When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
874 games · 2024 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 457 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 35% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
Cover changed hands in the last 5 minutes: 83 games
2024 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
PSU -1.5 | 45.5 | 0132051 | Q4 | ND Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2024 · Postseason |
PSU -11.5 | 54.5 | 14243845 | U | PSU Q4 Late cover flip |
31–14 |
2024 · Postseason |
MIZ -1.5 | 41.5 | 21354551 | Q3 | MIZ Q4 Late cover flip |
24–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
MIA -5.5 | 61.5 | 35597383 | Q3 | ISU Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–41 |
2024 · Postseason |
USF -0.5 | 64.5 | 731415480 | OT | USF OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
41–39 |
2024 · Postseason |
NIU -2.5 | 40.5 | 1616262648 | OT | NIU OT Late cover flip Late over |
28–20 |
2024 · Postseason |
OHIO -5.5 | 56.5 | 21344157 | Q4 | JXST Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
30–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
JMU -7.5 | 50.5 | 7213144 | U | JMU Q4 Late cover flip |
17–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
MEM -5.5 | 60.5 | 7455879 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip |
42–37 |
2024 · Postseason |
USA -5.5 | 54.5 | 7293653 | U | USA Q3 Late cover flip |
30–23 |
2024 · Week 14 |
BYU -9.5 | 39.5 | 14313448 | Q4 | BYU Q2 Late cover flip |
18–30 |
2024 · Week 14 |
GASO -2.5 | 60.5 | 8212849 | U | GASO Q4 Late cover flip |
20–29 |
2024 · Week 14 |
JXST -0.5 | 62.5 | 10202336 | U | WKU Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–19 |
2024 · Week 14 |
CLEM -2.5 | 48.5 | 0142131 | U | SC Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–14 |
2024 · Week 14 |
DUKE -3.5 | 53.5 | 0132740 | U | DUKE Q4 Late cover flip |
23–17 |
2024 · Week 14 |
SJSU -2.5 | 54.5 | 3274465 | Q4 | SJSU Q2 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–34 |
2024 · Week 13 |
USC -4.5 | 52.5 | 6122232 | U | USC Q4 Late cover flip |
19–13 |
 WOF @  SC2024 · Week 13 |
SC -42.5 | 49.5 | 10304468 | Q4 | SC Q4 Late cover flip |
12–56 |
2024 · Week 13 |
MIA -23.5 | 65.5 | 17343456 | U | MIA Q4 Late cover flip |
14–42 |
2024 · Week 13 |
SYR -9.5 | 53.5 | 14354155 | Q4 | CONN Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
24–31 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UTSA -17.5 | 55.5 | 10456278 | Q3 | UTSA Q4 Late cover flip |
27–51 |
2024 · Week 13 |
GT -7.5 | 50.5 | 14202359 | Q4 | NCSU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
29–30 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ISU -7.5 | 52.5 | 14203051 | U | ISU Q3 Late cover flip |
17–34 |
2024 · Week 12 |
UGA -7.5 | 46.5 | 10344148 | Q4 | UGA Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
17–31 |
2024 · Week 12 |
BOIS -14.5 | 61.5 | 7284963 | Q4 | BOIS Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
42–21 |
2024 · Week 12 |
USC -6.5 | 50.5 | 14284148 | U | USC Q4 Late cover flip |
20–28 |
2024 · Week 12 |
ND -21.5 | 51.5 | 7284249 | U | UVA Q4 Late cover flip |
14–35 |
 MER @  ALA2024 · Week 12 |
ALA -42.5 | 58.5 | 14384559 | Q4 | ALA Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
7–52 |
 MUR @  UK2024 · Week 12 |
UK -41.5 | 54.5 | 14243754 | U | UK Q4 Late cover flip |
6–48 |
2024 · Week 12 |
COLO -13.5 | 43.5 | 17304473 | Q3 | COLO Q4 Late cover flip |
24–49 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ASU -2.5 | 55.5 | 14385266 | Q4 | ASU Q2 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–35 |
2024 · Week 11 |
WKU -18 | 53.5 | 21315269 | Q4 | NMSU Q1 Late cover flip |
41–28 |
2024 · Week 11 |
CONN -7.5 | 53.5 | 6233354 | Q4 | CONN Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
31–23 |
2024 · Week 11 |
MEM -7.5 | 50.5 | 6303047 | U | RICE Q1 Late cover flip |
20–27 |
2024 · Week 11 |
BGSU -14.5 | 47.5 | 3162336 | U | CMU Q1 Late cover flip |
23–13 |
2024 · Week 10 |
BAY -2.5 | 62.5 | 14304771 | Q4 | BAY Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
34–37 |
2024 · Week 10 |
ORE -14.5 | 45.5 | 14384855 | Q3 | ORE Q4 Late cover flip |
38–17 |
2024 · Week 10 |
VT -3.5 | 50.5 | 1417396269 | Q4 | SYR Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–38 |
2024 · Week 10 |
CONN -7.5 | 48.5 | 10233361 | Q4 | GAST Q2 Late cover flip |
27–34 |
2024 · Week 9 |
MIA -21.5 | 53.5 | 7243050 | U | MIA Q4 Late cover flip |
14–36 |
2024 · Week 9 |
WAKE -2.5 | 51.5 | 14414151 | U | WAKE Q1 Late cover flip |
27–24 |
2024 · Week 9 |
EMU -2.5 | 50.5 | 8183246 | U | AKR Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–25 |
 WAG @  MASS2024 · Week 9 |
MASS -23.5 | 49.5 | 7212842 | U | MASS Q4 Late cover flip |
7–35 |
2024 · Week 9 |
UTSA -9.5 | 52.5 | 14426691 | Q3 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
45–46 |
2024 · Week 8 |
MEM -10.5 | 67.5 | 35526696 | Q4 | UNT Q1 Late cover flip |
44–52 |
2024 · Week 8 |
UNM -0.5 | 77.5 | 14396795 | Q4 | UNM Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
50–45 |
2024 · Week 8 |
SJSU -11.5 | 52.5 | 7142438 | U | WYO Q3 Late cover flip |
14–24 |
2024 · Week 8 |
EMU -3.5 | 52.5 | 10304372 | Q4 | EMU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
34–38 |
2024 · Week 8 |
CLEM -20.5 | 56.5 | 6274879 | Q4 | UVA Q4 Late cover flip |
31–48 |
2024 · Week 8 |
UL -6.5 | 56.5 | 7313458 | Q4 | UL Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
34–24 |
ND
PSU
BOIS
IOWA
MIZ
ISU
MIA
USF
SJSU
NIU
FRES
OHIO
JXST
WKU
JMU
MEM
WVU
USA
WMU
HOU
BYU
APP
GASO
CLEM
DUKE
WAKE
STAN
USC
UCLA
CONN
SYR
TEM
UTSA
NCSU
GT
CIN
TENN
UGA
NEB
UVA
UTAH
COLO
UCF
ASU
NMSU
UAB
RICE
BGSU
CMU
TCU
BAY
ORE
MICH
VT
GAST
FSU
EMU
AKR
TLSA
UNT
UNM
USU
WYO
UL
CCUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 53% 459
Q2 16% 139
Q3 14% 118
Q4 18% 153
OT 1% 5
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 72% of 812 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 87% and covered 73% of 828 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 160 | 100% 160 |
| 1–3 | 45 | 89% 40 |
| 4–7 | 72 | 88% 63 |
| 8–10 | 64 | 75% 48 |
| 11–14 | 93 | 57% 53 |
| 15–17 | 87 | 47% 41 |
| 18–21 | 108 | 31% 33 |
| 22+ | 245 | 8% 19 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.