When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
48 games · 2024 · Week 6 · pick one to list those games
56% went over. Of the 27 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 52% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 17% of games.
All 48 games
2024 · Week 6 · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 6 |
ARIZ -5.5 | 62.5 | 10213450 | U | TTU Q1 Lead lost |
28–22 |
2024 · Week 6 |
MIA -8.5 | 53.5 | 14315377 | Q4 | CAL Q1 Lead lost |
39–38 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ASU -2.5 | 48.5 | 14283166 | Q4 | ASU Q4 | 31–35 |
2024 · Week 6 |
SDSU -1.5 | 48.5 | 6273751 | Q4 | SDSU Q2 | 24–27 |
2024 · Week 6 |
UCF -1.5 | 60.5 | 10273037 | U | FLA Q1 | 13–24 |
2024 · Week 6 |
TENN -14.5 | 57.5 | 332433 | U | ARK Q1 Lead lost |
14–19 |
2024 · Week 6 |
WASH -1.5 | 39.5 | 7243144 | Q4 | WASH Q4 | 17–27 |
2024 · Week 6 |
USC -9.5 | 44.5 | 3202741 | U | MINN Q1 | 17–24 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ISU -12.5 | 45.5 | 10335464 | Q3 | ISU Q4 | 21–43 |
2024 · Week 6 |
SJSU -7.5 | 51.5 | 14425666 | Q3 | NEV Q1 Lead lost |
31–35 |
2024 · Week 6 |
CLEM -16.5 | 46.5 | 17303042 | U | FSU Q2 | 29–13 |
2024 · Week 6 |
BOIS -27.5 | 66.5 | 17667992 | Q3 | BOIS Q2 | 30–62 |
2024 · Week 6 |
CCU -4.5 | 51.5 | 14385982 | Q3 | CCU Q3 | 37–45 |
2024 · Week 6 |
USA -2.5 | 62.5 | 391934 | U | ARST Q1 | 16–18 |
2024 · Week 6 |
JMU -16.5 | 47.5 | 10272740 | U | ULM Q1 | 19–21 |
2024 · Week 6 |
UL -16.5 | 56.5 | 3303336 | U | USM Q1 | 23–13 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ORST -10.5 | 47.5 | 724244870 | Q4 | CSU Q1 Late over |
31–39 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ALA -22.5 | 53.5 | 20375875 | Q3 | VAN Q1 | 35–40 |
2024 · Week 6 |
NEB -5.5 | 40.5 | 7141421 | U | NEB Q1 | 7–14 |
2024 · Week 6 |
OKST -2.5 | 64.5 | 10383852 | U | WVU Q1 | 38–14 |
2024 · Week 6 |
OSU -17.5 | 45.5 | 772842 | U | OSU Q3 | 7–35 |
2024 · Week 6 |
UGA -21.5 | 49.5 | 10173144 | U | AUB Q1 | 13–31 |
2024 · Week 6 |
MISS -10.5 | 51.5 | 14273030 | U | MISS Q1 | 27–3 |
2024 · Week 6 |
IU -12.5 | 38.5 | 7274165 | Q3 | IU Q4 Late cover flip |
41–24 |
2024 · Week 6 |
CONN -17.5 | 48.5 | 3162949 | Q4 | TEM Q1 Late over Lead lost |
20–29 |
2024 · Week 6 |
VT -9.5 | 49.5 | 7142838 | U | VT Q2 | 31–7 |
2024 · Week 6 |
MRSH -3.5 | 56.5 | 10456289 | Q3 | MRSH Q1 | 37–52 |
2024 · Week 6 |
TOL -5.5 | 43.5 | 17263650 | Q4 | TOL Q1 | 20–30 |
2024 · Week 6 |
BGSU -16.5 | 48.5 | 17272747 | U | AKR Q1 | 27–20 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ECU -8.5 | 47.5 | 17415179 | Q3 | CLT Q1 | 24–55 |
2024 · Week 6 |
WMU -10.5 | 57.5 | 35426687 | Q3 | BALL Q1 | 45–42 |
2024 · Week 6 |
TULN -18.5 | 51.5 | 26436391 | Q3 | TULN Q2 | 71–20 |
2024 · Week 6 |
PSU -29.5 | 47.5 | 0172738 | U | UCLA Q1 | 11–27 |
2024 · Week 6 |
TA&M -2.5 | 46.5 | 10244151 | Q4 | TA&M Q1 | 10–41 |
2024 · Week 6 |
LOU -6.5 | 55.5 | 24375461 | Q4 | SMU Q1 | 34–27 |
2024 · Week 6 |
WIS -11.5 | 45.5 | 14274858 | Q3 | WIS Q1 | 6–52 |
2024 · Week 6 |
NIU -13.5 | 40.5 | 14202654 | Q4 | NIU Q4 Late over |
20–34 |
2024 · Week 6 |
UVA -1.5 | 53.5 | 7202038 | U | UVA Q4 | 14–24 |
2024 · Week 6 |
PITT -2.5 | 61.5 | 10344858 | U | PITT Q4 | 34–24 |
2024 · Week 6 |
NCSU -4.5 | 52.5 | 13334364 | Q4 | WAKE Q1 Lead lost |
34–30 |
2024 · Week 6 |
NAVY -9.5 | 37.5 | 14283441 | Q4 | NAVY Q1 | 34–7 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ARMY -13.5 | 50.5 | 14284956 | Q4 | ARMY Q2 | 49–7 |
2024 · Week 6 |
ORE -21.5 | 52.5 | 7212441 | U | MSU Q4 Late cover flip |
10–31 |
2024 · Week 6 |
UNLV -5.5 | 54.5 | 1438627685 | Q3 | SYR Q1 | 44–41 |
2024 · Week 6 |
TCU -16.5 | 51.5 | 7303649 | U | HOU Q1 | 30–19 |
2024 · Week 6 |
JXST -17.5 | 49.5 | 10385987 | Q3 | JXST Q3 | 63–24 |
2024 · Week 6 |
SHSU -9.5 | 49.5 | 7245262 | Q3 | SHSU Q2 | 41–21 |
2024 · Week 6 |
TXST -14.5 | 55.5 | 14385555 | U | TXST Q2 | 38–17 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 60% 29
Q2 17% 8
Q3 6% 3
Q4 17% 8
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 91% and covered 74% of 43 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 79% and covered 65% of 43 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 14 | 100% 14 |
| 1–3 | 4 | 75% 3 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 18–21 | 7 | 29% 2 |
| 22+ | 13 | 8% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.