When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
64 games · 2025 · Week 13 · pick one to list those games
47% went over. Of the 30 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 40% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 20% of games.
All 64 games
2025 · Week 13 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 13 |
WASH -10.5 | 51.5 | 3204162 | Q4 | WASH Q2 | 48–14 |
2025 · Week 13 |
FRES -1.5 | 50.5 | 14243145 | U | USU Q4 | 28–17 |
2025 · Week 13 |
SDSU -9.5 | 51.5 | 11212128 | U | SDSU Q1 | 3–25 |
2025 · Week 13 |
BYU -2.5 | 57.5 | 7172440 | U | BYU Q1 | 26–14 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ASU -6.5 | 47.5 | 10203859 | Q4 | ASU Q4 | 42–17 |
2025 · Week 13 |
LSU -25.5 | 53.5 | 3101323 | U | WKU Q1 | 10–13 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TENN -3.5 | 57.5 | 14313442 | U | TENN Q1 | 31–11 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ILL -8.5 | 41.5 | 7172737 | U | WIS Q1 | 10–27 |
2025 · Week 13 |
CAL -4.5 | 47.5 | 3242741 | U | STAN Q1 | 10–31 |
2025 · Week 13 |
UNT -18.5 | 56.5 | 21426380 | Q3 | UNT Q3 | 56–24 |
2025 · Week 13 |
GT -2.5 | 61.5 | 21424970 | Q4 | PITT Q1 Late over |
42–28 |
2025 · Week 13 |
PSU -7.5 | 45.5 | 7264047 | Q4 | PSU Q2 | 10–37 |
2025 · Week 13 |
UNM -3.5 | 53.5 | 7171723 | U | UNM Q1 | 20–3 |
2025 · Week 13 |
BOIS -17.5 | 46.5 | 14344170 | Q4 | BOIS Q2 | 21–49 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TXST -20.5 | 60.5 | 032445 | U | ULM Q1 | 14–31 |
2025 · Week 13 |
CLEM -43.5 | 55.5 | 17344155 | U | FUR Q1 | 10–45 |
2025 · Week 13 |
SC -24.5 | 50.5 | 20374458 | Q4 | SC Q2 | 7–51 |
2025 · Week 13 |
UTAH -18.5 | 52.5 | 14527398 | Q3 | KSU Q1 Lead lost |
47–51 |
2025 · Week 13 |
MICH -13.5 | 46.5 | 14314865 | Q3 | MICH Q3 | 45–20 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TCU -1.5 | 55.5 | 14212831 | U | TCU Q4 | 17–14 |
2025 · Week 13 |
UCF -12.5 | 47.5 | 7142131 | U | OKST Q1 | 14–17 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TROY -10.5 | 51.5 | 0162950 | U | TROY Q4 | 19–31 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TULN -7.5 | 54.5 | 17273350 | U | TULN Q2 | 37–13 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ORE -12.5 | 60.5 | 21425669 | Q4 | ORE Q2 | 27–42 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ND -36.5 | 50.5 | 35495677 | Q3 | ND Q2 | 7–70 |
2025 · Week 13 |
VAN -6.5 | 53.5 | 3274862 | Q4 | VAN Q2 | 17–45 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TEX -10.5 | 57.5 | 20446889 | Q3 | TEX Q3 | 37–52 |
2025 · Week 13 |
IOWA -17.5 | 43.5 | 7102437 | U | MSU Q1 Lead lost |
17–20 |
2025 · Week 13 |
DUKE -6.5 | 50.5 | 14274257 | Q4 | DUKE Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
32–25 |
2025 · Week 13 |
FIU -2.5 | 56.5 | 14213848 | U | FIU Q4 | 21–27 |
2025 · Week 13 |
USM -2.5 | 53.5 | 7284977 | Q4 | USA Q1 | 35–42 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ECU -2.5 | 61.5 | 14375482 | Q4 | UTSA Q1 | 24–58 |
2025 · Week 13 |
CONN -5.5 | 64.5 | 27446593 | Q3 | FAU Q3 | 48–45 |
2025 · Week 13 |
LIB -1.5 | 45.5 | 1020425662 | Q4 | LT Q4 | 28–34 |
2025 · Week 13 |
MTSU -6.5 | 53.5 | 10202748 | U | MTSU Q3 | 17–31 |
2025 · Week 13 |
UTEP -4.5 | 45.5 | 21424865 | Q3 | NMSU Q2 | 34–31 |
2025 · Week 13 |
USF -22.5 | 68.5 | 17274466 | U | USF Q3 | 48–18 |
2025 · Week 13 |
MRSH -3.5 | 57.5 | 10374750 | U | APP Q3 Lead lost |
24–26 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ALA -54.5 | 59.5 | 14284256 | U | ALA Q4 Late cover flip |
0–56 |
2025 · Week 13 |
AUB -26.5 | 49.5 | 28526679 | Q2 | AUB Q3 | 17–62 |
2025 · Week 13 |
KENN -6.5 | 54.5 | 17275475 | Q4 | KENN Q4 Late cover flip |
34–41 |
2025 · Week 13 |
WYO -6.5 | 40.5 | 071720 | U | NEV Q1 | 13–7 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TOL -28.5 | 45.5 | 14273447 | Q4 | TOL Q4 Late over |
9–38 |
2025 · Week 13 |
JMU -15.5 | 45.5 | 6273444 | U | WSU Q1 | 20–24 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ARIZ -6.5 | 60.5 | 21313858 | U | ARIZ Q4 | 17–41 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ODU -10.5 | 62.5 | 14314855 | U | ODU Q1 | 45–10 |
2025 · Week 13 |
UGA -42.5 | 53.5 | 14313838 | U | CLT Q1 | 3–35 |
2025 · Week 13 |
OSU -28.5 | 54.5 | 7173151 | U | OSU Q4 Late cover flip |
9–42 |
2025 · Week 13 |
TA&M -53.5 | 58.5 | 21313848 | U | SAM Q1 | 0–48 |
2025 · Week 13 |
OU -4.5 | 42.5 | 3202323 | U | OU Q2 | 6–17 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 42% 27
Q2 22% 14
Q3 16% 10
Q4 20% 13
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 82% and covered 74% of 61 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 86% and covered 78% of 59 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 12 | 100% 12 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 9 | 100% 9 |
| 8–10 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 11–14 | 8 | 63% 5 |
| 15–17 | 4 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 9 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 18 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.