When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

55 games · 2024 · Week 5 · pick one to list those games
49% went over. Of the 27 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 22% of games.

All 55 games

2024 · Week 5 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2024 · Week 5
ORE -23.5 52.5 10384147 U UCLA Q1 34–13
2024 · Week 5
UTAH -7.5 46.5 3131933 U ARIZ Q1 23–10
2024 · Week 5
BOIS -6.5 65.5 14273469 Q4 BOIS Q2
Late over
24–45
2024 · Week 5
SMU -5.5 46.5 14234458 Q4 SMU Q3 16–42
2024 · Week 5
TTU -3.5 59.5 24486185 Q3 CIN Q4
Late cover flip
41–44
2024 · Week 5
UNM -8.5 53.5 14314790 Q4 UNM Q2 50–40
2024 · Week 5
AFA -4.5 33.5 7203450 Q3 WYO Q3 19–31
2024 · Week 5
LSU -20.5 64.5 21384552 U LSU Q1 10–42
2024 · Week 5
UGA -1.5 50.5 21374875 Q4 ALA Q1 34–41
2024 · Week 5
OSU -23.5 47.5 3314545 U OSU Q3 38–7
2024 · Week 5
PSU -19.5 48.5 14142128 U ILL Q1 7–21
2024 · Week 5
MEM -27.5 60.5 0143131 U MTSU Q1 7–24
2024 · Week 5
CLEM -23.5 57.5 10243454 U CLEM Q4 14–40
2024 · Week 5
ISU -16.5 42.5 331020 U ISU Q4 20–0
2024 · Week 5
TROY -6.5 44.5 691222 U ULM Q1 13–9
2024 · Week 5
RICE -4.5 47.5 0102441 U CLT Q3
Late cover flip Lead lost
21–20
2024 · Week 5
UNT -7.5 65.5 0274872 Q4 UNT Q2
Late over
20–52
2024 · Week 5
LT -2 49.5 772427 U FIU Q1 10–17
UTM @ KENN
2024 · Week 5
UTM -1.5 45.5 0203437 U UTM Q3 24–13
WAG @ FAU
2024 · Week 5
FAU -34.5 52.5 10273751 U WAG Q1 10–41
2024 · Week 5
BGSU -11.5 51.5 21313857 Q4 ODU Q1
Late over
30–27
2024 · Week 5
UCF -12.5 59.5 21416269 Q3 COLO Q1 48–21
2024 · Week 5
TEX -38.5 58.5 7202748 U MSST Q1 13–35
2024 · Week 5
UNC -1.5 54.5 10172741 U DUKE Q4 20–21
2024 · Week 5
ECU -1.5 52.5 13233750 U ECU Q3 20–30
2024 · Week 5
USC -13.5 49.5 14314559 Q4 USC Q4 21–38
2024 · Week 5
ND -6.5 45.5 28383855 Q4 ND Q1 24–31
2024 · Week 5
AUB -1.5 43.5 7212448 Q4 OU Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
27–21
2024 · Week 5
TA&M -7.5 50.5 21282838 U ARK Q1 17–21
2024 · Week 5
M-OH -15.5 43.5 1420274043 U MASS Q1 20–23
2024 · Week 5
WAKE -2.5 58.5 17386279 Q3 UL Q1 41–38
2024 · Week 5
KU -1.5 59.5 21385265 Q4 TCU Q2 38–27
2024 · Week 5
UNLV -2.5 49.5 14213873 Q4 UNLV Q1 14–59
2024 · Week 5
CMU -2.5 48.5 17344043 U SDSU Q2
Lead lost
21–22
2024 · Week 5
GAST -3.5 56.5 21315259 Q4 GASO Q1
Late over
38–21
2024 · Week 5
MRSH -3.5 52.5 10203747 U MRSH Q4 20–27
2024 · Week 5
OHIO -7.5 45.5 3242640 U OHIO Q4 10–30
2024 · Week 5
EMU -13.5 44.5 14355985 Q3 EMU Q3 52–33
2024 · Week 5
TXST -10.5 54.5 22537379 Q3 SHSU Q3
Lead lost
39–40
2024 · Week 5
JMU -20.5 54.5 29365670 Q3 JMU Q2 7–63
2024 · Week 5
MISS -15.5 51.5 10173037 U UK Q1
Lead lost
20–17
2024 · Week 5
MICH -10.5 34.5 7242751 Q4 MINN Q4 24–27
2024 · Week 5
KSU -5.5 58.5 10344862 Q4 KSU Q2
Late over
20–42
2024 · Week 5
BAY -3.5 46.5 28455562 Q3 BYU Q1 34–28
2024 · Week 5
IU -7.5 48.5 0214970 Q3 IU Q4 28–42
2024 · Week 5
NEB -10.5 46.5 001038 U NEB Q4 28–10
2024 · Week 5
CONN -5.5 44.5 10264050 Q4 CONN Q1 3–47
2024 · Week 5
BC -7.5 48.5 7242741 U WKU Q1
Lead lost
20–21
2024 · Week 5
NCSU -7.5 46.5 14313841 U NIU Q4 17–24
HC @ SYR
2024 · Week 5
SYR -31.5 59.5 14424956 U HC Q1 14–42

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 47% 26
Q2 15% 8
Q3 16% 9
Q4 22% 12
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 78% and covered 69% of 49 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 85% and covered 71% of 52 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over9100% 9
1–3367% 2
4–75100% 5
8–10560% 3
11–14650% 3
15–17520% 1
18–21743% 3
22+157% 1
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.