When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
3,143 games · 2023–2026 · pick one to list those games
51% went over. Of the 1,606 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
Stayed under, cover changed hands in the last 5 minutes: 146 games
2023–2026 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 7 |
WMU -7.5 | 42.5 | 7142135 | U | CMU Q4 Late cover flip |
21–14 |
2026 · Week 7 |
BUFF -6.5 | 43.5 | 1023303643 | U | BUFF OT Late cover flip |
18–25 |
2026 · Week 7 |
ECU -5.5 | 49.5 | 717233447 | U | UAB Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–30 |
2026 · Week 6 |
JMU -7 | 51.5 | 10163051 | U | GASO Q4 Late cover flip |
27–24 |
2026 · Week 6 |
M-OH -6 | 44.5 | 21242739 | U | MASS Q4 Late cover flip |
20–19 |
2026 · Week 6 |
BYU -11.5 | 46.5 | 7172434 | U | BYU Q3 Late cover flip |
10–24 |
2026 · Week 5 |
BYU -5.5 | 48.5 | 0141727 | U | BYU Q4 Late cover flip |
17–10 |
2026 · Week 5 |
TENN -6 | 54.5 | 0102438 | U | TENN Q3 Late cover flip |
14–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MSST -3.5 | 58.5 | 14244155 | U | MSST Q4 Late cover flip |
24–31 |
2026 · Week 4 |
JXST -7 | 50.5 | 3173336 | U | JXST Q4 Late cover flip |
13–23 |
 NCCU @  ECU2026 · Week 4 |
ECU -37.5 | 58.5 | 10454551 | U | NCCU Q4 Late cover flip |
9–42 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MICH -4.5 | 39.5 | 14172039 | U | IOWA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
20–19 |
2026 · Week 4 |
M-OH -2.5 | 52.5 | 14284245 | U | M-OH Q4 Late cover flip |
21–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
TEX -5.5 | 54.5 | 10132337 | U | TENN Q3 Late cover flip |
20–17 |
2026 · Week 4 |
BAY -8.5 | 54.5 | 3131936 | U | BAY Q4 Late cover flip |
13–23 |
 BUCK @  PITT2026 · Week 4 |
PITT -54.5 | 63.5 | 14354259 | U | PITT Q4 Late cover flip |
0–59 |
2026 · Week 4 |
ARMY -4 | 48.5 | 14142838 | U | Push Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–17 |
2026 · Week 3 |
TCU -18.5 | 56.5 | 7212838 | U | TCU Q4 Late cover flip |
7–31 |
 ETAM @  TLSA2026 · Week 3 |
TLSA -41.5 | 55.5 | 7142842 | U | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip |
0–42 |
2026 · Week 3 |
TENN -35.5 | 60.5 | 18243851 | U | KENN Q1 Late cover flip |
9–42 |
2026 · Week 2 |
UCLA -13.5 | 53.5 | 00738 | U | UCLA Q4 Late cover flip |
10–28 |
2026 · Week 2 |
PITT -7.5 | 55.5 | 3121219 | U | UCF Q4 Late cover flip |
7–12 |
2026 · Week 2 |
SYR -4 | 56.5 | 3193239 | U | CAL Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–18 |
2026 · Week 1 |
SMU -3 | 52.5 | 14273451 | U | Push Late cover flip |
27–24 |
2025 · Postseason |
BYU -3.5 | 55.5 | 14313146 | U | BYU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–25 |
2025 · Postseason |
MINN -1.5 | 44.5 | 313132837 | U | MINN OT Late cover flip |
17–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ALA -7 | 48.5 | 10233347 | U | Push Late cover flip |
27–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ILL -7 | 43.5 | 3242733 | U | Push Late cover flip |
13–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UTAH -10 | 60.5 | 3172452 | U | Push Late cover flip |
31–21 |
 EIU @  ALA2025 · Week 13 |
ALA -54.5 | 59.5 | 14284256 | U | ALA Q4 Late cover flip |
0–56 |
2025 · Week 13 |
OSU -28.5 | 54.5 | 7173151 | U | OSU Q4 Late cover flip |
9–42 |
2025 · Week 13 |
CMU -7.5 | 50.5 | 7171744 | U | CMU Q2 Late cover flip |
28–16 |
2025 · Week 12 |
PSU -6.5 | 49.5 | 14242438 | U | PSU Q4 Late cover flip |
28–10 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ILL -15.5 | 51.5 | 10202730 | U | ILL Q4 Late cover flip |
6–24 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ALA -10.5 | 49.5 | 3202329 | U | ALA Q2 Late cover flip |
9–20 |
2025 · Week 11 |
UNC -8.5 | 41.5 | 361335 | U | STAN Q1 Late cover flip |
15–20 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ORE -4.5 | 42.5 | 2192234 | U | IOWA Q4 Late cover flip |
18–16 |
2025 · Week 11 |
OSU -30.5 | 49.5 | 3272744 | U | PUR Q1 Late cover flip |
34–10 |
2025 · Week 11 |
WVU -6.5 | 51.5 | 9283851 | U | WVU Q4 Late cover flip |
22–29 |
2025 · Week 11 |
USM -6.5 | 54.5 | 17242748 | U | ARST Q4 Late cover flip |
27–21 |
2025 · Week 11 |
BALL -3.5 | 48.5 | 3132030 | U | BALL Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 11 |
OHIO -2.5 | 50.5 | 061644 | U | OHIO Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
20–24 |
2025 · Week 10 |
SDSU -10.5 | 41.5 | 14242431 | U | SDSU Q4 Late cover flip |
7–24 |
2025 · Week 10 |
UVA -5.5 | 52.5 | 10243852 | U | UVA Q1 Late cover flip |
31–21 |
2025 · Week 10 |
LOU -10.5 | 52.5 | 16233744 | U | LOU Q4 Late cover flip |
28–16 |
2025 · Week 10 |
KENN -12.5 | 53.5 | 14264353 | U | KENN Q4 Late cover flip |
20–33 |
2025 · Week 9 |
VAN -3.5 | 52.5 | 061327 | U | VAN Q3 Late cover flip |
10–17 |
2025 · Week 9 |
BOIS -20.5 | 51.5 | 6132027 | U | BOIS Q4 Late cover flip |
24–3 |
2025 · Week 8 |
MIZ -1.5 | 43.5 | 1017243440 | U | MIZ OT Late cover flip |
23–17 |
2025 · Week 8 |
AFA -3.5 | 56.5 | 10132845 | U | WYO Q1 Late cover flip |
21–24 |
WMU
CMU
MASS
BUFF
UAB
JMU
GASO
M-OH
ISU
BYU
TCU
AUB
TENN
MIZ
MSST
MTSU
JXST
IOWA
MICH
CONN
TEX
COLO
BAY
ARMY
TEM
ARST
KENN
SDSU
UCLA
UCF
CAL
SYR
SMU
FSU
GT
UNM
MINN
NU
ILL
UTAH
KU
RUTG
OSU
KENT
PSU
MSU
MD
LSU
STAN
UNC
ORE
PUR
WVU
USM
BALL
OHIO
WYO
UVA
LOU
VT
UTEP
VAN
BOIS
NEV
AFAWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 1,568
Q2 16% 495
Q3 15% 471
Q4 18% 557
OT 1% 18
Push 1% 34
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 69% of 2,931 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 72% of 2,990 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 516 | 100% 516 |
| 1–3 | 192 | 95% 182 |
| 4–7 | 295 | 86% 255 |
| 8–10 | 261 | 70% 184 |
| 11–14 | 345 | 58% 200 |
| 15–17 | 270 | 41% 110 |
| 18–21 | 339 | 27% 92 |
| 22+ | 925 | 7% 67 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.