When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
46 games · 2025 · Postseason round 16 · pick one to list those games
43% went over. Of the 20 overs, 5% had cashed by halftime and 35% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 24% of games.
All 46 games
2025 · Postseason round 16 · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Postseason |
IU -7.5 | 47.5 | 3102448 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late over |
21–27 |
2025 · Postseason |
IU -3 | 50.5 | 21425778 | Q3 | IU Q1 | 22–56 |
2025 · Postseason |
MIA -3 | 52.5 | 3303358 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late over |
31–27 |
2025 · Postseason |
SMU -2.5 | 55.5 | 14243043 | U | SMU Q1 | 19–24 |
2025 · Postseason |
MSST -3 | 52.5 | 21245072 | Q4 | WAKE Q1 | 43–29 |
2025 · Postseason |
NAVY -7.5 | 57.5 | 7212848 | U | NAVY Q3 | 35–13 |
2025 · Postseason |
TXST -19.5 | 55.5 | 0173451 | U | TXST Q3 | 10–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
UGA -6 | 53.5 | 6334373 | Q4 | MISS Q3 | 39–34 |
2025 · Postseason |
IU -7.5 | 46.5 | 0172741 | U | IU Q2 | 3–38 |
2025 · Postseason |
TTU -1.5 | 50.5 | 361323 | U | ORE Q1 | 23–0 |
2025 · Postseason |
OSU -7.5 | 39.5 | 0142438 | U | MIA Q1 | 24–14 |
2025 · Postseason |
UTAH -13.5 | 51.5 | 21385266 | Q3 | UTAH Q3 | 22–44 |
2025 · Postseason |
TEX -4 | 50.5 | 13344468 | Q4 | TEX Q4 | 27–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
DUKE -4 | 49.5 | 28526781 | Q2 | ASU Q3 Lead lost |
39–42 |
2025 · Postseason |
VAN -3 | 47.5 | 7174161 | Q4 | IOWA Q1 | 34–27 |
2025 · Postseason |
USC -4.5 | 56.5 | 327354857 | OT | TCU Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–30 |
2025 · Postseason |
TENN -3 | 61.5 | 14173858 | U | ILL Q1 | 28–30 |
2025 · Postseason |
LT -10 | 51.5 | 7172037 | U | CCU Q1 | 14–23 |
2025 · Postseason |
GASO -10 | 58.5 | 7203639 | U | GASO Q3 | 29–10 |
2025 · Postseason |
HOU -1.5 | 43.5 | 21354973 | Q3 | HOU Q2 | 35–38 |
2025 · Postseason |
MIZ -4 | 43.5 | 7102020 | U | UVA Q3 | 13–7 |
2025 · Postseason |
UNT -7.5 | 55.5 | 27486296 | Q3 | SDSU Q4 Late cover flip |
49–47 |
2025 · Postseason |
FRES -5.5 | 40.5 | 3121221 | U | FRES Q2 | 3–18 |
2025 · Postseason |
BYU -3.5 | 55.5 | 14313146 | U | BYU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–25 |
2025 · Postseason |
ARMY -7.5 | 41.5 | 14243757 | Q4 | ARMY Q3 | 16–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
CLEM -2.5 | 47.5 | 39932 | U | PSU Q1 | 22–10 |
2025 · Postseason |
PITT -13.5 | 51.5 | 0103140 | U | ECU Q1 | 17–23 |
2025 · Postseason |
UTSA -7.5 | 63.5 | 28456077 | Q4 | UTSA Q2 | 20–57 |
2025 · Postseason |
MINN -1.5 | 44.5 | 313132837 | U | MINN OT Late cover flip |
17–20 |
2025 · Postseason |
NU -13.5 | 43.5 | 0213441 | U | NU Q2 | 7–34 |
2025 · Postseason |
HAW -1.5 | 50.5 | 7313466 | Q4 | HAW Q4 | 31–35 |
2025 · Postseason |
UNLV -6.5 | 64.5 | 061727 | U | OHIO Q1 | 10–17 |
2025 · Postseason |
USM -2.5 | 59.5 | 10192943 | U | WKU Q4 | 27–16 |
2025 · Postseason |
LOU -11.5 | 44.5 | 10101749 | Q4 | TOL Q1 Late over |
22–27 |
2025 · Postseason |
USU -1.5 | 50.5 | 7142755 | Q4 | WSU Q1 Late over |
34–21 |
2025 · Postseason |
ORE -20.5 | 47.5 | 16406885 | Q3 | JMU Q4 Late cover flip |
34–51 |
2025 · Postseason |
MISS -16.5 | 57.5 | 14203051 | U | MISS Q3 | 10–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
TA&M -3 | 48.5 | 00313 | U | MIA Q1 | 10–3 |
2025 · Postseason |
OU -2.5 | 42.5 | 10344458 | Q3 | ALA Q2 | 34–24 |
2025 · Postseason |
NCSU -3.5 | 56.5 | 14383838 | U | NCSU Q1 | 7–31 |
2025 · Postseason |
WMU -3.5 | 47.5 | 27344747 | U | WMU Q1 | 6–41 |
2025 · Postseason |
ARST -1.5 | 55.5 | 21313862 | Q4 | ARST Q1 Late over |
28–34 |
2025 · Postseason |
UL -1.5 | 60.5 | 7132633 | U | DEL Q1 | 13–20 |
2025 · Postseason |
USF -4 | 52.5 | 10172734 | U | ODU Q1 | 24–10 |
2025 · Postseason |
JXST -3 | 47.5 | 14202330 | U | JXST Q4 | 13–17 |
2025 · Postseason |
WASH -10 | 55.5 | 6273448 | U | WASH Q2 | 10–38 |
MIA
IU
ORE
MISS
ARIZ
SMU
WAKE
MSST
NAVY
CIN
RICE
TXST
UGA
ALA
TTU
OSU
NEB
UTAH
MICH
TEX
ASU
DUKE
IOWA
VAN
USC
TCU
TENN
ILL
CCU
LT
GASO
APP
LSU
HOU
UVA
MIZ
UNT
SDSU
M-OH
FRES
GT
BYU
CONN
ARMY
PSU
CLEM
PITT
ECU
FIU
UTSA
UNM
MINN
CMU
NU
CAL
HAW
UNLV
OHIO
WKU
USM
TOL
LOU
WSU
USU
JMU
TULN
TA&M
OU
MEM
NCSU
KENN
WMU
MOST
ARST
UL
DEL
ODU
USF
TROY
JXST
BOIS
WASHWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 41% 19
Q2 15% 7
Q3 20% 9
Q4 22% 10
OT 2% 1
The team leading at halftime won 79% and covered 70% of 43 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 85% and covered 76% of 46 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 7 | 100% 7 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 4–7 | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 11–14 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 15–17 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 18–21 | 5 | 40% 2 |
| 22+ | 24 | 17% 4 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.