Neville Arena · at Auburn · Conference game
Closing line
AUB -2.5✓ ALA covered by 6.5
AUB -2.5✓ ALA covered by 6.5Closing total175.5Over by 12.5
 ALA | This season | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| 15-7 | Record | 14-8 |
| 9-13 | ATS | 12-10 |
| 12-10 | O/U | 13-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALA 88–90 AUB · ✗ AUB (54%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | 37 | 59 | 96 |
| AUB | 41 | 51 | 92 |
1st half: ALA 37, AUB 41 (AUB by 4). The model had AUB by 0.6 and a total of 83.1 (actual 78).
Team stats
| ALA | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-59 54% | Field goals | 33-71 46% |
| 12-23 52% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 20-23 87% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 30 7 off | Rebounds | 35 14 off |
| 17 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 7 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Allen G | 35 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 33 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 7-15 | 3-6 |
| Aden Holloway G | 31 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Aiden Sherrell F | 24 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. G | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Charles Bediako C | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Houston Mallette G | 22 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| London Jemison F | 15 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Keitenn Bristow, Jack Fagan, Klark James, Jacob Martin, Collins Onyejiaka, Jalil Bethea, Preston Murphy Jr., Noah Williamson, Davion Hannah
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Overton G | 38 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 5-10 | 4-7 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 34 | 25 | 3 | 7 | 9-16 | 3-8 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 34 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 8-22 | 1-6 |
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 33 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 27 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elyjah Freeman G | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Filip Jovic C | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Abdul Bashir, Kaden Magwood, Drake Cardwell, Joah Shay, Simon Walker, Reed Trapp, CJ Williams
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAUB -2.5
ModelAUB -1.2
Model edgeALA +1.3
W ALA covered
Total
Market175.5
Model177.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
W Over
Projected score
ALA 88.3 · AUB 89.5
ALA 96 · AUB 92
Win probability
AUB 54%
1st half
Spread
AUB -0.6
AUB -4.0
Total
83.1
78 points
Projected score
ALA 41.3 · AUB 41.9
ALA 37 · AUB 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -1.5
1 → AUB
CloseAUB -2.5
1 pt toward AUB
Total
Open176.5
▼ 1
Close175.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ALA +124 · AUB -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -1.5 · closed AUB -2.5 · moved 1 toward AUBmodel AUB -1
model AUB -1
Opened 176.5 · closed 175.5 · moved 1 downmodel 178
model 178
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| AUB | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
ALA 4–4 AUBSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · ALA 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | ALA 93 @ AUB 91 | AUB -7.5 | ALA W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | AUB 94 @ ALA 85 | ALA -1.5 | AUB W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | ALA 81 @ AUB 99 | AUB -5.5 | AUB W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | AUB 75 @ ALA 79 | ALA -2.5 | ALA W |
| Mar 1, 2022-23 | AUB 85 @ ALA 90 | ALA -9.5 | AUB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama
22 games played
Straight up
15-7
68% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ SJU | W 103-96 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 13 | vs PUR | L 80-87 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 19 | vs ILL | W 90-86 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 24 | vs GONZ | L 85-95 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNLV | W 115-76 | -13.5 | W +25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 26 | vs MD | W 105-72 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLEM | W 90-84 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTSA | W 97-55 | -33.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARIZ | L 75-96 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs USF | W 104-93 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs KENN | W 92-81 | -20.5 | L −9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Dec 29 | vs YALE | W 102-78 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vs UK | W 89-74 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | @ VAN | L 90-96 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs TEX | L 88-92 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 13 | @ MSST | W 97-82 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 17 | @ OU | W 83-81 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 177.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 24 | vs TENN | L 73-79 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 167.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 27 | vs MIZ | W 90-64 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 1 | @ FLA | L 77-100 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 176.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 4 | vs TA&M | W 100-97 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 180.5 | O 197 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+18.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
−2.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
+8.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−18.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
−3.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
+9.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
−2.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
−15.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+10.5
17
@OU
OUW 83-81
−3.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 73-79
−10.5
27
vsMIZ
MIZW 90-64
+15.5
1
@FLA
FLAL 77-100
−13.5
4
vsTA&M
TA&MW 100-97
−5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+10.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
+8.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
−19.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−7.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
+18.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
−10.5
7
@VAN
VANL 90-96
+9.5
10
vsTEX
TEXL 88-92
+2.5
13
@MSST
MSSTW 97-82
+7.5
17
@OU
OUW 83-81
−13.5
24
vsTENN
TENNL 73-79
−15.5
27
vsMIZ
MIZW 90-64
−13.5
1
@FLA
FLAL 77-100
+0.5
4
vsTA&M
TA&MW 100-97
+16.5
over 12under 10avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
22 games played
Straight up
14-8
64% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-9
59% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vsSJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vsPUR | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs QUC | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ UGA | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vsTA&M | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARK | W 95-73 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | @MIZ | L 74-84 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | vs SC | W 71-67 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ MISS | W 78-66 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @FLA | W 76-67 | +11.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | vsTEX | W 88-82 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @TENN | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−20.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
+15.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+2.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
−8.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
+19.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
−11.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−9.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
+8.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
+20.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
−0.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−2.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−4.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
−0.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+30.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
+9.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
−1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
+4.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−14.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
−7.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
−16.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
+15.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−1.5
over 13under 9avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama
15-7 overall · 5-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas A&M100–97
- L@ Florida77–100
- Wvs Missouri90–64
- Lvs Tennessee73–79
- W@ Oklahoma83–81
3 days since their last game.
Auburn
14-8 overall · 5-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tennessee69–77
- Wvs Texas88–82
- W@ Florida76–67
- W@ Ole Miss78–66
- Wvs South Carolina71–67
A week or more of rest.