When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
874 games · 2024 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 457 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 35% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
Went over in Q4: 287 games
2024 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
PSU -1.5 | 45.5 | 0132051 | Q4 | ND Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2024 · Postseason |
MISS -14.5 | 50.5 | 14314572 | Q4 | MISS Q2 | 20–52 |
2024 · Postseason |
BAY -2.5 | 62.5 | 14515875 | Q4 | LSU Q1 | 31–44 |
2024 · Postseason |
M-OH -1.5 | 42.5 | 9123960 | Q4 | M-OH Q1 | 43–17 |
2024 · Postseason |
TA&M -3.5 | 56.5 | 7143866 | Q4 | USC Q4 Late over Lead lost |
35–31 |
2024 · Postseason |
GT -2.5 | 48.5 | 7243462 | Q4 | VAN Q1 | 27–35 |
2024 · Postseason |
PITT -6.5 | 48.5 | 832436094 | Q4 | TOL Q1 | 46–48 |
2024 · Postseason |
UTSA -13.5 | 56.5 | 0212759 | Q4 | UTSA Q2 Late over |
44–15 |
2024 · Postseason |
OSU -7.5 | 46.5 | 21314559 | Q4 | OSU Q1 | 17–42 |
2024 · Postseason |
TEX -13.5 | 49.5 | 14384862 | Q4 | TEX Q2 | 24–38 |
2024 · Postseason |
OHIO -5.5 | 56.5 | 21344157 | Q4 | JXST Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
30–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
GASO -3.5 | 48.5 | 7314057 | Q4 | SHSU Q1 Late over |
26–31 |
2024 · Postseason |
MEM -5.5 | 60.5 | 7455879 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip |
42–37 |
2024 · Week 16 |
ARMY -6.5 | 39.5 | 7213144 | Q4 | NAVY Q1 | 31–13 |
2024 · Week 15 |
SMU -2.5 | 56.5 | 28314565 | Q4 | CLEM Q1 Late over |
34–31 |
2024 · Week 15 |
TULN -4.5 | 46.5 | 7283549 | Q4 | ARMY Q1 Late over |
14–35 |
2024 · Week 15 |
JXST -4.5 | 58.5 | 17345064 | Q4 | JXST Q1 Late over |
12–52 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UNM -6.5 | 61.5 | 7304768 | Q4 | HAW Q1 Late over |
30–38 |
2024 · Week 14 |
BYU -9.5 | 39.5 | 14313448 | Q4 | BYU Q2 Late cover flip |
18–30 |
2024 · Week 14 |
VT -4.5 | 44.5 | 10234154 | Q4 | VT Q1 | 17–37 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ORE -17.5 | 50.5 | 10424970 | Q4 | ORE Q3 | 21–49 |
2024 · Week 14 |
IU -28.5 | 56.5 | 7284566 | Q4 | IU Q3 | 0–66 |
2024 · Week 14 |
PSU -26.5 | 50.5 | 10383851 | Q4 | PSU Q4 Late over |
7–44 |
2024 · Week 14 |
MIA -12.5 | 65.5 | 14356380 | Q4 | SYR Q2 | 38–42 |
2024 · Week 14 |
ASU -7.5 | 52.5 | 14354256 | Q4 | ASU Q1 | 49–7 |
2024 · Week 14 |
MSU -1.5 | 46.5 | 17303855 | Q4 | RUTG Q1 | 41–14 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UNC -2.5 | 54.5 | 7133365 | Q4 | NCSU Q4 Late over |
35–30 |
2024 · Week 14 |
BC -3.5 | 50.5 | 6304457 | Q4 | BC Q1 | 23–34 |
2024 · Week 14 |
FIU -9.5 | 50.5 | 14454559 | Q4 | FIU Q1 | 24–35 |
2024 · Week 14 |
GAST -0.5 | 52.5 | 7275075 | Q4 | CCU Q1 | 48–27 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TROY -17.5 | 48.5 | 18254572 | Q4 | TROY Q4 | 20–52 |
2024 · Week 14 |
USF -5.5 | 53.5 | 24344963 | Q4 | RICE Q1 Late over |
28–35 |
2024 · Week 14 |
LOU -3.5 | 48.5 | 7204155 | Q4 | LOU Q1 | 41–14 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TTU -2.5 | 61.5 | 9385167 | Q4 | TTU Q1 Late over |
15–52 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UL -8.5 | 50.5 | 9263660 | Q4 | UL Q4 Late over |
37–23 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UGA -17.5 | 48.5 | 317235486 | Q4 | GT Q1 Late over Lead lost |
42–44 |
2024 · Week 14 |
SJSU -2.5 | 54.5 | 3274465 | Q4 | SJSU Q2 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–34 |
2024 · Week 14 |
CSU -5.5 | 56.5 | 13294379 | Q4 | USU Q1 Lead lost |
37–42 |
2024 · Week 14 |
BGSU -3 | 37.5 | 7191940 | Q4 | M-OH Q1 Late over |
28–12 |
2024 · Week 14 |
OHIO -17.5 | 51.5 | 14284963 | Q4 | OHIO Q3 | 21–42 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TULN -12.5 | 54.5 | 17273458 | Q4 | MEM Q1 Late over |
34–24 |
2024 · Week 13 |
FRES -3.5 | 42.5 | 14354250 | Q4 | FRES Q2 Late over |
22–28 |
2024 · Week 13 |
KSU -7.5 | 54.5 | 10303656 | Q4 | KSU Q1 | 15–41 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ISU -3.5 | 42.5 | 10303759 | Q4 | UTAH Q4 Lead lost |
31–28 |
2024 · Week 13 |
WSU -10.5 | 55.5 | 14385579 | Q4 | ORST Q1 Lead lost |
38–41 |
2024 · Week 13 |
MIZ -9.5 | 57.5 | 24415159 | Q4 | MIZ Q2 | 39–20 |
 WOF @  SC2024 · Week 13 |
SC -42.5 | 49.5 | 10304468 | Q4 | SC Q4 Late cover flip |
12–56 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ARK -23.5 | 48.5 | 0142849 | Q4 | LT Q1 Late over |
14–35 |
2024 · Week 13 |
PSU -11.5 | 45.5 | 7354551 | Q4 | MINN Q1 | 26–25 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ASU -3.5 | 48.5 | 7244551 | Q4 | ASU Q1 | 23–28 |
ND
PSU
DUKE
MISS
BAY
LSU
M-OH
CSU
USC
TA&M
GT
VAN
PITT
TOL
UTSA
CCU
TENN
OSU
CLEM
TEX
OHIO
JXST
GASO
SHSU
MEM
WVU
NAVY
ARMY
SMU
TULN
WKU
UNM
HAW
HOU
BYU
UVA
VT
WASH
ORE
PUR
IU
MD
MIA
SYR
ASU
ARIZ
RUTG
MSU
NCSU
UNC
BC
MTSU
FIU
GAST
USM
TROY
USF
RICE
LOU
UK
TTU
UL
ULM
UGA
STAN
SJSU
USU
BGSU
BALL
FRES
CIN
KSU
ISU
UTAH
WSU
ORST
MIZ
MSST
LT
ARK
MINNWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 53% 459
Q2 16% 139
Q3 14% 118
Q4 18% 153
OT 1% 5
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 72% of 812 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 87% and covered 73% of 828 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 160 | 100% 160 |
| 1–3 | 45 | 89% 40 |
| 4–7 | 72 | 88% 63 |
| 8–10 | 64 | 75% 48 |
| 11–14 | 93 | 57% 53 |
| 15–17 | 87 | 47% 41 |
| 18–21 | 108 | 31% 33 |
| 22+ | 245 | 8% 19 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.