When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
55 games · 2024 · Week 12 · pick one to list those games
47% went over. Of the 26 overs, 4% had cashed by halftime and 19% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 20% of games.
All 55 games
2024 · Week 12 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 12 |
UNLV -19.5 | 54.5 | 7345161 | Q4 | UNLV Q2 | 20–41 |
2024 · Week 12 |
BYU -2.5 | 55.5 | 7202330 | U | KU Q4 | 17–13 |
2024 · Week 12 |
WSU -11.5 | 71.5 | 21425673 | Q4 | UNM Q3 Late over |
35–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
UNC -10.5 | 64.5 | 3134155 | U | WAKE Q1 | 24–31 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ISU -7.5 | 52.5 | 14203051 | U | ISU Q3 Late cover flip |
17–34 |
2024 · Week 12 |
MEM -17.5 | 60.5 | 11263671 | Q4 | MEM Q4 Late over |
18–53 |
2024 · Week 12 |
TA&M -38.5 | 54.5 | 17243141 | U | NMSU Q1 | 3–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ORE -13.5 | 49.5 | 6161929 | U | WIS Q1 | 16–13 |
2024 · Week 12 |
UGA -7.5 | 46.5 | 10344148 | Q4 | UGA Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
17–31 |
2024 · Week 12 |
BOIS -14.5 | 61.5 | 7284963 | Q4 | BOIS Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
42–21 |
2024 · Week 12 |
KSU -7.5 | 51.5 | 7213038 | U | ASU Q1 | 24–14 |
2024 · Week 12 |
UL -6.5 | 60.5 | 7273046 | U | USA Q1 | 24–22 |
2024 · Week 12 |
TXST -27.5 | 55.5 | 21375461 | Q4 | TXST Q2 | 3–58 |
2024 · Week 12 |
MD -4.5 | 54.5 | 3243848 | U | RUTG Q1 | 31–17 |
2024 · Week 12 |
GAST -2.5 | 58.5 | 14143147 | U | ARST Q1 | 27–20 |
2024 · Week 12 |
SC -10.5 | 42.5 | 13273364 | Q4 | MIZ Q3 | 30–34 |
2024 · Week 12 |
USC -6.5 | 50.5 | 14284148 | U | USC Q4 Late cover flip |
20–28 |
2024 · Week 12 |
BAY -1.5 | 57.5 | 21636384 | Q2 | BAY Q1 | 49–35 |
2024 · Week 12 |
GASO -7.5 | 53.5 | 7173148 | U | TROY Q1 | 28–20 |
2024 · Week 12 |
JMU -1.5 | 50.5 | 14455267 | Q3 | JMU Q3 | 35–32 |
2024 · Week 12 |
PSU -30.5 | 51.5 | 14244559 | Q4 | PSU Q3 | 49–10 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ND -21.5 | 51.5 | 7284249 | U | UVA Q4 Late cover flip |
14–35 |
2024 · Week 12 |
SMU -19.5 | 53.5 | 10345266 | Q4 | BC Q1 | 28–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
LOU -20.5 | 57.5 | 17344973 | Q4 | STAN Q1 Lead lost |
35–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
LSU -2.5 | 55.5 | 7202643 | U | FLA Q1 | 16–27 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ORST -2.5 | 44.5 | 7141428 | U | AFA Q1 | 0–28 |
2024 · Week 12 |
CLT -1.5 | 53.5 | 14246283 | Q3 | USF Q1 | 59–24 |
2024 · Week 12 |
CAL -10.5 | 57.5 | 6344458 | Q4 | SYR Q1 Late over |
33–25 |
2024 · Week 12 |
SHSU -20.5 | 43.5 | 06203440 | U | KENN Q1 | 23–17 |
2024 · Week 12 |
HAW -2.5 | 61.5 | 17274865 | Q4 | USU Q1 | 10–55 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ILL -1.5 | 47.5 | 20304054 | Q4 | ILL Q1 Late over |
16–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ALA -42.5 | 58.5 | 14384559 | Q4 | ALA Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
7–52 |
2024 · Week 12 |
JXST -12.5 | 58.5 | 6374465 | Q4 | FIU Q1 | 31–34 |
2024 · Week 12 |
TEM -2.5 | 50.5 | 310133033 | U | TEM OT | 15–18 |
2024 · Week 12 |
UK -41.5 | 54.5 | 14243754 | U | UK Q4 Late cover flip |
6–48 |
2024 · Week 12 |
MRSH -7.5 | 56.5 | 10243150 | U | MRSH Q2 | 19–31 |
2024 · Week 12 |
AUB -25.5 | 45.5 | 10244562 | Q4 | AUB Q3 | 14–48 |
2024 · Week 12 |
OSU -29.5 | 44.5 | 0283838 | U | NU Q1 | 31–7 |
2024 · Week 12 |
TEX -13.5 | 56.5 | 7102030 | U | ARK Q1 | 20–10 |
2024 · Week 12 |
COLO -13.5 | 43.5 | 17304473 | Q3 | COLO Q4 Late cover flip |
24–49 |
2024 · Week 12 |
CLEM -12.5 | 50.5 | 14242444 | U | PITT Q1 | 24–20 |
2024 · Week 12 |
TULN -7.5 | 48.5 | 7142135 | U | TULN Q2 | 35–0 |
2024 · Week 12 |
LIB -16.5 | 52.5 | 727345669 | Q4 | MASS Q1 Late over Lead lost |
35–34 |
2024 · Week 12 |
WKU -11.5 | 52.5 | 3161619 | U | LT Q1 | 12–7 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ARIZ -1.5 | 46.5 | 7133030 | U | ARIZ Q1 | 3–27 |
2024 · Week 12 |
WASH -5.5 | 47.5 | 7243050 | Q4 | WASH Q4 Late over |
19–31 |
2024 · Week 12 |
CSU -7.5 | 46.5 | 14203434 | U | CSU Q1 | 10–24 |
2024 · Week 12 |
UTSA -1.5 | 71.5 | 14345075 | Q4 | UTSA Q1 Late over |
27–48 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ECU -16.5 | 63.5 | 10344869 | Q4 | TLSA Q1 Late over Lead lost |
38–31 |
2024 · Week 12 |
M-OH -30.5 | 45.5 | 17243841 | U | KENT Q1 | 7–34 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 56% 31
Q2 11% 6
Q3 13% 7
Q4 18% 10
OT 2% 1
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 65% of 46 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 84% and covered 73% of 51 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 5 | 100% 5 |
| 1–3 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 5 | 80% 4 |
| 8–10 | 6 | 50% 3 |
| 11–14 | 6 | 67% 4 |
| 15–17 | 6 | 50% 3 |
| 18–21 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 22+ | 21 | 10% 2 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.