Knott Arena · at Mount St Marys · Conference game
Closing line
MRMK -2.5✓ MRMK covered by 14.5
MRMK -2.5✓ MRMK covered by 14.5Closing total134.5Over by 22.5
| MRMK | This season | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| 14-9 | Record | 9-14 |
| 14-9 | ATS | 13-10 |
| 7-16 | O/U | 7-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRMK 68–66 MSM · ✓ MRMK (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 39 | 48 | 87 |
| MSM | 40 | 30 | 70 |
1st half: MRMK 39, MSM 40 (MSM by 1). The model had MRMK by 1.4 and a total of 62.9 (actual 79).
Team stats
| MRMK | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-54 50% | Field goals | 24-56 43% |
| 12-30 40% | 3-pointers | 6-16 38% |
| 21-25 84% | Free throws | 16-29 55% |
| 30 4 off | Rebounds | 40 14 off |
| 17 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 3 |
| 6 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| MRMK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevair Kennedy G | 36 | 25 | 4 | 7 | 8-13 | 0-2 |
| Ernest Shelton G | 34 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 7-13 | 5-10 |
| Tye Dorset G | 34 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Todd Brogna F | 31 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Andrés Marrero G | 29 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KC Ugwuakazi F | 16 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Veillette F | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Brendan Johnson G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jaylen Stinson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aliou Cisse, Brandon Legris, Jacob Moore, Quinn Kwasniak, David Munro, Malik Edmead
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 30 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-1 |
| Trey Deveaux F | 29 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Arlandus Keyes G | 27 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Abdou Khadre Kebe G | 25 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Luke McEldon F | 24 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Arrington Jr. G | 21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Mason So G | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Justin Amadi F | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 12 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Patrick Haigh G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Elijah Espinosa F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaxon Hartman, Anastasios Rozakeas, John Miller IV, Justin May, Noah Rogers
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRMK -2.5
ModelMRMK -2.2
Model edgeMSM +0.3
L MRMK covered
Total
Market134.5
Model134.3
Model edgeUnder 0.2
L Over
Projected score
MRMK 68.2 · MSM 66
MRMK 87 · MSM 70
Win probability
MRMK 58%
1st half
Spread
MRMK -1.4
MSM -1.0
Total
62.9
79 points
Projected score
MRMK 32.2 · MSM 30.7
MRMK 39 · MSM 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRMK -3.5
1 → MSM
CloseMRMK -2.5
1 pt toward MSM
Total
Open135.5
▼ 1
Close134.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MRMK -135 · MSM +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRMK -3.5 · closed MRMK -2.5 · moved 1 toward MSMmodel MRMK -2
model MRMK -2
Opened 135.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 1 downmodel 134.5 matches the line
model 134.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
| MSM | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 1-9 10% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MRMK 1–4 MSMMSM leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · MRMK 1-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025-26 | MSM 65 @ MRMK 75 | MRMK -3.5 | MRMK W |
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | MSM 57 vs MRMK 55 | MRMK -8.5 | MSM W |
| Jan 31, 2024-25 | MSM 66 @ MRMK 58 | MRMK -8.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 3, 2021-22 | MRMK 53 @ MSM 69 | MSM -6 | MSM W |
| Jan 17, 2021-22 | MSM 57 @ MRMK 50 | MRMK -3 | MSM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Merrimack
23 games played
Straight up
14-9
61% wins
Against the spread
14-9
61% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-16
30% overs · avg −4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SDST | L 66-75 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 6 | @ AUB | L 57-95 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | @ TAR | L 62-76 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BU | W 91-79 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ME | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ FLA | L 45-80 | +36.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | @ PENN | L 65-77 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOF | L 58-78 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs LAS | W 66-60 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 4 | vs RID | W 68-66 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | vs FAIR | W 74-63 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ PRIN | W 59-56 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 14 | @ UVM | L 59-66 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 29 | @ SHU | W 80-72 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 2 | vsMSM | W 75-65 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | vs MAN | W 73-66 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 9 | @ SIE | W 63-59 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ SPU | L 63-76 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 133.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | vs QUIN | W 83-71 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 19 | @ MRST | W 68-55 | +6.5 | W +19.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 22 | @ IONA | L 60-61 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 24 | vsSPU | W 67-59 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 1 | vsSHU | W 75-58 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
−14.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−9.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+14.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+0.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
+1.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−9.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
−14.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
+8.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−7.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
+7.5
10
@PRIN
PRINW 59-56
+5.5
14
@UVM
UVML 59-66
−0.5
29
@SHU
SHUW 80-72
+9.5
2
vsMSM
MSMW 75-65
+6.5
4
vsMAN
MANW 73-66
+0.5
9
@SIE
SIEW 63-59
+9.5
11
@SPU
SPUL 63-76
−11.5
17
vsQUIN
QUINW 83-71
+13.5
19
@MRST
MRSTW 68-55
+19.5
22
@IONA
IONAL 60-61
−2.5
24
vsSPU
SPUW 67-59
+5.5
1
vsSHU
SHUW 75-58
+11.5
covered 14didn’t cover 9avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
+3.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−4.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+34.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+6.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
−33.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−10.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
+0.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
−6.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−4.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
−7.5
10
@PRIN
PRINW 59-56
−19.5
14
@UVM
UVML 59-66
−11.5
29
@SHU
SHUW 80-72
+7.5
2
vsMSM
MSMW 75-65
−1.5
4
vsMAN
MANW 73-66
−9.5
9
@SIE
SIEW 63-59
−10.5
11
@SPU
SPUL 63-76
+5.5
17
vsQUIN
QUINW 83-71
+12.5
19
@MRST
MRSTW 68-55
−10.5
22
@IONA
IONAL 60-61
−22.5
24
vsSPU
SPUW 67-59
−8.5
1
vsSHU
SHUW 75-58
−14.5
over 7under 16avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mount St Marys
23 games played
Straight up
9-14
39% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-16
30% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WVU | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 7 | vs BUCK | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ SFPA | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 16 | @ CIN | L 55-72 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | @ MD | L 90-95 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 23 | @ WMU | L 60-83 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | @ OSU | L 60-113 | +30.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOW | W 79-75 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 3 | vsSHU | L 80-87 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 5 | @MRST | L 56-64 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 13 | @ L-MD | W 81-73 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 19 | @ DREX | L 67-75 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | vsIONA | W 66-59 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | @MRMK | L 65-75 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | @QUIN | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 9 | vsSPU | W 70-65 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 11 | vsSIE | L 50-67 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | @ CAN | W 78-68 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 19 | @ NIA | W 68-58 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 22 | vsQUIN | L 62-77 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | vsRID | W 71-61 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 30 | @SPU | L 58-66 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 1 | vsMAN | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+1.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
−5.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
+0.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+5.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
−3.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
+9.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−6.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−3.5
9
vsSPU
SPUW 70-65
+6.5
11
vsSIE
SIEL 50-67
−14.5
17
@CAN
CANW 78-68
+6.5
19
@NIA
NIAW 68-58
+6.5
22
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-77
−10.5
24
vsRID
RIDW 71-61
+0.5
30
@SPU
SPUL 58-66
−2.5
1
vsMAN
MANW 72-65
+0.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+7.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
+14.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
−16.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+2.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
+4.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
−28.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−1.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−1.5
9
vsSPU
SPUW 70-65
−6.5
11
vsSIE
SIEL 50-67
−22.5
17
@CAN
CANW 78-68
+10.5
19
@NIA
NIAW 68-58
−5.5
22
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-77
−9.5
24
vsRID
RIDW 71-61
−7.5
30
@SPU
SPUL 58-66
−14.5
1
vsMAN
MANW 72-65
−10.5
over 7under 16avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Merrimack
14-9 overall · 10-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Sacred Heart75–58
- Wvs Saint Peter's67–59
- L@ Iona60–61
- W@ Marist68–55
- Wvs Quinnipiac83–71
4 days since their last game.
Mount St Marys
9-14 overall · 6-7 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Manhattan72–65
- L@ Saint Peter's58–66
- Wvs Rider71–61
- Lvs Quinnipiac62–77
- W@ Niagara68–58
4 days since their last game.