When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

55 games · 2024 · Week 12 · pick one to list those games
47% went over. Of the 26 overs, 4% had cashed by halftime and 19% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 20% of games.

All 55 games

2024 · Week 12 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2024 · Week 12
UNLV -19.5 54.5 7345161 Q4 UNLV Q2 20–41
2024 · Week 12
BYU -2.5 55.5 7202330 U KU Q4 17–13
2024 · Week 12
WSU -11.5 71.5 21425673 Q4 UNM Q3
Late over
35–38
2024 · Week 12
UNC -10.5 64.5 3134155 U WAKE Q1 24–31
2024 · Week 12
ISU -7.5 52.5 14203051 U ISU Q3
Late cover flip
17–34
2024 · Week 12
MEM -17.5 60.5 11263671 Q4 MEM Q4
Late over
18–53
2024 · Week 12
TA&M -38.5 54.5 17243141 U NMSU Q1 3–38
2024 · Week 12
ORE -13.5 49.5 6161929 U WIS Q1 16–13
2024 · Week 12
UGA -7.5 46.5 10344148 Q4 UGA Q4
Late cover flip Late over
17–31
2024 · Week 12
BOIS -14.5 61.5 7284963 Q4 BOIS Q4
Late cover flip Late over
42–21
2024 · Week 12
KSU -7.5 51.5 7213038 U ASU Q1 24–14
2024 · Week 12
UL -6.5 60.5 7273046 U USA Q1 24–22
2024 · Week 12
TXST -27.5 55.5 21375461 Q4 TXST Q2 3–58
2024 · Week 12
MD -4.5 54.5 3243848 U RUTG Q1 31–17
2024 · Week 12
GAST -2.5 58.5 14143147 U ARST Q1 27–20
2024 · Week 12
SC -10.5 42.5 13273364 Q4 MIZ Q3 30–34
2024 · Week 12
USC -6.5 50.5 14284148 U USC Q4
Late cover flip
20–28
2024 · Week 12
BAY -1.5 57.5 21636384 Q2 BAY Q1 49–35
2024 · Week 12
GASO -7.5 53.5 7173148 U TROY Q1 28–20
2024 · Week 12
JMU -1.5 50.5 14455267 Q3 JMU Q3 35–32
2024 · Week 12
PSU -30.5 51.5 14244559 Q4 PSU Q3 49–10
2024 · Week 12
ND -21.5 51.5 7284249 U UVA Q4
Late cover flip
14–35
2024 · Week 12
SMU -19.5 53.5 10345266 Q4 BC Q1 28–38
2024 · Week 12
LOU -20.5 57.5 17344973 Q4 STAN Q1
Lead lost
35–38
2024 · Week 12
LSU -2.5 55.5 7202643 U FLA Q1 16–27
2024 · Week 12
ORST -2.5 44.5 7141428 U AFA Q1 0–28
2024 · Week 12
CLT -1.5 53.5 14246283 Q3 USF Q1 59–24
2024 · Week 12
CAL -10.5 57.5 6344458 Q4 SYR Q1
Late over
33–25
2024 · Week 12
SHSU -20.5 43.5 06203440 U KENN Q1 23–17
2024 · Week 12
HAW -2.5 61.5 17274865 Q4 USU Q1 10–55
2024 · Week 12
ILL -1.5 47.5 20304054 Q4 ILL Q1
Late over
16–38
MER @ ALA
2024 · Week 12
ALA -42.5 58.5 14384559 Q4 ALA Q4
Late cover flip Late over
7–52
2024 · Week 12
JXST -12.5 58.5 6374465 Q4 FIU Q1 31–34
2024 · Week 12
TEM -2.5 50.5 310133033 U TEM OT 15–18
MUR @ UK
2024 · Week 12
UK -41.5 54.5 14243754 U UK Q4
Late cover flip
6–48
2024 · Week 12
MRSH -7.5 56.5 10243150 U MRSH Q2 19–31
2024 · Week 12
AUB -25.5 45.5 10244562 Q4 AUB Q3 14–48
2024 · Week 12
OSU -29.5 44.5 0283838 U NU Q1 31–7
2024 · Week 12
TEX -13.5 56.5 7102030 U ARK Q1 20–10
2024 · Week 12
COLO -13.5 43.5 17304473 Q3 COLO Q4
Late cover flip
24–49
2024 · Week 12
CLEM -12.5 50.5 14242444 U PITT Q1 24–20
2024 · Week 12
TULN -7.5 48.5 7142135 U TULN Q2 35–0
2024 · Week 12
LIB -16.5 52.5 727345669 Q4 MASS Q1
Late over Lead lost
35–34
2024 · Week 12
WKU -11.5 52.5 3161619 U LT Q1 12–7
2024 · Week 12
ARIZ -1.5 46.5 7133030 U ARIZ Q1 3–27
2024 · Week 12
WASH -5.5 47.5 7243050 Q4 WASH Q4
Late over
19–31
2024 · Week 12
CSU -7.5 46.5 14203434 U CSU Q1 10–24
2024 · Week 12
UTSA -1.5 71.5 14345075 Q4 UTSA Q1
Late over
27–48
2024 · Week 12
ECU -16.5 63.5 10344869 Q4 TLSA Q1
Late over Lead lost
38–31
2024 · Week 12
M-OH -30.5 45.5 17243841 U KENT Q1 7–34

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 56% 31
Q2 11% 6
Q3 13% 7
Q4 18% 10
OT 2% 1
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 65% of 46 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 84% and covered 73% of 51 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over5100% 5
1–33100% 3
4–7580% 4
8–10650% 3
11–14667% 4
15–17650% 3
18–21367% 2
22+2110% 2
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.