Lloyd Noble Center · at Oklahoma · Conference game
Closing line
ARK -3.5✓ ARK covered by 0.5
ARK -3.5✓ ARK covered by 0.5Closing total167.5Under by 5.5
| ARK | This season | OU |
|---|---|---|
| 15-5 | Record | 11-9 |
| 13-7 | ATS | 7-13 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 9-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARK 87–82 OU · ✓ ARK (67%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK | 44 | 39 | 83 |
| OU | 48 | 31 | 79 |
1st half: ARK 44, OU 48 (OU by 4). The model had ARK by 3.0 and a total of 78.7 (actual 92).
Team stats
| ARK | OU | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-63 56% | Field goals | 29-63 46% |
| 2-17 12% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 11-13 85% | Free throws | 11-12 92% |
| 31 7 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 17 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 2 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 56 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 36 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 7-16 | 1-4 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 35 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Meleek Thomas G | 31 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 7-15 | 0-4 |
| Karter Knox G | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-4 |
| Nick Pringle F | 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Malique Ewin F | 19 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Billy Richmond III G | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| DJ Wagner G | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Amere Brown, Jaden Karuletwa, Ayden Kelley, Paulo Semedo, Karim Rtail, Elmir Dzafic, Isaiah Sealy
| OU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzayvier Brown G | 38 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 6-15 | 1-5 |
| Tae Davis F | 35 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5-12 | 0-2 |
| Derrion Reid F | 33 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Nijel Pack G | 32 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 8-15 | 6-11 |
| Mohamed Wague F | 28 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jeff Nwankwo G | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Kirill Elatontsev C | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jadon Jones G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Alec Blair, Kuol Atak, Reid Lovelace, Andreas Holst, Kai Rogers, Dayton Forsythe, Jake Hansen, Finley Keeffe
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARK -3.5
ModelARK -4.9
Model edgeARK +1.4
W ARK covered
Total
Market167.5
Model168.1
Model edgeOver 0.6
L Under
Projected score
ARK 86.5 · OU 81.6
ARK 83 · OU 79
Win probability
ARK 67%
1st half
Spread
ARK -3.0
OU -4.0
Total
78.7
92 points
Projected score
ARK 40.8 · OU 37.8
ARK 44 · OU 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARK -2.5
1 → ARK
CloseARK -3.5
1 pt toward ARK
Total
Open166.5
▲ 1
Close167.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ARK -166 · OU +140
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARK -2.5 · closed ARK -3.5 · moved 1 toward ARKmodel ARK -5
model ARK -5
Opened 166.5 · closed 167.5 · moved 1 upmodel 168
model 168
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| OU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ARK 1–3 OUOU leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · OU has won the last 2 meetings · ARK 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | OU 65 @ ARK 62 | ARK -3.5 | OU W |
| Dec 9, 2023-24 | ARK 70 vs OU 79 | OU -4.5 | OU W |
| Dec 10, 2022-23 | OU 78 vs ARK 88 | ARK -3.5 | ARK W |
| Dec 11, 2021-22 | ARK 66 vs OU 88 | OU +1 | OU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arkansas
20 games played
Straight up
15-5
75% wins
Against the spread
13-7
65% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs CARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs WIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs DUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs LOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs TTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vs TENN | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 7 | @ MISS | W 94-87 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | @ AUB | L 73-95 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | vs SC | W 108-74 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @ UGA | L 76-90 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | vs VAN | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | vs LSU | W 85-81 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+12.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+3.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−19.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+21.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−11.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
+23.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
−6.5
covered 13didn’t cover 7avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+2.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+27.5
10
@AUB
AUBL 73-95
−1.5
14
vsSC
SCW 108-74
+26.5
17
@UGA
UGAL 76-90
−15.5
20
vsVAN
VANW 93-68
−12.5
24
vsLSU
LSUW 85-81
+2.5
over 11under 9avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oklahoma
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
7-13
35% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SFPA | W 102-66 | -31.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ GONZ | L 68-83 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs UAPB | W 95-69 | -36.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 15 | vs NEB | L 99-105 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs ORU | W 95-71 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs ALCN | W 72-53 | -31.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs MARQ | W 75-74 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | @ WAKE | W 86-68 | +4.5 | W +22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs ASU | L 70-86 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs OKST | W 85-76 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 169.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs KC | W 89-67 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs STET | W 107-54 | -31.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 29 | vs MVSU | W 93-69 | -44.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | vsMISS | W 86-70 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ MSST | L 53-72 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ TA&M | L 76-83 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | vs FLA | L 79-96 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | vs ALA | L 81-83 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 177.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 20 | @SC | L 76-85 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | @ MIZ | L 87-88 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+4.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−4.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−10.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
−4.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−12.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−0.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
+22.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−21.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
+6.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
−8.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+21.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
−20.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−17.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−2.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 79-96
−9.5
17
vsALA
ALAL 81-83
+3.5
20
@SC
SCL 76-85
−11.5
24
@MIZ
MIZL 87-88
+3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 13avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+18.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−15.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−4.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
+40.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−35.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−13.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
−5.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−1.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
−8.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
+2.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+12.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
+8.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−33.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−6.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 79-96
+17.5
17
vsALA
ALAL 81-83
−13.5
20
@SC
SCL 76-85
+10.5
24
@MIZ
MIZL 87-88
+23.5
over 9under 11avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arkansas
15-5 overall · 5-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs LSU85–81
- Wvs Vanderbilt93–68
- L@ Georgia76–90
- Wvs South Carolina108–74
- L@ Auburn73–95
3 days since their last game.
Oklahoma
11-9 overall · 1-6 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Missouri87–88
- L@ South Carolina76–85
- Lvs Alabama81–83
- Lvs Florida79–96
- L@ Texas A&M76–83
3 days since their last game.