When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
3,143 games · 2023–2026 · pick one to list those games
51% went over. Of the 1,606 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
Went over in Q4, leader lost the game in the last 5 minutes: 102 games
2023–2026 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 7 |
ND -10.5 | 47.5 | 10313752 | Q4 | BYU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
24–28 |
2026 · Week 7 |
WVU -1.5 | 64.5 | 7354987 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–45 |
2026 · Week 7 |
DEL -1.5 | 49.5 | 8284963 | Q4 | MTSU Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
30–33 |
2026 · Week 6 |
LT -3 | 48.5 | 0233763 | Q4 | UL Q3 Lead lost |
31–32 |
2026 · Week 6 |
LSU -9.5 | 50.5 | 1738415469 | Q4 | UK Q1 Lead lost |
34–35 |
2026 · Week 5 |
SC -2.5 | 52.5 | 1430445469 | Q4 | UK Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
35–34 |
2026 · Week 4 |
PSU -9.5 | 43.5 | 3243044 | Q4 | WIS Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
24–20 |
 GWEB @  MRSH2026 · Week 4 |
MRSH -24.5 | 56.5 | 24485571 | Q4 | GWEB Q1 Lead lost |
35–36 |
2026 · Week 3 |
CIN -14.5 | 50.5 | 21354966 | Q4 | M-OH Q1 Lead lost |
31–35 |
2026 · Week 3 |
TOL -4.5 | 48.5 | 1738488497 | Q4 | TEM Q1 Lead lost |
48–49 |
2026 · Week 3 |
VAN -3 | 50.5 | 14243866 | Q4 | VAN Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–35 |
 ILST @  NIU2026 · Week 2 |
ILST -2.5 | 47.5 | 14383852 | Q4 | ILST Q1 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
28–24 |
2026 · Week 2 |
TULN -9.5 | 48.5 | 10243852 | Q4 | USA Q1 Late over Lead lost |
24–28 |
2026 · Week 2 |
ARMY -3 | 45.5 | 7212852 | Q4 | USF Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
28–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UTSA -8.5 | 50.5 | 7273051 | Q4 | ARMY Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UL -10.5 | 47.5 | 2730305457 | Q4 | ULM Q1 Lead lost |
27–30 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ARST -1.5 | 54.5 | 6324659 | Q4 | APP Q1 Late over Lead lost |
30–29 |
2025 · Week 14 |
NIU -4.5 | 44.5 | 10384166 | Q4 | KENT Q1 Lead lost |
35–31 |
2025 · Week 13 |
DUKE -6.5 | 50.5 | 14274257 | Q4 | DUKE Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
32–25 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ARMY -9.5 | 43.5 | 14363951 | Q4 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–25 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ASU -9.5 | 46.5 | 3323248 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late over Lead lost |
23–25 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MICH -10.5 | 42.5 | 0133046 | Q4 | NU Q4 Lead lost |
24–22 |
2025 · Week 11 |
DUKE -7.5 | 62.5 | 17345171 | Q4 | CONN Q1 Lead lost |
34–37 |
2025 · Week 11 |
IU -13.5 | 50.5 | 7243051 | Q4 | PSU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 10 |
ARK -5.5 | 66.5 | 7204973 | Q4 | MSST Q4 Late over Lead lost |
38–35 |
2025 · Week 10 |
WMU -5.5 | 43.5 | 7212845 | Q4 | CMU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
21–24 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TEX -8.5 | 49.5 | 1438457683 | Q4 | MSST Q1 Lead lost |
45–38 |
2025 · Week 9 |
ALA -12.5 | 47.5 | 10202951 | Q4 | SC Q1 Late over Lead lost |
29–22 |
2025 · Week 9 |
M-OH -2.5 | 40.5 | 3232643 | Q4 | M-OH Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
17–26 |
2025 · Week 9 |
USF -3.5 | 58.5 | 21384865 | Q4 | MEM Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
31–34 |
2025 · Week 8 |
IOWA -3.5 | 41.5 | 10243749 | Q4 | PSU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
24–25 |
2025 · Week 8 |
BUFF -16.5 | 47.5 | 3244149 | Q4 | MASS Q1 Late over Lead lost |
28–21 |
2025 · Week 8 |
LIB -11.5 | 48.5 | 3264057 | Q4 | NMSU Q3 Lead lost |
27–30 |
2025 · Week 7 |
BYU -2.5 | 46.5 | 2131314860 | Q4 | BYU OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
33–27 |
2025 · Week 7 |
SJSU -1.5 | 49.5 | 21424263 | Q4 | WYO Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
28–35 |
2025 · Week 7 |
UNLV -7.5 | 66.5 | 14345799 | Q4 | AFA Q1 Lead lost |
48–51 |
2025 · Week 6 |
BAY -4.5 | 60.5 | 10344869 | Q4 | KSU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
34–35 |
2025 · Week 5 |
STAN -3.5 | 49.5 | 17343459 | Q4 | SJSU Q1 Lead lost |
29–30 |
2025 · Week 5 |
TENN -7.5 | 63.5 | 1734446875 | Q4 | MSST Q1 Late over Lead lost |
41–34 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MINN -3.5 | 51.5 | 7354559 | Q4 | RUTG Q1 Lead lost |
28–31 |
2025 · Week 4 |
ARK -7.5 | 59.5 | 17455763 | Q4 | MEM Q3 Late over Lead lost |
31–32 |
2025 · Week 2 |
SMU -2.5 | 65.5 | 1045487693 | Q4 | BAY Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
48–45 |
2024 · Postseason |
PSU -1.5 | 45.5 | 0132051 | Q4 | ND Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2024 · Postseason |
TA&M -3.5 | 56.5 | 7143866 | Q4 | USC Q4 Late over Lead lost |
35–31 |
2024 · Week 14 |
UGA -17.5 | 48.5 | 317235486 | Q4 | GT Q1 Late over Lead lost |
42–44 |
2024 · Week 14 |
SJSU -2.5 | 54.5 | 3274465 | Q4 | SJSU Q2 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–34 |
2024 · Week 14 |
CSU -5.5 | 56.5 | 13294379 | Q4 | USU Q1 Lead lost |
37–42 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ISU -3.5 | 42.5 | 10303759 | Q4 | UTAH Q4 Lead lost |
31–28 |
2024 · Week 13 |
WSU -10.5 | 55.5 | 14385579 | Q4 | ORST Q1 Lead lost |
38–41 |
2024 · Week 13 |
RUTG -2.5 | 47.5 | 3263269 | Q4 | ILL Q3 Late over Lead lost |
38–31 |
ND
BYU
CIN
WVU
DEL
MTSU
UL
LT
LSU
UK
SC
WIS
PSU
M-OH
TEM
TOL
NCSU
VAN
USA
TULN
USF
ARMY
UTSA
ULM
ARST
APP
KENT
DUKE
UNC
TLSA
ASU
MICH
NU
CONN
IU
MSST
ARK
CMU
WMU
TEX
ALA
MEM
IOWA
BUFF
MASS
NMSU
LIB
ARIZ
SJSU
WYO
AFA
UNLV
KSU
BAY
STAN
TENN
RUTG
MINN
SMU
USC
TA&M
GT
UGA
USU
CSU
ISU
UTAH
WSU
ORST
ILLWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 1,568
Q2 16% 495
Q3 15% 471
Q4 18% 557
OT 1% 18
Push 1% 34
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 69% of 2,931 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 72% of 2,990 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 516 | 100% 516 |
| 1–3 | 192 | 95% 182 |
| 4–7 | 295 | 86% 255 |
| 8–10 | 261 | 70% 184 |
| 11–14 | 345 | 58% 200 |
| 15–17 | 270 | 41% 110 |
| 18–21 | 339 | 27% 92 |
| 22+ | 925 | 7% 67 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.