When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
874 games · 2024 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 457 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 35% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
Over cashed in the last 5 minutes: 139 games
2024 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
PSU -1.5 | 45.5 | 0132051 | Q4 | ND Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2024 · Postseason |
TEX -13.5 | 52.5 | 1720254870 | OT | ASU Q3 Late over |
39–31 |
2024 · Postseason |
TA&M -3.5 | 56.5 | 7143866 | Q4 | USC Q4 Late over Lead lost |
35–31 |
2024 · Postseason |
USF -0.5 | 64.5 | 731415480 | OT | USF OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
41–39 |
2024 · Postseason |
NIU -2.5 | 40.5 | 1616262648 | OT | NIU OT Late cover flip Late over |
28–20 |
2024 · Postseason |
UTSA -13.5 | 56.5 | 0212759 | Q4 | UTSA Q2 Late over |
44–15 |
2024 · Postseason |
OHIO -5.5 | 56.5 | 21344157 | Q4 | JXST Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
30–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
GASO -3.5 | 48.5 | 7314057 | Q4 | SHSU Q1 Late over |
26–31 |
2024 · Week 15 |
SMU -2.5 | 56.5 | 28314565 | Q4 | CLEM Q1 Late over |
34–31 |
2024 · Week 15 |
TULN -4.5 | 46.5 | 7283549 | Q4 | ARMY Q1 Late over |
14–35 |
2024 · Week 15 |
JXST -4.5 | 58.5 | 17345064 | Q4 | JXST Q1 Late over |
12–52 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UNM -6.5 | 61.5 | 7304768 | Q4 | HAW Q1 Late over |
30–38 |
2024 · Week 14 |
JMU -2.5 | 52.5 | 1417344868 | OT | MRSH Q3 Late over |
35–33 |
2024 · Week 14 |
PSU -26.5 | 50.5 | 10383851 | Q4 | PSU Q4 Late over |
7–44 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UNC -2.5 | 54.5 | 7133365 | Q4 | NCSU Q4 Late over |
35–30 |
2024 · Week 14 |
USF -5.5 | 53.5 | 24344963 | Q4 | RICE Q1 Late over |
28–35 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TTU -2.5 | 61.5 | 9385167 | Q4 | TTU Q1 Late over |
15–52 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UL -8.5 | 50.5 | 9263660 | Q4 | UL Q4 Late over |
37–23 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UGA -17.5 | 48.5 | 317235486 | Q4 | GT Q1 Late over Lead lost |
42–44 |
2024 · Week 14 |
BGSU -3 | 37.5 | 7191940 | Q4 | M-OH Q1 Late over |
28–12 |
2024 · Week 14 |
TULN -12.5 | 54.5 | 17273458 | Q4 | MEM Q1 Late over |
34–24 |
2024 · Week 13 |
FRES -3.5 | 42.5 | 14354250 | Q4 | FRES Q2 Late over |
22–28 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ARK -23.5 | 48.5 | 0142849 | Q4 | LT Q1 Late over |
14–35 |
2024 · Week 13 |
USU -4.5 | 59.5 | 3273461 | Q4 | USU Q3 Late over |
20–41 |
 CHSO @  FSU2024 · Week 13 |
FSU -33.5 | 44.5 | 0173148 | Q4 | FSU Q4 Late over |
7–41 |
2024 · Week 13 |
LIB -1.5 | 55.5 | 0284959 | Q4 | LIB Q2 Late over |
21–38 |
2024 · Week 13 |
OSU -10.5 | 51.5 | 7213553 | Q4 | OSU Q3 Late over |
15–38 |
2024 · Week 13 |
RUTG -2.5 | 47.5 | 3263269 | Q4 | ILL Q3 Late over Lead lost |
38–31 |
2024 · Week 13 |
IOWA -4.5 | 39.5 | 3132542 | Q4 | IOWA Q2 Late over |
29–13 |
2024 · Week 13 |
SYR -9.5 | 53.5 | 14354155 | Q4 | CONN Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
24–31 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UNC -1.5 | 50.5 | 3313462 | Q4 | BC Q1 Late over |
21–41 |
2024 · Week 13 |
GT -7.5 | 50.5 | 14202359 | Q4 | NCSU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
29–30 |
2024 · Week 13 |
EMU -1.5 | 53.5 | 8173657 | Q4 | BUFF Q1 Late over |
37–20 |
2024 · Week 12 |
WSU -11.5 | 71.5 | 21425673 | Q4 | UNM Q3 Late over |
35–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
MEM -17.5 | 60.5 | 11263671 | Q4 | MEM Q4 Late over |
18–53 |
2024 · Week 12 |
UGA -7.5 | 46.5 | 10344148 | Q4 | UGA Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
17–31 |
2024 · Week 12 |
BOIS -14.5 | 61.5 | 7284963 | Q4 | BOIS Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
42–21 |
2024 · Week 12 |
CAL -10.5 | 57.5 | 6344458 | Q4 | SYR Q1 Late over |
33–25 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ILL -1.5 | 47.5 | 20304054 | Q4 | ILL Q1 Late over |
16–38 |
 MER @  ALA2024 · Week 12 |
ALA -42.5 | 58.5 | 14384559 | Q4 | ALA Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
7–52 |
2024 · Week 12 |
LIB -16.5 | 52.5 | 727345669 | Q4 | MASS Q1 Late over Lead lost |
35–34 |
2024 · Week 12 |
WASH -5.5 | 47.5 | 7243050 | Q4 | WASH Q4 Late over |
19–31 |
2024 · Week 12 |
UTSA -1.5 | 71.5 | 14345075 | Q4 | UTSA Q1 Late over |
27–48 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ECU -16.5 | 63.5 | 10344869 | Q4 | TLSA Q1 Late over Lead lost |
38–31 |
2024 · Week 11 |
WSU -20.5 | 67.5 | 14284977 | Q4 | WSU Q3 Late over |
28–49 |
2024 · Week 11 |
BYU -3.5 | 40.5 | 3313443 | Q4 | UTAH Q1 Late over Lead lost |
22–21 |
2024 · Week 11 |
UNLV -12.5 | 50.5 | 19224256 | Q4 | HAW Q1 Late over |
29–27 |
2024 · Week 11 |
OU -3.5 | 41.5 | 0121953 | Q4 | MIZ Q3 Late over |
23–30 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ND -25.5 | 44.5 | 10243455 | Q4 | ND Q3 Late over |
3–52 |
2024 · Week 11 |
COLO -4.5 | 62.5 | 13235168 | Q4 | COLO Q3 Late over |
41–27 |
ND
PSU
TEX
ASU
USC
TA&M
USF
SJSU
NIU
FRES
UTSA
CCU
OHIO
JXST
GASO
SHSU
CLEM
SMU
TULN
ARMY
WKU
UNM
HAW
MRSH
JMU
MD
NCSU
UNC
RICE
WVU
TTU
UL
ULM
GT
UGA
M-OH
BGSU
MEM
CSU
LT
ARK
SDSU
USU
LIB
IU
OSU
ILL
RUTG
IOWA
CONN
SYR
BC
BUFF
EMU
WSU
UAB
TENN
BOIS
CAL
MSU
MASS
UCLA
WASH
UNT
ECU
TLSA
BYU
UTAH
UNLV
OU
MIZ
COLOWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 53% 459
Q2 16% 139
Q3 14% 118
Q4 18% 153
OT 1% 5
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 72% of 812 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 87% and covered 73% of 828 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 160 | 100% 160 |
| 1–3 | 45 | 89% 40 |
| 4–7 | 72 | 88% 63 |
| 8–10 | 64 | 75% 48 |
| 11–14 | 93 | 57% 53 |
| 15–17 | 87 | 47% 41 |
| 18–21 | 108 | 31% 33 |
| 22+ | 245 | 8% 19 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.