When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

64 games · 2025 · Week 13 · pick one to list those games
47% went over. Of the 30 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 40% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 20% of games.

All 64 games

2025 · Week 13 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2025 · Week 13
WASH -10.5 51.5 3204162 Q4 WASH Q2 48–14
2025 · Week 13
FRES -1.5 50.5 14243145 U USU Q4 28–17
2025 · Week 13
SDSU -9.5 51.5 11212128 U SDSU Q1 3–25
2025 · Week 13
BYU -2.5 57.5 7172440 U BYU Q1 26–14
2025 · Week 13
ASU -6.5 47.5 10203859 Q4 ASU Q4 42–17
2025 · Week 13
LSU -25.5 53.5 3101323 U WKU Q1 10–13
2025 · Week 13
TENN -3.5 57.5 14313442 U TENN Q1 31–11
2025 · Week 13
ILL -8.5 41.5 7172737 U WIS Q1 10–27
2025 · Week 13
CAL -4.5 47.5 3242741 U STAN Q1 10–31
2025 · Week 13
UNT -18.5 56.5 21426380 Q3 UNT Q3 56–24
2025 · Week 13
GT -2.5 61.5 21424970 Q4 PITT Q1
Late over
42–28
2025 · Week 13
PSU -7.5 45.5 7264047 Q4 PSU Q2 10–37
2025 · Week 13
UNM -3.5 53.5 7171723 U UNM Q1 20–3
2025 · Week 13
BOIS -17.5 46.5 14344170 Q4 BOIS Q2 21–49
2025 · Week 13
TXST -20.5 60.5 032445 U ULM Q1 14–31
FUR @ CLEM
2025 · Week 13
CLEM -43.5 55.5 17344155 U FUR Q1 10–45
2025 · Week 13
SC -24.5 50.5 20374458 Q4 SC Q2 7–51
2025 · Week 13
UTAH -18.5 52.5 14527398 Q3 KSU Q1
Lead lost
47–51
2025 · Week 13
MICH -13.5 46.5 14314865 Q3 MICH Q3 45–20
2025 · Week 13
TCU -1.5 55.5 14212831 U TCU Q4 17–14
2025 · Week 13
UCF -12.5 47.5 7142131 U OKST Q1 14–17
2025 · Week 13
TROY -10.5 51.5 0162950 U TROY Q4 19–31
2025 · Week 13
TULN -7.5 54.5 17273350 U TULN Q2 37–13
2025 · Week 13
ORE -12.5 60.5 21425669 Q4 ORE Q2 27–42
2025 · Week 13
ND -36.5 50.5 35495677 Q3 ND Q2 7–70
2025 · Week 13
VAN -6.5 53.5 3274862 Q4 VAN Q2 17–45
2025 · Week 13
TEX -10.5 57.5 20446889 Q3 TEX Q3 37–52
2025 · Week 13
IOWA -17.5 43.5 7102437 U MSU Q1
Lead lost
17–20
2025 · Week 13
DUKE -6.5 50.5 14274257 Q4 DUKE Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
32–25
2025 · Week 13
FIU -2.5 56.5 14213848 U FIU Q4 21–27
2025 · Week 13
USM -2.5 53.5 7284977 Q4 USA Q1 35–42
2025 · Week 13
ECU -2.5 61.5 14375482 Q4 UTSA Q1 24–58
2025 · Week 13
CONN -5.5 64.5 27446593 Q3 FAU Q3 48–45
2025 · Week 13
LIB -1.5 45.5 1020425662 Q4 LT Q4 28–34
2025 · Week 13
MTSU -6.5 53.5 10202748 U MTSU Q3 17–31
2025 · Week 13
UTEP -4.5 45.5 21424865 Q3 NMSU Q2 34–31
2025 · Week 13
USF -22.5 68.5 17274466 U USF Q3 48–18
2025 · Week 13
MRSH -3.5 57.5 10374750 U APP Q3
Lead lost
24–26
EIU @ ALA
2025 · Week 13
ALA -54.5 59.5 14284256 U ALA Q4
Late cover flip
0–56
MER @ AUB
2025 · Week 13
AUB -26.5 49.5 28526679 Q2 AUB Q3 17–62
2025 · Week 13
KENN -6.5 54.5 17275475 Q4 KENN Q4
Late cover flip
34–41
2025 · Week 13
WYO -6.5 40.5 071720 U NEV Q1 13–7
2025 · Week 13
TOL -28.5 45.5 14273447 Q4 TOL Q4
Late over
9–38
2025 · Week 13
JMU -15.5 45.5 6273444 U WSU Q1 20–24
2025 · Week 13
ARIZ -6.5 60.5 21313858 U ARIZ Q4 17–41
2025 · Week 13
ODU -10.5 62.5 14314855 U ODU Q1 45–10
2025 · Week 13
UGA -42.5 53.5 14313838 U CLT Q1 3–35
2025 · Week 13
OSU -28.5 54.5 7173151 U OSU Q4
Late cover flip
9–42
SAM @ TA&M
2025 · Week 13
TA&M -53.5 58.5 21313848 U SAM Q1 0–48
2025 · Week 13
OU -4.5 42.5 3202323 U OU Q2 6–17

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 42% 27
Q2 22% 14
Q3 16% 10
Q4 20% 13
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 74% of 61 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 86% and covered 78% of 59 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over12100% 12
1–31100% 1
4–79100% 9
8–103100% 3
11–14863% 5
15–1740% 0
18–2190% 0
22+180% 0
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.