When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

65 games · 2024 · Week 13 · pick one to list those games
60% went over. Of the 39 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 31% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 20% of games.

All 65 games

2024 · Week 13 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2024 · Week 13
USC -4.5 52.5 6122232 U USC Q4
Late cover flip
19–13
2024 · Week 13
NEV -2.5 44.5 0131941 U AFA Q4 22–19
2024 · Week 13
FRES -3.5 42.5 14354250 Q4 FRES Q2
Late over
22–28
2024 · Week 13
VT -2.5 45.5 21384859 Q3 DUKE Q1 28–31
2024 · Week 13
KSU -7.5 54.5 10303656 Q4 KSU Q1 15–41
2024 · Week 13
LSU -9.5 52.5 14213141 U VAN Q4 17–24
2024 · Week 13
ALA -14.5 46.5 3132727 U OU Q1 3–24
2024 · Week 13
TA&M -2.5 47.5 1428496284 Q3 AUB Q1 41–43
2024 · Week 13
ISU -3.5 42.5 10303759 Q4 UTAH Q4
Lead lost
31–28
2024 · Week 13
ODU -2.5 51.5 3245577 Q3 MRSH Q1 42–35
2024 · Week 13
ND -14.5 44.5 14354963 Q3 ND Q2 14–49
2024 · Week 13
BOIS -25.5 54.5 10202030 U WYO Q1 17–13
2024 · Week 13
WSU -10.5 55.5 14385579 Q4 ORST Q1
Lead lost
38–41
2024 · Week 13
BAY -6.5 50.5 14242430 U BAY Q2 20–10
2024 · Week 13
TXST -22.5 59.5 28596696 Q3 GAST Q1 52–44
2024 · Week 13
UL -7.5 51.5 21485981 Q3 UL Q2 30–51
2024 · Week 13
MIZ -9.5 57.5 24415159 Q4 MIZ Q2 39–20
WOF @ SC
2024 · Week 13
SC -42.5 49.5 10304468 Q4 SC Q4
Late cover flip
12–56
2024 · Week 13
ARK -23.5 48.5 0142849 Q4 LT Q1
Late over
14–35
2024 · Week 13
LOU -7.5 57.5 10274446 U LOU Q1 9–37
2024 · Week 13
TEX -18.5 46.5 7313845 U UK Q1 14–31
2024 · Week 13
PSU -11.5 45.5 7354551 Q4 MINN Q1 26–25
2024 · Week 13
ASU -3.5 48.5 7244551 Q4 ASU Q1 23–28
2024 · Week 13
COLO -1.5 59.5 10375158 U KU Q1 21–37
CIT @ CLEM
2024 · Week 13
CLEM -48.5 58.5 14355265 Q4 CIT Q1 14–51
2024 · Week 13
MICH -10.5 34.5 10233756 Q3 MICH Q2 6–50
2024 · Week 13
NEB -1.5 40.5 14345169 Q3 NEB Q2 25–44
2024 · Week 13
CAL -15.5 52.5 14213145 U STAN Q1
Lead lost
21–24
2024 · Week 13
TTU -4.5 62.5 213563104 Q3 TTU Q1 56–48
2024 · Week 13
UCF -3.5 60.5 14284252 U WVU Q1 21–31
2024 · Week 13
USU -4.5 59.5 3273461 Q4 USU Q3
Late over
20–41
2024 · Week 13
CCU -1.5 59.5 13161932 U GASO Q1 26–6
2024 · Week 13
UNT -2.5 73.5 14285968 U ECU Q3 40–28
2024 · Week 13
USF -13.5 60.5 28495693 Q4 USF Q1 30–63
2024 · Week 13
TCU -10.5 60.5 21344877 Q4 TCU Q3 28–49
2024 · Week 13
FIU -8.5 41.5 3374353 Q3 KENN Q4
Lead lost
26–27
2024 · Week 13
ARST -2.5 51.5 14213549 U ARST Q2 21–28
2024 · Week 13
USA -24.5 54.5 8253949 U USM Q1 35–14
2024 · Week 13
CLT -3.5 49.5 13264666 Q4 CLT Q1 39–27
2024 · Week 13
MTSU -3.5 53.5 10204057 Q4 NMSU Q1 36–21
2024 · Week 13
JMU -6.5 56.5 7415154 U APP Q2 20–34
2024 · Week 13
BGSU -12.5 54.5 7173551 U BGSU Q3 38–13
2024 · Week 13
RICE -6.5 52.5 28414154 Q4 UAB Q1 14–40
CHSO @ FSU
2024 · Week 13
FSU -33.5 44.5 0173148 Q4 FSU Q4
Late over
7–41
2024 · Week 13
TENN -41.5 54.5 0284956 Q4 TENN Q3 0–56
2024 · Week 13
LIB -1.5 55.5 0284959 Q4 LIB Q2
Late over
21–38
2024 · Week 13
UGA -42.5 55.5 14426680 Q3 MASS Q1 21–59
2024 · Week 13
OSU -10.5 51.5 7213553 Q4 OSU Q3
Late over
15–38
2024 · Week 13
MIA -23.5 65.5 17343456 U MIA Q4
Late cover flip
14–42
2024 · Week 13
MISS -13.5 57.5 0283441 U FLA Q1 17–24

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 48% 31
Q2 20% 13
Q3 12% 8
Q4 20% 13
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 89% and covered 76% of 63 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 90% and covered 74% of 62 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over12100% 12
1–34100% 4
4–71090% 9
8–1020% 0
11–14683% 5
15–17850% 4
18–21650% 3
22+1712% 2
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.