When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
3,143 games · 2023–2026 · pick one to list those games
51% went over. Of the 1,606 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
Stayed under, leader lost the game in the last 5 minutes: 95 games
2023–2026 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 7 |
ORE -6.5 | 50.5 | 072031 | U | NEB Q1 Lead lost |
14–17 |
2026 · Week 7 |
ECU -5.5 | 49.5 | 717233447 | U | UAB Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–30 |
2026 · Week 6 |
VT -11.5 | 51.5 | 0242745 | U | CAL Q1 Lead lost |
20–25 |
2026 · Week 6 |
EMU -4.5 | 51.5 | 10273348 | U | AKR Q1 Lead lost |
25–23 |
2026 · Week 5 |
USF -5.5 | 50.5 | 3132030 | U | TEM Q1 Lead lost |
17–13 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MICH -4.5 | 39.5 | 14172039 | U | IOWA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
20–19 |
2026 · Week 4 |
ARMY -4 | 48.5 | 14142838 | U | Push Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–17 |
2026 · Week 2 |
TEX -2.5 | 50.5 | 10232647 | U | OSU Q1 Lead lost |
23–24 |
 UNCO @  WYO2026 · Week 2 |
WYO -23.5 | 44.5 | 0172034 | U | UNCO Q1 Lead lost |
13–21 |
2026 · Week 2 |
SYR -4 | 56.5 | 3193239 | U | CAL Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–18 |
 GWEB @  LIB2026 · Week 2 |
LIB -28.5 | 55.5 | 20374047 | U | GWEB Q1 Lead lost |
23–24 |
2026 · Week 1 |
MICH -27.5 | 50.5 | 10131325 | U | WMU Q1 Lead lost |
12–13 |
2026 · Week 1 |
GT -6.5 | 53.5 | 0171727 | U | COLO Q1 Lead lost |
14–13 |
 ALB @  BUFF2026 · Week 1 |
BUFF -18.5 | 47.5 | 7243138 | U | ALB Q1 Lead lost |
17–21 |
2025 · Postseason |
BYU -3.5 | 55.5 | 14313146 | U | BYU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–25 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OU -12.5 | 36.5 | 362030 | U | LSU Q1 Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
BOIS -1.5 | 55.5 | 24344349 | U | USU Q1 Lead lost |
25–24 |
2025 · Week 13 |
IOWA -17.5 | 43.5 | 7102437 | U | MSU Q1 Lead lost |
17–20 |
2025 · Week 13 |
MRSH -3.5 | 57.5 | 10374750 | U | APP Q3 Lead lost |
24–26 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UNLV -4.5 | 68.5 | 923334655 | U | USU Q1 Lead lost |
26–29 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ARIZ -6.5 | 56.5 | 14313744 | U | KU Q1 Lead lost |
20–24 |
2025 · Week 11 |
LIB -7.5 | 51.5 | 7101738 | U | MOST Q3 Lead lost |
21–17 |
2025 · Week 11 |
BALL -3.5 | 48.5 | 3132030 | U | BALL Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 11 |
OHIO -2.5 | 50.5 | 061644 | U | OHIO Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
20–24 |
2025 · Week 10 |
UGA -6.5 | 50.5 | 17203444 | U | FLA Q1 Lead lost |
24–20 |
2025 · Week 10 |
MIA -6.5 | 46.5 | 717344046 | U | SMU Q2 Lead lost |
20–26 |
2025 · Week 10 |
JXST -4.5 | 54.5 | 6132145 | U | MTSU Q1 Lead lost |
24–21 |
2025 · Week 9 |
SMU -5.5 | 52.5 | 3162225 | U | WAKE Q1 Lead lost |
12–13 |
2025 · Week 9 |
BGSU -7.5 | 46.5 | 7173845 | U | KENT Q3 Lead lost |
21–24 |
2025 · Week 8 |
UCLA -4.5 | 52.5 | 0101737 | U | MD Q1 Lead lost |
17–20 |
2025 · Week 8 |
UVA -16.5 | 56.5 | 14243042 | U | WSU Q1 Lead lost |
20–22 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TULN -10.5 | 44.5 | 062041 | U | ARMY Q1 Lead lost |
17–24 |
2025 · Week 8 |
USA -8.5 | 57.5 | 7101729 | U | ARST Q4 Lead lost |
15–14 |
2025 · Week 7 |
PSU -20.5 | 46.5 | 3272743 | U | NU Q1 Lead lost |
22–21 |
2025 · Week 7 |
MOST -2.5 | 52.5 | 3293242 | U | MTSU Q4 Lead lost |
22–20 |
2025 · Week 6 |
WASH -5.5 | 53.5 | 10132344 | U | MD Q1 Lead lost |
24–20 |
2025 · Week 6 |
OHIO -14.5 | 52.5 | 7142434 | U | BALL Q1 Lead lost |
14–20 |
2025 · Week 5 |
BC -6.5 | 54.5 | 21313152 | U | CAL Q2 Lead lost |
28–24 |
2025 · Week 5 |
ASU -2.5 | 54.5 | 7314151 | U | ASU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
24–27 |
2025 · Week 4 |
OU -6.5 | 47.5 | 6202341 | U | OU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–24 |
2025 · Week 4 |
BUFF -6.5 | 43.5 | 771438 | U | TROY Q4 Lead lost |
21–17 |
2025 · Week 4 |
TOL -11.5 | 48.5 | 031927 | U | WMU Q1 Lead lost |
13–14 |
2025 · Week 3 |
NEV -9.5 | 49.5 | 0131327 | U | MTSU Q4 Lead lost |
14–13 |
2025 · Week 2 |
TLSA -3.5 | 53.5 | 331735 | U | NMSU Q1 Lead lost |
14–21 |
2025 · Week 2 |
KSU -16.5 | 48.5 | 3203545 | U | ARMY Q1 Lead lost |
24–21 |
UNCO @  CSU2025 · Week 2 |
CSU -34.5 | 52.5 | 7103138 | U | UNCO Q1 Lead lost |
17–21 |
2025 · Week 2 |
MRSH -7.5 | 53.5 | 0243441 | U | MOST Q3 Lead lost |
21–20 |
2025 · Week 2 |
NEV -9.5 | 55.5 | 7303037 | U | SAC Q1 Lead lost |
17–20 |
2025 · Week 2 |
FLA -18.5 | 58.5 | 3152434 | U | USF Q1 Lead lost |
18–16 |
2025 · Week 2 |
SYR -7.5 | 57.5 | 020234047 | U | CONN Q1 Lead lost |
20–27 |
NEB
ORE
ECU
UAB
VT
CAL
EMU
AKR
TEM
USF
IOWA
MICH
ARMY
OSU
TEX
SYR
WMU
COLO
GT
BYU
LSU
OU
BOIS
USU
MSU
MRSH
APP
UNLV
KU
ARIZ
MOST
KENT
BALL
M-OH
OHIO
UGA
FLA
MIA
SMU
JXST
MTSU
WAKE
BGSU
MD
UCLA
WSU
UVA
TULN
ARST
USA
NU
PSU
WASH
BC
TCU
ASU
AUB
TROY
TOL
NEV
TLSA
NMSU
KSU
SAC
CONNWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 1,568
Q2 16% 495
Q3 15% 471
Q4 18% 557
OT 1% 18
Push 1% 34
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 69% of 2,931 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 72% of 2,990 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 516 | 100% 516 |
| 1–3 | 192 | 95% 182 |
| 4–7 | 295 | 86% 255 |
| 8–10 | 261 | 70% 184 |
| 11–14 | 345 | 58% 200 |
| 15–17 | 270 | 41% 110 |
| 18–21 | 339 | 27% 92 |
| 22+ | 925 | 7% 67 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.