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College game flow: when games go over and when the cover is settled

When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

Totals 55.5–63.5 ✕

When did they go over?

936 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 55.5–63.5 · pick one to list those games
Went overAll games936100%By halftime131%In Q312213%In Q430533%In OT71%Stayed under48952%
Last 5 minutesCover changed hands879%Over cashed13815%Leader lost the game637%
48% went over. Of the 447 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 30% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 20% of games.

All 936 games

2023–2026 · Totals 55.5–63.5 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2026 · Week 8
 MEM -10.5 55.5 1019446875 Q4 ECU Q1 34–41
2026 · Week 8
 JMU -12.5 56.5 724346265 Q4 APP Q1 31–34
2026 · Week 7
 LT -13.5 55.5 001424 U LT Q3 24–0
2026 · Week 7
 HOU -4 62.5 10174567 Q4 OKST Q4
Late cover flip Late over
 32–35
ELON @ STAN
2026 · Week 7
 STAN -33.5 55.5 0142841 U ELON Q1 7–34
2026 · Week 7
 LOU -14.5 56.5 24515160 Q4 SYR Q1 34–26
2026 · Week 7
 MIA -20.5 57.5 728355678 OT FSU Q1
Late over
 35–43
2026 · Week 7
 ARST -5.5 61.5 6232336 U ARST Q1 23–13
2026 · Week 7
 MISS -4 57.5 10242434 U MISS Q2 3–31
2026 · Week 7
 VT -8.5 55.5 14274858 Q4 VT Q1 24–34
CIT @ TA&M
2026 · Week 7
 TA&M -46.5 56.5 7283441 U CIT Q1 0–41
2026 · Week 7
 MD -5.5 55.5 14365367 Q4 RUTG Q3
Late over
 37–30
2026 · Week 7
 LSU -17.5 56.5 14213131 U LSU Q2 0–31
2026 · Week 7
 KSU -3 55.5 24354959 Q4 KSU Q4 24–35
2026 · Week 7
 ARMY -2.5 55.5 28495980 Q3 ARMY Q2 24–56
2026 · Week 7
 JMU -7.5 57.5 21455871 Q3 JMU Q2 22–49
2026 · Week 7
 MEM -6.5 55.5 3333348 U TULN Q1 17–31
2026 · Week 6
 MEM -15.5 55.5 14233751 U MEM Q4 13–38
2026 · Week 6
 MRSH -4.5 57.5 3133448 U CCU Q1 27–21
2026 · Week 6
 OSU -31.5 56.5 17415461 Q4 MD Q1
Late over
 16–45
2026 · Week 6
 TEM -3.5 55.5 28414454 U CONN Q1 34–20
2026 · Week 6
 ND -40.5 55.5 14375165 Q4 ND Q4 7–58
2026 · Week 6
 ORE -10 57.5 9161632 U UCLA Q1 17–15
2026 · Week 6
 KSU -2.5 55.5 10244451 U HOU Q1 35–16
2026 · Week 6
 UNT -27.5 58.5 13505760 Q4 UNT Q2 10–50
2026 · Week 6
 FLA -10.5 59.5 14274457 U SC Q1 38–19
2026 · Week 6
 ARIZ -3.5 61.5 17416283 Q3 ARIZ Q1 52–31
2026 · Week 6
 WAKE -4 56.5 14244552 U WAKE Q3 38–14
2026 · Week 6
 LOU -4 60.5 14284264 Q4 LOU Q3 20–44
2026 · Week 6
 ARST -3 60.5 216284105 Q2 USA Q1 56–49
2026 · Week 6
 MOST -1.5 56.5 10273747 U WKU Q1 13–34
2026 · Week 5
 ARIZ -7 56.5 7102441 U ARIZ Q2 7–34
2026 · Week 5
 TXST -10 57.5 13204160 Q4 SDSU Q3
Late over
 29–31
2026 · Week 5
 IU -24.5 56.5 10234462 Q4 IU Q3 47–15
MCN @ LSU
2026 · Week 5
 LSU -53.5 62.5 14356377 Q3 MCN Q1 14–63
2026 · Week 5
 USC -7.5 58.5 10244346 U WASH Q1 21–25
2026 · Week 5
 UTSA -11.5 56.5 13232330 U RICE Q1 16–14
2026 · Week 5
 USA -12.5 57.5 28457387 Q3 USA Q1 35–52
2026 · Week 5
 ORST -7 60.5 21496282 Q3 ORST Q2 56–26
TXSO @ FAU
2026 · Week 5
 FAU -47.5 62.5 31596976 Q3 FAU Q3 10–66
2026 · Week 5
 ILL -9.5 62.5 3202341 U PUR Q1 24–17
2026 · Week 5
 FLA -5.5 57.5 6304062 Q4 MIZ Q1
Late over
 17–45
2026 · Week 5
 JMU -14.5 55.5 17525562 Q4 JMU Q2
Late over
 17–45
2026 · Week 5
 LOU -5.5 56.5 3204959 Q4 NCSU Q1 28–31
2026 · Week 5
 ALA -5.5 62.5 21456579 Q3 ALA Q1 56–23
2026 · Week 5
 SMU -21.5 55.5 16232941 U BC Q1 16–25
2026 · Week 5
 UNT -3 56.5 327557689 Q4 TLSA Q4
Late cover flip
 45–44
2026 · Week 5
 NMSU -1.5 55.5 9264047 U NMSU Q1 13–34
2026 · Week 4
 SMU -30.5 60.5 10243158 U MOST Q1 24–34
2026 · Week 4
 ORST -11.5 56.5 17203440 U ORST Q1 33–7
Final score is away–home. Points by quarter are combined points at the end of each quarter; the highlighted one is when the over cashed.Show 936

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 51% 477
Q2 16% 148
Q3 13% 119
Q4 19% 181
OT 0% 3
Push 1% 8
The team leading at halftime won 85% and covered 68% of 875 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 89% and covered 70% of 901 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over135100% 135
1–35496% 52
4–76891% 62
8–106277% 48
11–1410758% 62
15–177348% 35
18–219626% 25
22+3418% 28
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.