When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
49 games · 2024 · Week 10 · pick one to list those games
63% went over. Of the 31 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 39% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 12% of games.
All 49 games
2024 · Week 10 · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 10 |
SMU -7.5 | 54.5 | 10344573 | Q4 | SMU Q2 | 25–48 |
2024 · Week 10 |
BAY -2.5 | 62.5 | 14304771 | Q4 | BAY Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
34–37 |
2024 · Week 10 |
CSU -2.5 | 45.5 | 14173559 | Q4 | CSU Q1 | 38–21 |
2024 · Week 10 |
TENN -17.5 | 45.5 | 7173146 | Q4 | UK Q1 Late over |
18–28 |
2024 · Week 10 |
TA&M -3.5 | 43.5 | 17405064 | Q3 | SC Q1 | 20–44 |
2024 · Week 10 |
CLEM -11.5 | 62.5 | 10243354 | U | LOU Q1 | 33–21 |
2024 · Week 10 |
IOWA -2.5 | 40.5 | 3173152 | Q4 | IOWA Q2 | 10–42 |
2024 · Week 10 |
USC -2.5 | 55.5 | 10274147 | U | WASH Q1 | 21–26 |
2024 · Week 10 |
USA -5.5 | 59.5 | 10274464 | Q4 | GASO Q4 | 34–30 |
2024 · Week 10 |
FRES -12.5 | 44.5 | 14202741 | U | HAW Q4 Lead lost |
21–20 |
2024 · Week 10 |
MSST -18.5 | 58.5 | 10314565 | Q4 | MSST Q3 Late over |
20–45 |
2024 · Week 10 |
UNM -7.5 | 60.5 | 27708094 | Q2 | WYO Q4 Lead lost |
49–45 |
2024 · Week 10 |
CCU -3.5 | 51.5 | 14355962 | Q3 | TROY Q1 | 24–38 |
2024 · Week 10 |
NAVY -13.5 | 49.5 | 14243134 | U | RICE Q1 | 10–24 |
2024 · Week 10 |
ORE -14.5 | 45.5 | 14384855 | Q3 | ORE Q4 Late cover flip |
38–17 |
2024 · Week 10 |
UGA -14.5 | 52.5 | 3193354 | Q4 | FLA Q1 Late over |
20–34 |
2024 · Week 10 |
ISU -14.5 | 55.5 | 13233045 | U | TTU Q1 | 23–22 |
2024 · Week 10 |
IU -7.5 | 53.5 | 10314357 | Q4 | IU Q2 | 47–10 |
2024 · Week 10 |
KSU -9.5 | 44.5 | 3262943 | U | HOU Q1 Lead lost |
19–24 |
2024 · Week 10 |
NEB -8.5 | 39.5 | 3204147 | Q3 | UCLA Q1 | 27–20 |
2024 · Week 10 |
UNC -2.5 | 50.5 | 3173946 | U | UNC Q2 | 35–11 |
2024 · Week 10 |
ASU -4.5 | 56.5 | 7354263 | Q4 | ASU Q1 Late over |
42–21 |
2024 · Week 10 |
UCF -5.5 | 54.5 | 14416168 | Q3 | UCF Q1 | 12–56 |
2024 · Week 10 |
UTEP -1.5 | 48.5 | 6202633 | U | MTSU Q1 | 20–13 |
2024 · Week 10 |
MRSH -10.5 | 47.5 | 14282851 | Q4 | ULM Q1 Late over |
23–28 |
2024 · Week 10 |
ODU -2.5 | 58.5 | 10314148 | U | APP Q3 | 20–28 |
2024 · Week 10 |
UAB -2.5 | 57.5 | 21527380 | Q3 | UAB Q1 | 21–59 |
2024 · Week 10 |
AUB -7.5 | 47.5 | 7141724 | U | VAN Q1 | 17–7 |
2024 · Week 10 |
OSU -3.5 | 47.5 | 17243033 | U | OSU Q2 | 20–13 |
2024 · Week 10 |
MIA -19.5 | 53.5 | 21386084 | Q3 | MIA Q4 | 31–53 |
2024 · Week 10 |
MISS -7.5 | 54.5 | 10458094 | Q3 | MISS Q2 | 63–31 |
2024 · Week 10 |
ARMY -18.5 | 38.5 | 391623 | U | AFA Q1 | 3–20 |
2024 · Week 10 |
MINN -2.5 | 47.5 | 3232642 | U | MINN Q1 | 25–17 |
 ME @  OU2024 · Week 10 |
OU -37.5 | 47.5 | 14425673 | Q3 | OU Q3 | 14–59 |
2024 · Week 10 |
PUR -3.5 | 44.5 | 1327304046 | OT | NU Q1 Late over |
26–20 |
2024 · Week 10 |
NCSU -9.5 | 46.5 | 21457387 | Q3 | NCSU Q2 | 28–59 |
2024 · Week 10 |
VT -3.5 | 50.5 | 1417396269 | Q4 | SYR Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–38 |
2024 · Week 10 |
BUFF -2.5 | 47.5 | 21314571 | Q4 | BUFF Q1 | 41–30 |
2024 · Week 10 |
TOL -10.5 | 54.5 | 7172657 | Q4 | EMU Q1 Late over |
29–28 |
2024 · Week 10 |
MEM -7.5 | 61.5 | 24485880 | Q4 | UTSA Q1 | 36–44 |
2024 · Week 10 |
BOIS -24.5 | 57.5 | 21455280 | Q4 | BOIS Q2 | 24–56 |
2024 · Week 10 |
USF -1.5 | 47.5 | 7215265 | Q3 | USF Q3 | 44–21 |
2024 · Week 10 |
CONN -7.5 | 48.5 | 10233361 | Q4 | GAST Q2 Late cover flip |
27–34 |
2024 · Week 10 |
TULN -14.5 | 54.5 | 3132337 | U | TULN Q3 | 34–3 |
2024 · Week 10 |
WKU -23.5 | 49.5 | 28313145 | U | KENN Q1 | 14–31 |
2024 · Week 10 |
LIB -2.5 | 63.5 | 14283852 | U | JXST Q1 | 31–21 |
2024 · Week 10 |
SHSU -10.5 | 45.5 | 551212 | U | LT Q1 | 3–9 |
2024 · Week 10 |
TXST -3.5 | 61.5 | 13203140 | U | UL Q1 | 23–17 |
2024 · Week 10 |
FIU -7.5 | 43.5 | 0132647 | Q4 | FIU Q3 Late over |
13–34 |
PITT
SMU
TCU
BAY
CSU
NEV
UK
TENN
TA&M
SC
LOU
CLEM
WIS
IOWA
USC
WASH
GASO
USA
HAW
FRES
MASS
MSST
WYO
UNM
CCU
TROY
NAVY
RICE
ORE
MICH
FLA
UGA
TTU
ISU
IU
MSU
KSU
HOU
UCLA
NEB
UNC
FSU
ASU
OKST
ARIZ
UCF
MTSU
UTEP
ULM
MRSH
ODU
APP
TLSA
UAB
VAN
AUB
OSU
PSU
DUKE
MIA
MISS
ARK
AFA
ARMY
MINN
ILL
NU
PUR
STAN
NCSU
VT
SYR
BUFF
AKR
TOL
EMU
MEM
UTSA
SDSU
BOIS
USF
FAU
GAST
CONN
TULN
CLT
KENN
WKU
JXST
LIB
LT
SHSU
UL
TXST
NMSU
FIUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 55% 27
Q2 18% 9
Q3 14% 7
Q4 12% 6
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 71% and covered 74% of 42 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 83% and covered 72% of 47 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 12 | 100% 12 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 11–14 | 5 | 80% 4 |
| 15–17 | 8 | 75% 6 |
| 18–21 | 8 | 38% 3 |
| 22+ | 11 | 9% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.