When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
55 games · 2024 · Week 5 · pick one to list those games
49% went over. Of the 27 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 22% of games.
All 55 games
2024 · Week 5 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 5 |
ORE -23.5 | 52.5 | 10384147 | U | UCLA Q1 | 34–13 |
2024 · Week 5 |
UTAH -7.5 | 46.5 | 3131933 | U | ARIZ Q1 | 23–10 |
2024 · Week 5 |
BOIS -6.5 | 65.5 | 14273469 | Q4 | BOIS Q2 Late over |
24–45 |
2024 · Week 5 |
SMU -5.5 | 46.5 | 14234458 | Q4 | SMU Q3 | 16–42 |
2024 · Week 5 |
TTU -3.5 | 59.5 | 24486185 | Q3 | CIN Q4 Late cover flip |
41–44 |
2024 · Week 5 |
UNM -8.5 | 53.5 | 14314790 | Q4 | UNM Q2 | 50–40 |
2024 · Week 5 |
AFA -4.5 | 33.5 | 7203450 | Q3 | WYO Q3 | 19–31 |
2024 · Week 5 |
LSU -20.5 | 64.5 | 21384552 | U | LSU Q1 | 10–42 |
2024 · Week 5 |
UGA -1.5 | 50.5 | 21374875 | Q4 | ALA Q1 | 34–41 |
2024 · Week 5 |
OSU -23.5 | 47.5 | 3314545 | U | OSU Q3 | 38–7 |
2024 · Week 5 |
PSU -19.5 | 48.5 | 14142128 | U | ILL Q1 | 7–21 |
2024 · Week 5 |
MEM -27.5 | 60.5 | 0143131 | U | MTSU Q1 | 7–24 |
2024 · Week 5 |
CLEM -23.5 | 57.5 | 10243454 | U | CLEM Q4 | 14–40 |
2024 · Week 5 |
ISU -16.5 | 42.5 | 331020 | U | ISU Q4 | 20–0 |
2024 · Week 5 |
TROY -6.5 | 44.5 | 691222 | U | ULM Q1 | 13–9 |
2024 · Week 5 |
RICE -4.5 | 47.5 | 0102441 | U | CLT Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–20 |
2024 · Week 5 |
UNT -7.5 | 65.5 | 0274872 | Q4 | UNT Q2 Late over |
20–52 |
2024 · Week 5 |
LT -2 | 49.5 | 772427 | U | FIU Q1 | 10–17 |
2024 · Week 5 |
UTM -1.5 | 45.5 | 0203437 | U | UTM Q3 | 24–13 |
2024 · Week 5 |
FAU -34.5 | 52.5 | 10273751 | U | WAG Q1 | 10–41 |
2024 · Week 5 |
BGSU -11.5 | 51.5 | 21313857 | Q4 | ODU Q1 Late over |
30–27 |
2024 · Week 5 |
UCF -12.5 | 59.5 | 21416269 | Q3 | COLO Q1 | 48–21 |
2024 · Week 5 |
TEX -38.5 | 58.5 | 7202748 | U | MSST Q1 | 13–35 |
2024 · Week 5 |
UNC -1.5 | 54.5 | 10172741 | U | DUKE Q4 | 20–21 |
2024 · Week 5 |
ECU -1.5 | 52.5 | 13233750 | U | ECU Q3 | 20–30 |
2024 · Week 5 |
USC -13.5 | 49.5 | 14314559 | Q4 | USC Q4 | 21–38 |
2024 · Week 5 |
ND -6.5 | 45.5 | 28383855 | Q4 | ND Q1 | 24–31 |
2024 · Week 5 |
AUB -1.5 | 43.5 | 7212448 | Q4 | OU Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–21 |
2024 · Week 5 |
TA&M -7.5 | 50.5 | 21282838 | U | ARK Q1 | 17–21 |
2024 · Week 5 |
M-OH -15.5 | 43.5 | 1420274043 | U | MASS Q1 | 20–23 |
2024 · Week 5 |
WAKE -2.5 | 58.5 | 17386279 | Q3 | UL Q1 | 41–38 |
2024 · Week 5 |
KU -1.5 | 59.5 | 21385265 | Q4 | TCU Q2 | 38–27 |
2024 · Week 5 |
UNLV -2.5 | 49.5 | 14213873 | Q4 | UNLV Q1 | 14–59 |
2024 · Week 5 |
CMU -2.5 | 48.5 | 17344043 | U | SDSU Q2 Lead lost |
21–22 |
2024 · Week 5 |
GAST -3.5 | 56.5 | 21315259 | Q4 | GASO Q1 Late over |
38–21 |
2024 · Week 5 |
MRSH -3.5 | 52.5 | 10203747 | U | MRSH Q4 | 20–27 |
2024 · Week 5 |
OHIO -7.5 | 45.5 | 3242640 | U | OHIO Q4 | 10–30 |
2024 · Week 5 |
EMU -13.5 | 44.5 | 14355985 | Q3 | EMU Q3 | 52–33 |
2024 · Week 5 |
TXST -10.5 | 54.5 | 22537379 | Q3 | SHSU Q3 Lead lost |
39–40 |
2024 · Week 5 |
JMU -20.5 | 54.5 | 29365670 | Q3 | JMU Q2 | 7–63 |
2024 · Week 5 |
MISS -15.5 | 51.5 | 10173037 | U | UK Q1 Lead lost |
20–17 |
2024 · Week 5 |
MICH -10.5 | 34.5 | 7242751 | Q4 | MINN Q4 | 24–27 |
2024 · Week 5 |
KSU -5.5 | 58.5 | 10344862 | Q4 | KSU Q2 Late over |
20–42 |
2024 · Week 5 |
BAY -3.5 | 46.5 | 28455562 | Q3 | BYU Q1 | 34–28 |
2024 · Week 5 |
IU -7.5 | 48.5 | 0214970 | Q3 | IU Q4 | 28–42 |
2024 · Week 5 |
NEB -10.5 | 46.5 | 001038 | U | NEB Q4 | 28–10 |
2024 · Week 5 |
CONN -5.5 | 44.5 | 10264050 | Q4 | CONN Q1 | 3–47 |
2024 · Week 5 |
BC -7.5 | 48.5 | 7242741 | U | WKU Q1 Lead lost |
20–21 |
2024 · Week 5 |
NCSU -7.5 | 46.5 | 14313841 | U | NIU Q4 | 17–24 |
2024 · Week 5 |
SYR -31.5 | 59.5 | 14424956 | U | HC Q1 | 14–42 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 47% 26
Q2 15% 8
Q3 16% 9
Q4 22% 12
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 78% and covered 69% of 49 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 85% and covered 71% of 52 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 9 | 100% 9 |
| 1–3 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 4–7 | 5 | 100% 5 |
| 8–10 | 5 | 60% 3 |
| 11–14 | 6 | 50% 3 |
| 15–17 | 5 | 20% 1 |
| 18–21 | 7 | 43% 3 |
| 22+ | 15 | 7% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.