Galen Center · at USC · Conference game
Closing line
USC -11.5✓ RUTG covered by 8.5
USC -11.5✓ RUTG covered by 8.5Closing total146.5Over by 6.5
 RUTG | This season | USC |
|---|---|---|
| 9-12 | Record | 14-6 |
| 9-12 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 11-10 | O/U | 10-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RUTG 72–83 USC · ✓ USC (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG | 30 | 45 | 75 |
| USC | 40 | 38 | 78 |
1st half: RUTG 30, USC 40 (USC by 10). The model had USC by 6.3 and a total of 72.3 (actual 70).
Team stats
| RUTG | USC | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-74 39% | Field goals | 26-51 51% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 4-12 33% |
| 9-12 75% | Free throws | 22-30 73% |
| 33 17 off | Rebounds | 40 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| RUTG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Grant F | 32 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 6-13 | 1-4 |
| Jamichael Davis G | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Darren Buchanan Jr. G | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Powers G | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Emmanuel Ogbole C | 16 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tariq Francis G | 27 | 26 | 2 | 5 | 10-19 | 1-3 |
| Harun Zrno G | 26 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-10 | 3-8 |
| Lino Mark G | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 2-4 |
| Bryce Ruglass Dortch F | 14 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Chris Nwuli F | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Denis Badalau, Baye Fall, Max Fradkin, Gevonte Ware, Dorian Jones
| USC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Baker-Mazara G | 38 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 7-15 | 2-6 |
| Kam Woods G | 38 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Cofie F | 37 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Ezra Ausar F | 34 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Alijah Arenas G | 19 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-9 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jerry Easter II G | 20 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Dynes C | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Terrance Williams II F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Cornish G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaden Brownell, Patrick O'Brien, Amarion Dickerson, Brit Burden, Jonah Goorin, Jordan Marsh, EJ Neal Jr., Rodney Rice
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSC -11.5
ModelUSC -10.8
Model edgeRUTG +0.7
W RUTG covered
Total
Market146.5
Model154.6
Model edgeOver 8.1
W Over
Projected score
RUTG 71.9 · USC 82.7
RUTG 75 · USC 78
Win probability
USC 83%
1st half
Spread
USC -6.3
USC -10.0
Total
72.3
70 points
Projected score
RUTG 33 · USC 39.3
RUTG 30 · USC 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSC -13.5
2 → RUTG
CloseUSC -11.5
2 pts toward RUTG
Total
Open145.5
▲ 1
Close146.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
RUTG +625 · USC -950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USC -13.5 · closed USC -11.5 · moved 2 toward RUTGmodel USC -11
model USC -11
Opened 145.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 upmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RUTG | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| USC | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
RUTG 1–1 USCSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · RUTG 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | USC 97 vs RUTG 89 | RUTG +1.5 | USC W |
| Feb 23, 2024-25 | USC 85 @ RUTG 95 | RUTG -3.5 | RUTG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Rutgers
21 games played
Straight up
9-12
43% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs RID | W 81-53 | -18.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 10 | vs ME | W 72-60 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 14 | vs LEH | W 84-72 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | vs AMER | W 80-71 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs CCSU | L 54-67 | -15.5 | L −28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs TENN | L 60-85 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs ND | L 63-68 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNLV | W 80-65 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | vs PUR | L 65-81 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ MICH | L 60-101 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | @ HALL | L 59-81 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | vs PENN | W 70-69 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs DSU | W 65-50 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 2 | vs OSU | L 73-80 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs ORE | W 88-85 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 8 | @ ILL | L 55-81 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 11 | vs NU | W 77-75 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @ WIS | L 87-96 | +15.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 20 | @ IOWA | L 62-68 | +17.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 23 | vs IU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vs MSU | L 79-88 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
+9.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
−6.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
−6.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
−7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−28.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
−10.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
+1.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
+19.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−2.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
−15.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
−8.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−10.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−5.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+2.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+7.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−3.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+6.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+6.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
+11.5
23
vsIU
IUL 59-82
−15.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 79-88
+5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-53
−5.5
10
vsME
MEW 72-60
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHW 84-72
+19.5
18
vsAMER
AMERW 80-71
+7.5
21
vsCCSU
CCSUL 54-67
−16.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 60-85
+3.5
25
vsND
NDL 63-68
−9.5
27
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-65
−8.5
2
vsPUR
PURL 65-81
−0.5
6
@MICH
MICHL 60-101
+7.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 59-81
+3.5
20
vsPENN
PENNW 70-69
−11.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 65-50
−20.5
2
vsOSU
OSUL 73-80
+1.5
5
vsORE
OREW 88-85
+33.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 55-81
−13.5
11
vsNU
NUW 77-75
+7.5
17
@WIS
WISL 87-96
+33.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-68
−10.5
23
vsIU
IUL 59-82
−6.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 79-88
+28.5
over 11under 10avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
USC
20 games played
Straight up
14-6
70% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CP | W 94-64 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 9 | vs MAN | W 114-83 | -28.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 14 | vs ILST | W 87-67 | -15.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 20 | vs TROY | W 107-106 | -18.5 | L −17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs BOIS | W 70-67 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vsHALL | W 83-81 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs ASU | W 88-75 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ORE | W 82-77 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs WASH | L 76-84 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 9 | @ USD | W 94-81 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 14 | vs WSU | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTSA | W 97-70 | -25.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 2 | @MICH | L 66-96 | +22.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 5 | @MSU | L 51-80 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 9 | @ MINN | W 70-69 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 13 | vs MD | W 88-71 | -9.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | vsPUR | L 64-69 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 21 | vsNU | L 68-74 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 25 | @WIS | W 73-71 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @IOWA | L 72-73 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
+5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+2.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
+4.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
−17.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−0.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
−4.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+8.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+2.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
−12.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
−1.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−5.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+1.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−7.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−17.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
+4.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+7.5
17
vsPUR
PURL 64-69
+4.5
21
vsNU
NUL 68-74
−12.5
25
@WIS
WISW 73-71
+9.5
28
@IOWA
IOWAL 72-73
+8.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCP
CPW 94-64
−5.5
9
vsMAN
MANW 114-83
+41.5
14
vsILST
ILSTW 87-67
−1.5
20
vsTROY
TROYW 107-106
+53.5
24
vsBOIS
BOISW 70-67
−18.5
25
vsHALL
HALLW 83-81
+18.5
26
vsASU
ASUW 88-75
+1.5
2
@ORE
OREW 82-77
+4.5
6
vsWASH
WASHL 76-84
+5.5
9
@USD
USDW 94-81
+16.5
14
vsWSU
WSUW 68-61
−27.5
17
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-70
+9.5
2
@MICH
MICHL 66-96
−11.5
5
@MSU
MSUL 51-80
−20.5
9
@MINN
MINNW 70-69
−8.5
13
vsMD
MDW 88-71
+8.5
17
vsPUR
PURL 64-69
−22.5
21
vsNU
NUL 68-74
−7.5
25
@WIS
WISW 73-71
−14.5
28
@IOWA
IOWAL 72-73
+3.5
over 10under 10avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rutgers
9-12 overall · 2-8 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Michigan St79–88
- Lvs Indiana59–82
- L@ Iowa62–68
- L@ Wisconsin87–96
- Wvs Northwestern77–75
4 days since their last game.
USC
14-6 overall · 4-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iowa72–73
- W@ Wisconsin73–71
- Lvs Northwestern68–74
- Lvs Purdue64–69
- Wvs Maryland88–71
3 days since their last game.