When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
65 games · 2024 · Week 13 · pick one to list those games
60% went over. Of the 39 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 31% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 20% of games.
All 65 games
2024 · Week 13 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 13 |
USC -4.5 | 52.5 | 6122232 | U | USC Q4 Late cover flip |
19–13 |
2024 · Week 13 |
NEV -2.5 | 44.5 | 0131941 | U | AFA Q4 | 22–19 |
2024 · Week 13 |
FRES -3.5 | 42.5 | 14354250 | Q4 | FRES Q2 Late over |
22–28 |
2024 · Week 13 |
VT -2.5 | 45.5 | 21384859 | Q3 | DUKE Q1 | 28–31 |
2024 · Week 13 |
KSU -7.5 | 54.5 | 10303656 | Q4 | KSU Q1 | 15–41 |
2024 · Week 13 |
LSU -9.5 | 52.5 | 14213141 | U | VAN Q4 | 17–24 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ALA -14.5 | 46.5 | 3132727 | U | OU Q1 | 3–24 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TA&M -2.5 | 47.5 | 1428496284 | Q3 | AUB Q1 | 41–43 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ISU -3.5 | 42.5 | 10303759 | Q4 | UTAH Q4 Lead lost |
31–28 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ODU -2.5 | 51.5 | 3245577 | Q3 | MRSH Q1 | 42–35 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ND -14.5 | 44.5 | 14354963 | Q3 | ND Q2 | 14–49 |
2024 · Week 13 |
BOIS -25.5 | 54.5 | 10202030 | U | WYO Q1 | 17–13 |
2024 · Week 13 |
WSU -10.5 | 55.5 | 14385579 | Q4 | ORST Q1 Lead lost |
38–41 |
2024 · Week 13 |
BAY -6.5 | 50.5 | 14242430 | U | BAY Q2 | 20–10 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TXST -22.5 | 59.5 | 28596696 | Q3 | GAST Q1 | 52–44 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UL -7.5 | 51.5 | 21485981 | Q3 | UL Q2 | 30–51 |
2024 · Week 13 |
MIZ -9.5 | 57.5 | 24415159 | Q4 | MIZ Q2 | 39–20 |
2024 · Week 13 |
SC -42.5 | 49.5 | 10304468 | Q4 | SC Q4 Late cover flip |
12–56 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ARK -23.5 | 48.5 | 0142849 | Q4 | LT Q1 Late over |
14–35 |
2024 · Week 13 |
LOU -7.5 | 57.5 | 10274446 | U | LOU Q1 | 9–37 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TEX -18.5 | 46.5 | 7313845 | U | UK Q1 | 14–31 |
2024 · Week 13 |
PSU -11.5 | 45.5 | 7354551 | Q4 | MINN Q1 | 26–25 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ASU -3.5 | 48.5 | 7244551 | Q4 | ASU Q1 | 23–28 |
2024 · Week 13 |
COLO -1.5 | 59.5 | 10375158 | U | KU Q1 | 21–37 |
2024 · Week 13 |
CLEM -48.5 | 58.5 | 14355265 | Q4 | CIT Q1 | 14–51 |
2024 · Week 13 |
MICH -10.5 | 34.5 | 10233756 | Q3 | MICH Q2 | 6–50 |
2024 · Week 13 |
NEB -1.5 | 40.5 | 14345169 | Q3 | NEB Q2 | 25–44 |
2024 · Week 13 |
CAL -15.5 | 52.5 | 14213145 | U | STAN Q1 Lead lost |
21–24 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TTU -4.5 | 62.5 | 213563104 | Q3 | TTU Q1 | 56–48 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UCF -3.5 | 60.5 | 14284252 | U | WVU Q1 | 21–31 |
2024 · Week 13 |
USU -4.5 | 59.5 | 3273461 | Q4 | USU Q3 Late over |
20–41 |
2024 · Week 13 |
CCU -1.5 | 59.5 | 13161932 | U | GASO Q1 | 26–6 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UNT -2.5 | 73.5 | 14285968 | U | ECU Q3 | 40–28 |
2024 · Week 13 |
USF -13.5 | 60.5 | 28495693 | Q4 | USF Q1 | 30–63 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TCU -10.5 | 60.5 | 21344877 | Q4 | TCU Q3 | 28–49 |
2024 · Week 13 |
FIU -8.5 | 41.5 | 3374353 | Q3 | KENN Q4 Lead lost |
26–27 |
2024 · Week 13 |
ARST -2.5 | 51.5 | 14213549 | U | ARST Q2 | 21–28 |
2024 · Week 13 |
USA -24.5 | 54.5 | 8253949 | U | USM Q1 | 35–14 |
2024 · Week 13 |
CLT -3.5 | 49.5 | 13264666 | Q4 | CLT Q1 | 39–27 |
2024 · Week 13 |
MTSU -3.5 | 53.5 | 10204057 | Q4 | NMSU Q1 | 36–21 |
2024 · Week 13 |
JMU -6.5 | 56.5 | 7415154 | U | APP Q2 | 20–34 |
2024 · Week 13 |
BGSU -12.5 | 54.5 | 7173551 | U | BGSU Q3 | 38–13 |
2024 · Week 13 |
RICE -6.5 | 52.5 | 28414154 | Q4 | UAB Q1 | 14–40 |
2024 · Week 13 |
FSU -33.5 | 44.5 | 0173148 | Q4 | FSU Q4 Late over |
7–41 |
2024 · Week 13 |
TENN -41.5 | 54.5 | 0284956 | Q4 | TENN Q3 | 0–56 |
2024 · Week 13 |
LIB -1.5 | 55.5 | 0284959 | Q4 | LIB Q2 Late over |
21–38 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UGA -42.5 | 55.5 | 14426680 | Q3 | MASS Q1 | 21–59 |
2024 · Week 13 |
OSU -10.5 | 51.5 | 7213553 | Q4 | OSU Q3 Late over |
15–38 |
2024 · Week 13 |
MIA -23.5 | 65.5 | 17343456 | U | MIA Q4 Late cover flip |
14–42 |
2024 · Week 13 |
MISS -13.5 | 57.5 | 0283441 | U | FLA Q1 | 17–24 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 48% 31
Q2 20% 13
Q3 12% 8
Q4 20% 13
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 89% and covered 76% of 63 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 90% and covered 74% of 62 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 12 | 100% 12 |
| 1–3 | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 4–7 | 10 | 90% 9 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 6 | 83% 5 |
| 15–17 | 8 | 50% 4 |
| 18–21 | 6 | 50% 3 |
| 22+ | 17 | 12% 2 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.