Thomas & Mack Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
USU -6.5✓ USU covered by 6.5
USU -6.5✓ USU covered by 6.5Closing total145.5Under by 0.5
 NEV | This season | USU |
|---|---|---|
| 22-11 | Record | 25-6 |
| 19-14 | ATS | 13-18 |
| 19-14 | O/U | 18-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NEV 72–79 USU · ✓ USU (71%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | 32 | 34 | 66 |
| USU | 39 | 40 | 79 |
1st half: NEV 32, USU 39 (USU by 7). The model had USU by 3.6 and a total of 70.6 (actual 71).
Team stats
| NEV | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-59 41% | Field goals | 24-53 45% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 4-19 21% |
| 13-20 65% | Free throws | 27-35 77% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 38 9 off |
| 17 | Assists | 15 |
| 8 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| NEV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaughn Weems G | 34 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7-17 | 0-6 |
| Corey Camper Jr. G | 32 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3-12 | 1-3 |
| Elijah Price F | 29 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Tayshawn Comer G | 22 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Kaleb Lowery F | 22 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joel Armotrading C | 19 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Chuck Bailey III G | 13 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Tyler Rolison G | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Peyton White G | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Myles Walker G | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Amire Robinson G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jeriah Coleman, Christopher Baudreau, Ethan Croley
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 31 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Drake Allen G | 31 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Mason Falslev G | 31 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 28 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Zach Keller F | 27 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kolby King G | 19 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Karson Templin F | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Garry Clark F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Kearney, Jordy Barnes, David Iweze, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSU -6.5
ModelUSU -6.3
Model edgeNEV +0.2
L USU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model151.1
Model edgeOver 5.6
L Under
Projected score
NEV 72.4 · USU 78.7
NEV 66 · USU 79
Win probability
USU 71%
1st half
Spread
USU -3.6
USU -7.0
Total
70.6
71 points
Projected score
NEV 33.5 · USU 37.1
NEV 32 · USU 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -5.5
1 → USU
CloseUSU -6.5
1 pt toward USU
Total
Open145.5
no move
Close145.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
NEV +230 · USU -285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -5.5 · closed USU -6.5 · moved 1 toward USUmodel USU -6.5 matches the line
model USU -6.5 = line ✓
Opened 145.5 · unchangedmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| USU | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
NEV 4–5 USUUSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · NEV 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2025-26 | USU 77 @ NEV 80 | NEV +5.5 | NEV W |
| Jan 14, 2025-26 | NEV 62 @ USU 71 | USU -13.5 | NEV W |
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | NEV 69 @ USU 90 | USU -5.5 | USU W |
| Dec 31, 2024-25 | USU 69 @ NEV 64 | NEV -3.5 | USU W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | NEV 77 @ USU 63 | USU -5.5 | NEV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nevada
33 games played
Straight up
22-11
67% wins
Against the spread
19-14
58% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-14
58% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LT | W 77-50 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vs PAC | W 78-77 | -13.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs SIU | W 86-81 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | @ SCU | L 83-98 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 18 | vs UCD | L 71-75 | -12.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 22 | vs UCSB | W 77-64 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 27 | vs WASH | L 66-83 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs SF | W 81-65 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 2 | vs UCSD | W 76-70 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 7 | @ WSU | W 78-64 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs DUQ | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | vs BOIS | W 81-66 | +3.5 | W +18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 30 | @ CSU | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ FRES | W 66-65 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | vs SDSU | L 68-73 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs WYO | W 92-83 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | @USU | L 62-71 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @ AF | W 81-66 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | vs SJSU | W 87-54 | -16.5 | W +16.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 24 | @ UNM | L 73-80 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs GCU | W 66-60 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 30 | vs UNLV | W 89-76 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 3 | @BOIS | L 87-91 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 7 | vsFRES | W 69-59 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 14 | @SDSU | L 57-71 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 17 | @SJSU | L 71-87 | -10.5 | L −26.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 21 | vsUSU | W 80-77 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 24 | vsUNM | W 67-60 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 28 | @UNLV | L 83-85 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 3 | @WYO | L 73-83 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 7 | vsAF | W 74-59 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 11 | vsAF | W 80-45 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 12 | vsGCU | W 84-80 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
+17.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
−12.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
−6.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
−8.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
−16.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
+7.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
−13.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+21.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
+0.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
+16.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
−2.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+18.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
+14.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−3.5
6
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-73
−6.5
10
vsWYO
WYOW 92-83
+5.5
14
@USU
USUL 62-71
+4.5
17
@AF
AFW 81-66
+0.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 87-54
+16.5
24
@UNM
UNML 73-80
+1.5
27
vsGCU
GCUW 66-60
+2.5
30
vsUNLV
UNLVW 89-76
+5.5
3
@BOIS
BOISL 87-91
+2.5
7
vsFRES
FRESW 69-59
−1.5
14
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-71
−6.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUL 71-87
−26.5
21
vsUSU
USUW 80-77
+8.5
24
vsUNM
UNMW 67-60
+5.5
28
@UNLV
UNLVL 83-85
−3.5
3
@WYO
WYOL 73-83
−11.5
7
vsAF
AFW 74-59
−9.5
11
vsAF
AFW 80-45
+15.5
12
vsGCU
GCUW 84-80
+7.5
covered 19didn’t cover 14avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
−9.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
+15.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
+14.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
+36.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
+2.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
−6.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
+3.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+3.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
−3.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
−3.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
+1.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+5.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
−2.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−15.5
6
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-73
−0.5
10
vsWYO
WYOW 92-83
+31.5
14
@USU
USUL 62-71
−14.5
17
@AF
AFW 81-66
+12.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 87-54
+3.5
24
@UNM
UNML 73-80
+2.5
27
vsGCU
GCUW 66-60
−17.5
30
vsUNLV
UNLVW 89-76
+17.5
3
@BOIS
BOISL 87-91
+36.5
7
vsFRES
FRESW 69-59
−21.5
14
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-71
−11.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUL 71-87
+16.5
21
vsUSU
USUW 80-77
+10.5
24
vsUNM
UNMW 67-60
−21.5
28
@UNLV
UNLVL 83-85
+17.5
3
@WYO
WYOL 73-83
+12.5
7
vsAF
AFW 74-59
−11.5
11
vsAF
AFW 80-45
−15.5
12
vsGCU
GCUW 84-80
+26.5
over 19under 14avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah State
31 games played
Straight up
25-6
81% wins
Against the spread
13-18
42% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-13
58% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vsCSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | @FRES | W 72-63 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vsSJSU | W 96-78 | -22.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | @AF | W 99-62 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | @BOIS | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 14 | vsNEV | W 71-62 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @GCU | L 74-84 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 20 | vsUNLV | L 76-86 | -15.5 | L −25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 23 | @CSU | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | vsWYO | W 94-62 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vsSDSU | W 71-66 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 4 | @UNM | W 86-66 | +1.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 7 | @WYO | W 85-83 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 10 | vsFRES | W 91-78 | -21.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 14 | vs MEM | W 99-75 | -13.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 18 | vsBOIS | W 75-56 | -9.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | @NEV | L 77-80 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 25 | @SDSU | L 72-89 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 28 | vsGCU | W 74-69 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 3 | @UNLV | L 65-92 | -7.5 | L −34.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 7 | vsUNM | W 94-90 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 155.5 | O 184 |
| Mar 12 | vsUNLV | W 80-60 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 156.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−5.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
−4.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+14.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+23.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−4.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
−15.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
−25.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−1.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+18.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−1.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
+21.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 85-83
−7.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 91-78
−8.5
14
vsMEM
MEMW 99-75
+10.5
18
vsBOIS
BOISW 75-56
+9.5
21
@NEV
NEVL 77-80
−8.5
25
@SDSU
SDSUL 72-89
−18.5
28
vsGCU
GCUW 74-69
−4.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 65-92
−34.5
7
vsUNM
UNMW 94-90
−3.5
12
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-60
+11.5
covered 13didn’t cover 18avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−19.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
+22.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+21.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−14.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
+7.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
+5.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−23.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+7.5
31
vsSDSU
SDSUW 71-66
−10.5
4
@UNM
UNMW 86-66
−4.5
7
@WYO
WYOW 85-83
+18.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 91-78
+16.5
14
vsMEM
MEMW 99-75
+18.5
18
vsBOIS
BOISW 75-56
−20.5
21
@NEV
NEVL 77-80
+10.5
25
@SDSU
SDSUL 72-89
+14.5
28
vsGCU
GCUW 74-69
−4.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 65-92
+0.5
7
vsUNM
UNMW 94-90
+28.5
12
vsUNLV
UNLVW 80-60
−16.5
over 18under 13avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Nevada
22-11 overall · 14-8 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Grand Canyon84–80
- Wvs Air Force80–45
- Wvs Air Force74–59
- L@ Wyoming73–83
- L@ UNLV83–85
1 day since their last game.
Utah State
25-6 overall · 16-5 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UNLV80–60
- Wvs New Mexico94–90
- L@ UNLV65–92
- Wvs Grand Canyon74–69
- L@ San Diego St72–89
1 day since their last game.