1. Home
  2. Research
  3. Game flow
Research · College

College game flow: when games go over and when the cover is settled

When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

3,141 games · 2023–2026 · pick one to list those games
Went overAll games3,141100%By halftime512%In Q346515%In Q41,05434%In OT361%Stayed under1,53549%
Last 5 minutesCover changed hands33611%Over cashed44714%Leader lost the game2468%
51% went over. Of the 1,606 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.

Over cashed in the last 5 minutes: 447 games

2023–2026 · newest first · showing 50
Show all games
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2026 · Week 7
 FRES -6.5 46.5 10263349 Q4 SDSU Q1
Late over
 23–26
2026 · Week 7
 UTAH -15.5 49.5 7133751 Q4 COLO Q1
Late over
 27–24
2026 · Week 7
 ND -10.5 47.5 10313752 Q4 BYU Q1
Late over Lead lost
 24–28
2026 · Week 7
 HOU -4 62.5 10174567 Q4 OKST Q4
Late cover flip Late over
 32–35
2026 · Week 7
 MIA -20.5 57.5 728355678 OT FSU Q1
Late over
 35–43
2026 · Week 7
 TLSA -3.5 47.5 7384155 Q4 TLSA Q2
Late over
 38–17
2026 · Week 7
 UGA -19.5 50.5 21313851 Q4 AUB Q1
Late over
 27–24
2026 · Week 7
 MD -5.5 55.5 14365367 Q4 RUTG Q3
Late over
 37–30
2026 · Week 7
 BGSU -6 46.5 320274863 Q4 BALL Q1
Late over
 32–31
2026 · Week 6
 UVA -14 49.5 14243153 Q4 SYR Q1
Late over
 25–28
2026 · Week 6
 OSU -31.5 56.5 17415461 Q4 MD Q1
Late over
 16–45
2026 · Week 6
 DUKE -4.5 45.5 7243953 Q4 GT Q1
Late over
 25–28
2026 · Week 6
 WMU -13.5 43.5 7283145 Q4 WMU Q2
Late over
 7–38
2026 · Week 6
 UTSA -5.5 49.5 21273755 Q4 UTSA Q4
Late over
 24–31
2026 · Week 6
 JXST -3 48.5 3304453 Q4 KENN Q1
Late over
 27–26
2026 · Week 5
 TXST -10 57.5 13204160 Q4 SDSU Q3
Late over
 29–31
2026 · Week 5
 MIA -14 49.5 13233054 Q4 MIA Q3
Late over
 41–13
2026 · Week 5
 GASO -2.5 53.5 10273455 Q4 GASO Q4
Late over
 31–24
2026 · Week 5
 SC -2.5 52.5 1430445469 Q4 UK Q3
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
 35–34
2026 · Week 5
 FLA -5.5 57.5 6304062 Q4 MIZ Q1
Late over
 17–45
2026 · Week 5
 JMU -14.5 55.5 17525562 Q4 JMU Q2
Late over
 17–45
2026 · Week 5
 MASS -5.5 49.5 7213552 Q4 EMU Q1
Late over
 38–14
2026 · Week 5
 M-OH -10.5 41.5 0161944 Q4 BGSU Q1
Late over
 24–20
2026 · Week 5
 TOL -20.5 52.5 13253963 Q4 BALL Q1
Late over
 39–24
2026 · Week 5
 WAKE -14.5 54.5 15324660 Q4 WAKE Q1
Late over
 3–57
2026 · Week 5
 PSU -3 46.5 10313847 Q4 NU Q1
Late over
 13–34
2026 · Week 4
 WASH -12.5 44.5 14313451 Q4 MINN Q1
Late over
 27–24
2026 · Week 4
 AFA -4.5 50.5 1320305469 Q4 NEV Q1
Late cover flip Late over
 36–33
2026 · Week 4
 KSU -6 55.5 3274157 Q4 CIN Q3
Late over
 26–31
UIW @ TXST
2026 · Week 4
 TXST -30.5 66.5 35525273 Q4 TXST Q2
Late over
 10–63
2026 · Week 4
 PSU -9.5 43.5 3243044 Q4 WIS Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
 24–20
2026 · Week 4
 UTAH -7.5 46.5 14273448 Q4 UTAH Q1
Late over
 31–17
2026 · Week 4
 UNM -11.5 47.5 14173860 Q4 UNM Q3
Late over
 42–18
2026 · Week 4
 ND -27.5 57.5 7353859 Q4 ND Q2
Late over
 49–10
2026 · Week 4
 UCLA -2.5 55.5 0233757 Q4 UCLA Q2
Late over
 54–3
2026 · Week 4
 TOL -2.5 50.5 10204357 Q4 TOL Q1
Late over
 16–41
2026 · Week 4
 IU -20.5 49.5 2122252 Q4 NU Q1
Late over
 23–29
2026 · Week 4
 LIB -2.5 50.5 13273751 Q4 LIB Q3
Late over
 34–17
SDAK @ BOIS
2026 · Week 3
 BOIS -28.5 61.5 14354562 Q4 SDAK Q1
Late over
 24–38
2026 · Week 3
 NU -3.5 47.5 7214248 Q4 NU Q1
Late over
 7–41
EWU @ WASH
2026 · Week 3
 WASH -42.5 58.5 17415164 Q4 EWU Q1
Late over
 16–48
2026 · Week 3
 WMU -8.5 43.5 7212849 Q4 RICE Q1
Late over
 28–21
2026 · Week 3
 BAY -20.5 50.5 14273655 Q4 LT Q4
Late over
 19–36
2026 · Week 3
 TA&M -16.5 48.5 0143552 Q4 UK Q1
Late over
 31–21
DUQ @ WSU
2026 · Week 3
 WSU -38.5 51.5 14214255 Q4 WSU Q4
Late cover flip Late over
 7–48
2026 · Week 3
 UGA -24.5 54.5 7243462 Q4 UGA Q3
Late over
 45–17
2026 · Week 3
 KSU -20.5 49.5 7273751 Q4 TULN Q1
Late over
 20–31
2026 · Week 3
 CLEM -3 44.5 17233248 Q4 CLEM Q4
Late cover flip Late over
 20–28
2026 · Week 3
 TTU -7.5 52.5 10314154 Q4 HOU Q1
Late cover flip Late over
 26–28
2026 · Week 2
 LSU -34.5 54.5 10173159 Q4 LT Q1
Late over
 14–45
Final score is away–home. Points by quarter are combined points at the end of each quarter; the highlighted one is when the over cashed.Show 447

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 1,568
Q2 16% 494
Q3 15% 471
Q4 18% 556
OT 1% 18
Push 1% 34
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 69% of 2,929 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 72% of 2,988 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over516100% 516
1–319295% 182
4–729586% 255
8–1026170% 184
11–1434558% 200
15–1727041% 110
18–2133927% 92
22+9237% 67
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.