When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
3,143 games · 2023–2026 · pick one to list those games
51% went over. Of the 1,606 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
Went over in Q4, cover changed hands in the last 5 minutes: 138 games
2023–2026 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 7 |
HOU -4 | 62.5 | 10174567 | Q4 | OKST Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
32–35 |
2026 · Week 7 |
ORST -18.5 | 52.5 | 17375078 | Q4 | WSU Q1 Late cover flip |
30–48 |
2026 · Week 7 |
WVU -1.5 | 64.5 | 7354987 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–45 |
2026 · Week 7 |
DEL -1.5 | 49.5 | 8284963 | Q4 | MTSU Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
30–33 |
2026 · Week 6 |
ILL -2.5 | 48.5 | 1027406275 | Q4 | MSU Q4 Late cover flip |
38–37 |
2026 · Week 6 |
NAVY -3 | 47.5 | 21344660 | Q4 | NAVY Q4 Late cover flip |
26–34 |
2026 · Week 5 |
SC -2.5 | 52.5 | 1430445469 | Q4 | UK Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
35–34 |
2026 · Week 5 |
UNT -3 | 56.5 | 327557689 | Q4 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip |
45–44 |
2026 · Week 4 |
AFA -4.5 | 50.5 | 1320305469 | Q4 | NEV Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
36–33 |
2026 · Week 4 |
PSU -9.5 | 43.5 | 3243044 | Q4 | WIS Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
24–20 |
2026 · Week 4 |
TTU -34.5 | 55.5 | 7354963 | Q4 | TTU Q4 Late cover flip |
14–49 |
 DUQ @  WSU2026 · Week 3 |
WSU -38.5 | 51.5 | 14214255 | Q4 | WSU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
7–48 |
2026 · Week 3 |
VAN -3 | 50.5 | 14243866 | Q4 | VAN Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–35 |
2026 · Week 3 |
CLEM -3 | 44.5 | 17233248 | Q4 | CLEM Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
20–28 |
2026 · Week 3 |
TTU -7.5 | 52.5 | 10314154 | Q4 | HOU Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
26–28 |
 ILST @  NIU2026 · Week 2 |
ILST -2.5 | 47.5 | 14383852 | Q4 | ILST Q1 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
28–24 |
2026 · Week 2 |
ARMY -3 | 45.5 | 7212852 | Q4 | USF Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
28–24 |
2026 · Week 1 |
ND -21 | 45.5 | 13234054 | Q4 | ND Q4 Late cover flip |
13–41 |
2026 · Week 1 |
MISS -6.5 | 54.5 | 3164879 | Q4 | LOU Q1 Late cover flip |
38–41 |
 SDST @  NU2026 · Week 1 |
NU -14 | 49.5 | 7162952 | Q4 | NU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
18–34 |
2026 · Week 1 |
OSU -50.5 | 55.5 | 14314559 | Q4 | OSU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
3–56 |
2026 · Week 1 |
NEB -23.5 | 47.5 | 17274170 | Q4 | NEB Q4 Late cover flip |
21–49 |
2026 · Week 1 |
MSU -10 | 48.5 | 10263350 | Q4 | Push Late cover flip Late over |
20–30 |
2026 · Week 1 |
ILL -25.5 | 53.5 | 17344465 | Q4 | UAB Q1 Late cover flip |
23–42 |
2026 · Week 1 |
WAKE -27.5 | 50.5 | 10313454 | Q4 | AKR Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
16–38 |
2026 · Week 1 |
STAN -4.5 | 48.5 | 7213064 | Q4 | STAN Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
27–37 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ND -32.5 | 49.5 | 14384869 | Q4 | STAN Q4 Late cover flip |
49–20 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OHIO -7 | 44.5 | 7284157 | Q4 | BUFF Q4 Late cover flip |
31–26 |
2025 · Week 13 |
DUKE -6.5 | 50.5 | 14274257 | Q4 | DUKE Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
32–25 |
2025 · Week 13 |
KENN -6.5 | 54.5 | 17275475 | Q4 | KENN Q4 Late cover flip |
34–41 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ARMY -9.5 | 43.5 | 14363951 | Q4 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–25 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ECU -2.5 | 57.5 | 7274858 | Q4 | ECU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
27–31 |
2025 · Week 12 |
WKU -13.5 | 51.5 | 7315168 | Q4 | WKU Q4 Late cover flip |
26–42 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MOST -7.5 | 48.5 | 10314862 | Q4 | MOST Q4 Late cover flip |
24–38 |
2025 · Week 10 |
TEX -3.5 | 48.5 | 17344465 | Q4 | VAN Q4 Late cover flip |
31–34 |
2025 · Week 9 |
MIA -28.5 | 45.5 | 7143549 | Q4 | MIA Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
7–42 |
2025 · Week 9 |
NAVY -14.5 | 63.5 | 24343474 | Q4 | FAU Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
32–42 |
2025 · Week 9 |
TEM -3.5 | 52.5 | 1031526275 | Q4 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip |
38–37 |
2025 · Week 9 |
M-OH -2.5 | 40.5 | 3232643 | Q4 | M-OH Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
17–26 |
2025 · Week 9 |
USF -3.5 | 58.5 | 21384865 | Q4 | MEM Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
31–34 |
2025 · Week 9 |
USA -5.5 | 54.5 | 35424569 | Q4 | USA Q1 Late cover flip |
38–31 |
2025 · Week 9 |
DEL -9.5 | 55.5 | 21385259 | Q4 | MTSU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
28–31 |
2025 · Week 8 |
ECU -16.5 | 54.5 | 17384868 | Q4 | TLSA Q1 Late cover flip |
27–41 |
2025 · Week 7 |
BYU -2.5 | 46.5 | 2131314860 | Q4 | BYU OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
33–27 |
2025 · Week 7 |
SJSU -1.5 | 49.5 | 21424263 | Q4 | WYO Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
28–35 |
2025 · Week 6 |
USF -28.5 | 54.5 | 23404380 | Q4 | CLT Q1 Late cover flip |
26–54 |
2025 · Week 5 |
MEM -13.5 | 62.5 | 17334381 | Q4 | MEM Q4 Late cover flip |
55–26 |
 SELA @  LSU2025 · Week 4 |
LSU -48.5 | 60.5 | 7354966 | Q4 | SELA Q1 Late cover flip |
10–56 |
2025 · Week 4 |
GT -24.5 | 52.5 | 21284969 | Q4 | TEM Q1 Late cover flip |
24–45 |
2025 · Week 4 |
LOU -25.5 | 50.5 | 10243357 | Q4 | BGSU Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
17–40 |
OKST
HOU
ORST
CIN
WVU
DEL
MTSU
ILL
MSU
TLSA
NAVY
UK
SC
UNT
AFA
NEV
WIS
PSU
SHSU
TTU
NCSU
VAN
UNC
CLEM
USF
ARMY
ND
LOU
MISS
BALL
OSU
OHIO
NEB
TOL
UAB
AKR
WAKE
HAW
STAN
BUFF
DUKE
MOST
KENN
MEM
ECU
WKU
UTEP
TEX
MIA
FAU
TEM
WMU
M-OH
USA
GAST
BYU
ARIZ
SJSU
WYO
CLT
GT
BGSUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 1,568
Q2 16% 495
Q3 15% 471
Q4 18% 557
OT 1% 18
Push 1% 34
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 69% of 2,931 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 72% of 2,990 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 516 | 100% 516 |
| 1–3 | 192 | 95% 182 |
| 4–7 | 295 | 86% 255 |
| 8–10 | 261 | 70% 184 |
| 11–14 | 345 | 58% 200 |
| 15–17 | 270 | 41% 110 |
| 18–21 | 339 | 27% 92 |
| 22+ | 925 | 7% 67 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.