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College game flow: when games go over and when the cover is settled

When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

Totals 52–60 ✕

When did they go over?

1,233 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 52–60 · pick one to list those games
Went overAll games1,233100%By halftime141%In Q318115%In Q441534%In OT121%Stayed under61150%
Last 5 minutesCover changed hands12210%Over cashed17714%Leader lost the game897%
51% went over. Of the 622 overs, 2% had cashed by halftime and 31% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.

All 1,233 games

2023–2026 · Totals 52–60 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2026 · Week 8
 CONN -12.5 53.5 10243151 U CONN Q2 16–35
2026 · Week 8
 MEM -10.5 55.5 1019446875 Q4 ECU Q1 34–41
2026 · Week 8
 JMU -12.5 56.5 724346265 Q4 APP Q1 31–34
2026 · Week 8
 DEL -3 54.5 21528099 Q3 DEL Q3 38–61
2026 · Week 7
 WAKE -10 54.5 14344148 U WAKE Q1 41–7
2026 · Week 7
 UTSA -5.5 52.5 7414472 Q4 NAVY Q1 34–38
2026 · Week 7
 LT -13.5 55.5 001424 U LT Q3 24–0
ELON @ STAN
2026 · Week 7
 STAN -33.5 55.5 0142841 U ELON Q1 7–34
2026 · Week 7
 LOU -14.5 56.5 24515160 Q4 SYR Q1 34–26
2026 · Week 7
 MIA -20.5 57.5 728355678 OT FSU Q1
Late over
 35–43
2026 · Week 7
 ORST -18.5 52.5 17375078 Q4 WSU Q1
Late cover flip
 30–48
2026 · Week 7
 MISS -4 57.5 10242434 U MISS Q2 3–31
2026 · Week 7
 VT -8.5 55.5 14274858 Q4 VT Q1 24–34
CIT @ TA&M
2026 · Week 7
 TA&M -46.5 56.5 7283441 U CIT Q1 0–41
2026 · Week 7
 MD -5.5 55.5 14365367 Q4 RUTG Q3
Late over
 37–30
2026 · Week 7
 LSU -17.5 56.5 14213131 U LSU Q2 0–31
2026 · Week 7
 KSU -3 55.5 24354959 Q4 KSU Q4 24–35
CHSO @ CLEM
2026 · Week 7
 CLEM -42.5 53.5 10343437 U CHSO Q1 0–37
2026 · Week 7
 ARMY -2.5 55.5 28495980 Q3 ARMY Q2 24–56
2026 · Week 7
 JMU -7.5 57.5 21455871 Q3 JMU Q2 22–49
2026 · Week 7
 MEM -6.5 55.5 3333348 U TULN Q1 17–31
2026 · Week 7
 WKU -1.5 53.5 7131619 U WKU Q1 16–3
2026 · Week 7
 KENN -2.5 52.5 0132845 U MOST Q1 21–24
2026 · Week 6
 USC -1.5 54.5 14344454 U USC Q3 31–23
2026 · Week 6
 MEM -15.5 55.5 14233751 U MEM Q4 13–38
2026 · Week 6
 MRSH -4.5 57.5 3133448 U CCU Q1 27–21
2026 · Week 6
 ORST -14.5 52.5 14457380 Q3 ORST Q2 14–66
2026 · Week 6
 OSU -31.5 56.5 17415461 Q4 MD Q1
Late over
 16–45
2026 · Week 6
 TEM -3.5 55.5 28414454 U CONN Q1 34–20
2026 · Week 6
 ND -40.5 55.5 14375165 Q4 ND Q4 7–58
2026 · Week 6
 MISS -9.5 54.5 17455269 Q4 MISS Q1 52–17
2026 · Week 6
 ORE -10 57.5 9161632 U UCLA Q1 17–15
2026 · Week 6
 KSU -2.5 55.5 10244451 U HOU Q1 35–16
2026 · Week 6
 UNT -27.5 58.5 13505760 Q4 UNT Q2 10–50
2026 · Week 6
 TOL -18.5 54.5 6131631 U BUFF Q1 23–8
2026 · Week 6
 FLA -10.5 59.5 14274457 U SC Q1 38–19
2026 · Week 6
 NU -34.5 53.5 14455959 Q3 BALL Q1 14–45
2026 · Week 6
 OKST -10.5 53.5 21424570 Q4 OKST Q4 28–42
2026 · Week 6
 WAKE -4 56.5 14244552 U WAKE Q3 38–14
2026 · Week 6
 LIB -13.5 52.5 7172438 U LIB Q3 3–35
2026 · Week 6
 MOST -1.5 56.5 10273747 U WKU Q1 13–34
2026 · Week 5
 ARIZ -7 56.5 7102441 U ARIZ Q2 7–34
2026 · Week 5
 TXST -10 57.5 13204160 Q4 SDSU Q3
Late over
 29–31
2026 · Week 5
 IU -24.5 56.5 10234462 Q4 IU Q3 47–15
2026 · Week 5
 USC -7.5 58.5 10244346 U WASH Q1 21–25
2026 · Week 5
 UTSA -11.5 56.5 13232330 U RICE Q1 16–14
2026 · Week 5
 GASO -2.5 53.5 10273455 Q4 GASO Q4
Late over
 31–24
2026 · Week 5
 USA -12.5 57.5 28457387 Q3 USA Q1 35–52
2026 · Week 5
 SC -2.5 52.5 1430445469 Q4 UK Q3
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
 35–34
2026 · Week 5
 NEB -15.5 52.5 23515171 Q4 NEB Q4 23–48
Final score is away–home. Points by quarter are combined points at the end of each quarter; the highlighted one is when the over cashed.Show 1,233

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 621
Q2 16% 192
Q3 15% 182
Q4 18% 221
OT 0% 4
Push 1% 13
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 67% of 1,176 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 89% and covered 70% of 1,176 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over195100% 195
1–37495% 70
4–79991% 90
8–1010974% 81
11–1414255% 78
15–179842% 41
18–2113229% 38
22+3848% 29
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.