VyStar Arena · at Kennesaw St · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -1.5✓ KENN covered by 10.5
LIB -1.5✓ KENN covered by 10.5Closing total152.5Under by 13.5
| LIB | This season | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| 20-4 | Record | 13-11 |
| 11-13 | ATS | 11-13 |
| 14-10 | O/U | 12-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIB 78–78 KENN · ✗ LIB (52%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 29 | 36 | 65 |
| KENN | 32 | 42 | 74 |
1st half: LIB 29, KENN 32 (KENN by 3). The model had LIB by 0.5 and a total of 73.0 (actual 61).
Team stats
| LIB | KENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-42 45% | Field goals | 28-55 51% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 11-18 61% |
| 19-23 83% | Free throws | 7-12 58% |
| 21 1 off | Rebounds | 32 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 14 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 6 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 17 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 38 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5-9 | 5-7 |
| Zach Cleveland F | 35 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Colin Porter G | 35 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Kaden Metheny G | 34 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2-9 | 2-7 |
| JJ Harper G | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Smith F | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Zander Carter G | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Zander Yates F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Drew Grimes F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: TJ Drain, Brady Kester, Torr Sorensen, Isaiah Ihnen, Ryan Jones Jr., JC Shirer Jr.
| KENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Johnson G | 34 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 8-13 | 5-6 |
| Frankquon Sherman F | 33 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7-12 | 3-3 |
| Braedan Lue F | 27 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Trey Simpson F | 24 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Amir Taylor F | 22 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Harris G | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Kaden Rickard G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Perry Smith Jr. C | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ramone Seals F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brendan Tousignaut, Chase Clemmons, Nigel Thomas, Darius Washington III, Dozie Onyirimba, Jamil Miller, Simeon Cottle, Charles Stone, Eric Holland, Davin Cosby Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLIB -1.5
ModelLIB -0.6
Model edgeKENN +0.9
W KENN covered
Total
Market152.5
Model156.2
Model edgeOver 3.7
L Under
Projected score
LIB 78.4 · KENN 77.8
LIB 65 · KENN 74
Win probability
LIB 52%
1st half
Spread
LIB -0.5
KENN -3.0
Total
73.0
61 points
Projected score
LIB 36.7 · KENN 36.3
LIB 29 · KENN 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -2.5
1 → KENN
CloseLIB -1.5
1 pt toward KENN
Total
Open154.5
▼ 2
Close152.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
LIB -115 · KENN -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -2.5 · closed LIB -1.5 · moved 1 toward KENNmodel LIB -0.5
model LIB -0.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 downmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| KENN | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
LIB 5–3 KENNLIB leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · LIB has won the last 2 meetings · LIB 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025-26 | KENN 73 @ LIB 81 | LIB -7.5 | LIB W |
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | KENN 79 vs LIB 81 | LIB -6.5 | KENN W |
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | KENN 85 @ LIB 80 | LIB -8.5 | KENN W |
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | LIB 76 @ KENN 68 | KENN +3.5 | LIB W |
| Mar 5, 2022-23 | LIB 66 @ KENN 67 | KENN +5.5 | KENN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Liberty
24 games played
Straight up
20-4
83% wins
Against the spread
11-13
46% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-10
58% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @ FIU | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vsKENN | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | vs JXST | W 78-69 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 8 | @ LT | W 72-56 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @ SHSU | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vs NMSU | W 73-71 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs UTEP | W 80-69 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ WKU | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | vs DEL | W 67-51 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 29 | @ MTSU | W 81-65 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 4 | @DEL | W 75-69 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 7 | vs MOST | W 79-76 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 11 | @NMSU | W 77-75 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 14 | @UTEP | W 73-64 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 19 | vsFIU | W 90-89 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 21 | vsWKU | L 73-94 | -7.5 | L −28.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
−1.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
+0.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
−0.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
+11.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−6.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
−2.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
+5.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
+0.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+14.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
−4.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
−6.5
11
@NMSU
NMSUW 77-75
−1.5
14
@UTEP
UTEPW 73-64
+2.5
19
vsFIU
FIUW 90-89
−8.5
21
vsWKU
WKUL 73-94
−28.5
covered 11didn’t cover 13avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
+38.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
−4.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
+12.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
−7.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+1.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−1.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
+11.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
−3.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
−16.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+9.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
+11.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
+14.5
11
@NMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+7.5
14
@UTEP
UTEPW 73-64
−2.5
19
vsFIU
FIUW 90-89
+26.5
21
vsWKU
WKUL 73-94
+19.5
over 14under 10avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kennesaw St
24 games played
Straight up
13-11
54% wins
Against the spread
11-13
46% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-12
50% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ FAMU | W 92-72 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 16 | vs USF | L 89-108 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 24 | vs RICE | W 89-84 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORU | L 83-91 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 166.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | @ FGCU | W 102-100 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 202 |
| Dec 2 | vs JKST | W 88-73 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs GAST | W 92-69 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @MTSU | L 67-68 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 21 | vs ALA | L 81-92 | +20.5 | W +9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Jan 2 | @LIB | L 73-81 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | @DEL | L 52-67 | -8.5 | L −23.5 | 148.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 7 | vsMOST | W 90-80 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vsJXST | W 88-82 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 14 | vsFIU | W 89-86 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 175.5 | U 175 |
| Jan 17 | @WKU | W 81-65 | +7.5 | W +23.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 21 | @SHSU | L 87-93 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 23 | @LT | L 76-82 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 28 | vsWKU | W 72-69 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | vsNMSU | W 76-53 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 159.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 7 | @JXST | L 58-77 | -1.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 12 | vsMTSU | L 87-90 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 14 | vsSHSU | L 79-83 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 18 | @MOST | W 91-87 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 21 | vsLT | W 58-55 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 113 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@FAMU
FAMUW 92-72
+8.5
16
vsUSF
USFL 89-108
−11.5
24
vsRICE
RICEW 89-84
+0.5
25
vsORU
ORUL 83-91
−16.5
26
@FGCU
FGCUW 102-100
+3.5
2
vsJKST
JKSTW 88-73
−0.5
6
vsGAST
GASTW 92-69
+8.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
+2.5
21
vsALA
ALAL 81-92
+9.5
2
@LIB
LIBL 73-81
−0.5
4
@DEL
DELL 52-67
−23.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-80
+3.5
10
vsJXST
JXSTW 88-82
+0.5
14
vsFIU
FIUW 89-86
−2.5
17
@WKU
WKUW 81-65
+23.5
21
@SHSU
SHSUL 87-93
−0.5
23
@LT
LTL 76-82
−7.5
28
vsWKU
WKUW 72-69
−1.5
31
vsNMSU
NMSUW 76-53
+19.5
7
@JXST
JXSTL 58-77
−20.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
−6.5
14
vsSHSU
SHSUL 79-83
−5.5
18
@MOST
MOSTW 91-87
+5.5
21
vsLT
LTW 58-55
−2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 13avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@FAMU
FAMUW 92-72
−2.5
16
vsUSF
USFL 89-108
+19.5
24
vsRICE
RICEW 89-84
+13.5
25
vsORU
ORUL 83-91
+7.5
26
@FGCU
FGCUW 102-100
+41.5
2
vsJKST
JKSTW 88-73
+3.5
6
vsGAST
GASTW 92-69
+2.5
17
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
−25.5
21
vsALA
ALAL 81-92
−9.5
2
@LIB
LIBL 73-81
−4.5
4
@DEL
DELL 52-67
−29.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-80
+17.5
10
vsJXST
JXSTW 88-82
+20.5
14
vsFIU
FIUW 89-86
−0.5
17
@WKU
WKUW 81-65
−19.5
21
@SHSU
SHSUL 87-93
+12.5
23
@LT
LTL 76-82
+13.5
28
vsWKU
WKUW 72-69
−19.5
31
vsNMSU
NMSUW 76-53
−30.5
7
@JXST
JXSTL 58-77
−14.5
12
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+28.5
14
vsSHSU
SHSUL 79-83
−0.5
18
@MOST
MOSTW 91-87
+25.5
21
vsLT
LTW 58-55
−34.5
over 12under 12avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Liberty
20-4 overall · 15-1 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Western KY73–94
- Wvs FIU90–89
- W@ UTEP73–64
- W@ New Mexico St77–75
- Wvs Missouri St79–76
5 days since their last game.
Kennesaw St
13-11 overall · 8-8 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Louisiana Tech58–55
- W@ Missouri St91–87
- Lvs Sam Houston79–83
- Lvs MTSU87–90
- L@ Jax State58–77
5 days since their last game.