486272 | Q3 | OKST Q1 | 45–27 |
2025 · Week 5 |
UTAH -12.5 | 46.5 | 14284562 | Q4 | UTAH Q1 | 48–14 |
2025 · Week 5 |
CONN -2.5 | 51.5 | 0142737 | U | CONN Q3 | 20–17 |
2025 · Week 5 |
SDSU -1.5 | 42.5 | 3669 | U | SDSU Q4 Late cover flip |
6–3 |
2025 · Week 5 |
NAVY -14.5 | 45.5 | 7141734 | U | RICE Q1 | 13–21 |
2025 · Week 5 |
TOL -22.5 | 49.5 | 14384148 | U | TOL Q2 | 3–45 |
2025 · Week 5 |
M-OH -22.5 | 49.5 | 7173138 | U | M-OH Q3 | 0–38 |
2025 · Week 5 |
ULM -1.5 | 55.5 | 10243444 | U | ULM Q2 | 16–28 |
2025 · Week 5 |
JMU -16.5 | 54.5 | 7244545 | U | JMU Q2 | 10–35 |
2025 · Week 5 |
CMU -3.5 | 55.5 | 17273437 | U | CMU Q1 | 13–24 |
2025 · Week 5 |
VAN -24.5 | 58.5 | 14526990 | Q3 | USU Q4 Late cover flip |
35–55 |
2025 · Week 5 |
GT -11.5 | 53.5 | 320374659 | OT | WAKE Q1 Late over Lead lost |
30–29 |
2025 · Week 5 |
USC -6.5 | 62.5 | 14244166 | Q4 | ILL Q1 Late over |
32–34 |
2025 · Week 5 |
ND -5.5 | 62.5 | 17556269 | Q4 | ND Q1 | 56–13 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MINN -3.5 | 51.5 | 7354559 | Q4 | RUTG Q1 Lead lost |
28–31 |
2025 · Week 5 |
DUKE -3.5 | 59.5 | 13273441 | U | DUKE Q1 | 38–3 |
2025 · Week 5 |
LOU -3.5 | 52.5 | 17444761 | Q4 | LOU Q4 | 34–27 |
2025 · Week 5 |
KU -4.5 | 57.5 | 14335771 | Q4 | CIN Q1 Late over |
37–34 |
2025 · Week 5 |
KSU -5.5 | 48.5 | 0244854 | Q4 | KSU Q2 | 20–34 |
2025 · Week 5 |
UNT -11.5 | 63.5 | 14214258 | U | UNT Q3 Late cover flip |
22–36 |
2025 · Week 5 |
OHIO -7.5 | 49.5 | 24344155 | Q4 | OHIO Q2 | 20–35 |
2025 · Week 5 |
HOU -11.5 | 48.5 | 724274851 | OT | ORST Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 53% 28
Q2 17% 9
Q3 11% 6
Q4 19% 10
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 80% and covered 76% of 46 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 82% and covered 76% of 50 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 5 | 100% 5 |
| 1–3 | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 4–7 | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 8–10 | 6 | 33% 2 |
| 11–14 | 4 | 50% 2 |
| 15–17 | 4 | 75% 3 |
| 18–21 | 4 | 50% 2 |
| 22+ | 22 | 14% 3 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.