Thomas & Mack Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
NEV -19.5✓ NEV covered by 15.5
NEV -19.5✓ NEV covered by 15.5Closing total140.5Under by 15.5
 AF | This season | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| 3-28 | Record | 20-11 |
| 10-21 | ATS | 17-14 |
| 18-13 | O/U | 18-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AF 60–80 NEV · ✓ NEV (96%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AF | 10 | 35 | 45 |
| NEV | 39 | 41 | 80 |
1st half: AF 10, NEV 39 (NEV by 29). The model had NEV by 11.6 and a total of 65.2 (actual 49).
Team stats
| AF | NEV | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-57 28% | Field goals | 26-57 46% |
| 2-22 9% | 3-pointers | 5-20 25% |
| 11-11 100% | Free throws | 23-30 77% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 44 12 off |
| 7 | Assists | 17 |
| 9 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 21 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| AF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Sanders G | 34 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 4-14 | 1-5 |
| Lucas Hobin F | 30 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-11 | 0-7 |
| Eli Robinson F | 27 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Ethan Greenberg G | 25 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Wesley Celichowski C | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Walker F | 19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Kolby Gilles F | 18 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| A.J. Patterson G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Riley Dering F | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Justin Hinds G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brendan Martin F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Chris Catchings G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Elliott Taite G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Josh Gatete F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sam Imade, Keaton Frisch, Kyle Marshall
| NEV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Camper Jr. G | 23 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Kaleb Lowery F | 20 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Tayshawn Comer G | 19 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Elijah Price F | 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Vaughn Weems G | 18 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Peyton White G | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Amire Robinson G | 16 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Chuck Bailey III G | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Joel Armotrading C | 14 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Rolison G | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Myles Walker G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jeriah Coleman C | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Croley F | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Christopher Baudreau F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEV -20.5
1 → AF
CloseNEV -19.5
1 pt toward AF
Total
Open141.5
▼ 1
Close140.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
AF +1500 · NEV -3600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEV -20.5 · closed NEV -19.5 · moved 1 toward AFmodel NEV -19.5 matches the line
model NEV -19.5 = line ✓
Opened 141.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 downmodel 139.5
model 139.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NEV -19.5 | NEV -19.7 | NEV +0.2 | W NEV covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 139.3 | Under 1.2 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | AF 59.8 · NEV 79.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NEV -11.6 | NEV -29.0 |
| 1H total | 65.2 | 49 |
| 1H projected score | AF 26.8 · NEV 38.4 | AF 10 · NEV 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AF | 0-10 0% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
| NEV | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
AF 0–8 NEVNEV leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · NEV has won the last 8 meetings · AF 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025-26 | AF 59 @ NEV 74 | NEV -24.5 | AF W |
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | NEV 81 @ AF 66 | AF +14.5 | NEV W |
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | NEV 74 @ AF 60 | AF +9.5 | NEV W |
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | AF 62 @ NEV 68 | NEV -19.5 | AF W |
| Jan 9, 2023-24 | AF 54 @ NEV 67 | NEV -14.5 | AF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Air Force
31 games played
Straight up
3-28
10% wins
Against the spread
10-21
32% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-13
58% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BEL | L 63-79 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs APSU | L 54-74 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIU | L 72-76 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs M-OH | L 61-76 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 19 | vs ALST | W 66-64 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs SIUE | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 130.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 23 | vs IUIN | W 98-85 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 175.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNCO | L 53-71 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 29 | vs SDAK | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 3 | vs PAC | L 65-80 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | @ NAVY | L 56-61 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 17 | @ SDSU | L 58-81 | +24.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 30 | vs WYO | L 56-68 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNLV | L 39-67 | +14.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | vs USU | L 62-99 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNM | L 49-91 | +16.5 | L −25.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 13 | @ SJSU | L 62-70 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 128.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 17 | vsNEV | L 66-81 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | @ CSU | L 52-81 | +19.5 | L −9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @ BOIS | L 54-96 | +23.5 | L −18.5 | 137.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 31 | vs FRES | L 62-79 | +9.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 3 | @ GCU | L 57-81 | +26.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 7 | vsSDSU | L 54-88 | +22.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 10 | vsCSU | L 74-91 | +16.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | @FRES | L 63-93 | +14.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 17 | @UNM | L 61-98 | +28.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 21 | vsUNLV | L 66-91 | +16.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 24 | vsSJSU | L 80-86 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 28 | @WYO | L 62-66 | +20.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 3 | vsGCU | L 60-86 | +19.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Mar 7 | @NEV | L 59-74 | +24.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−0.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−18.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+1.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−4.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−0.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+16.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+9.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−13.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−13.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
−9.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
+4.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+1.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
+2.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−13.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
−14.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
−25.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
−2.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
−0.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−9.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
−18.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−7.5
3
@GCU
GCUL 57-81
+2.5
7
vsSDSU
SDSUL 54-88
−11.5
10
vsCSU
CSUL 74-91
−0.5
14
@FRES
FRESL 63-93
−15.5
17
@UNM
UNML 61-98
−8.5
21
vsUNLV
UNLVL 66-91
−8.5
24
vsSJSU
SJSUL 80-86
+0.5
28
@WYO
WYOL 62-66
+16.5
3
vsGCU
GCUL 60-86
−6.5
7
@NEV
NEVL 59-74
+9.5
covered 10didn’t cover 21avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BEL
BELL 63-79
−2.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 54-74
−8.5
11
vsLIU
LIUL 72-76
+10.5
15
vsM-OH
M-OHL 61-76
−6.5
19
vsALST
ALSTW 66-64
−8.5
21
vsSIUE
SIUEW 77-63
+9.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 98-85
+7.5
26
vsUNCO
UNCOL 53-71
−22.5
29
vsSDAK
SDAKL 63-80
−4.5
3
vsPAC
PACL 65-80
+10.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 56-61
−16.5
17
@SDSU
SDSUL 58-81
+3.5
30
vsWYO
WYOL 56-68
−22.5
3
@UNLV
UNLVL 39-67
−36.5
6
vsUSU
USUL 62-99
+21.5
10
vsUNM
UNML 49-91
+1.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUL 62-70
+3.5
17
vsNEV
NEVL 66-81
+12.5
20
@CSU
CSUL 52-81
−0.5
24
@BOIS
BOISL 54-96
+12.5
31
vsFRES
FRESL 62-79
−0.5
3
@GCU
GCUL 57-81
+0.5
7
vsSDSU
SDSUL 54-88
+2.5
10
vsCSU
CSUL 74-91
+27.5
14
@FRES
FRESL 63-93
+13.5
17
@UNM
UNML 61-98
+10.5
21
vsUNLV
UNLVL 66-91
+3.5
24
vsSJSU
SJSUL 80-86
+20.5
28
@WYO
WYOL 62-66
−17.5
3
vsGCU
GCUL 60-86
+2.5
7
@NEV
NEVL 59-74
−11.5
over 18under 13avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nevada
31 games played
Straight up
20-11
65% wins
Against the spread
17-14
55% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-13
58% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LT | W 77-50 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 136.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 8 | vsPAC | W 78-77 | -13.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs SIU | W 86-81 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | @ SCU | L 83-98 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 18 | vs UCD | L 71-75 | -12.5 | L −16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 22 | vs UCSB | W 77-64 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 27 | vs WASH | L 66-83 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs SF | W 81-65 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 2 | vs UCSD | W 76-70 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 7 | @ WSU | W 78-64 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs DUQ | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 20 | vsBOIS | W 81-66 | +3.5 | W +18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 30 | @CSU | W 75-62 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @FRES | W 66-65 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 6 | vsSDSU | L 68-73 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsWYO | W 92-83 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | @USU | L 62-71 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @AF | W 81-66 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 20 | vsSJSU | W 87-54 | -16.5 | W +16.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 24 | @UNM | L 73-80 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vsGCU | W 66-60 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 30 | vsUNLV | W 89-76 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 3 | @BOIS | L 87-91 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 7 | vsFRES | W 69-59 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 14 | @SDSU | L 57-71 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 17 | @SJSU | L 71-87 | -10.5 | L −26.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 21 | vsUSU | W 80-77 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 24 | vsUNM | W 67-60 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 28 | @UNLV | L 83-85 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 3 | @WYO | L 73-83 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 7 | vsAF | W 74-59 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
+17.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
−12.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
−6.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
−8.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
−16.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
+7.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
−13.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+21.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
+0.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
+16.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
−2.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+18.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
+14.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−3.5
6
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-73
−6.5
10
vsWYO
WYOW 92-83
+5.5
14
@USU
USUL 62-71
+4.5
17
@AF
AFW 81-66
+0.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 87-54
+16.5
24
@UNM
UNML 73-80
+1.5
27
vsGCU
GCUW 66-60
+2.5
30
vsUNLV
UNLVW 89-76
+5.5
3
@BOIS
BOISL 87-91
+2.5
7
vsFRES
FRESW 69-59
−1.5
14
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-71
−6.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUL 71-87
−26.5
21
vsUSU
USUW 80-77
+8.5
24
vsUNM
UNMW 67-60
+5.5
28
@UNLV
UNLVL 83-85
−3.5
3
@WYO
WYOL 73-83
−11.5
7
vsAF
AFW 74-59
−9.5
covered 17didn’t cover 14avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLT
LTW 77-50
−9.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 78-77
+15.5
12
vsSIU
SIUW 86-81
+14.5
15
@SCU
SCUL 83-98
+36.5
18
vsUCD
UCDL 71-75
+2.5
22
vsUCSB
UCSBW 77-64
−6.5
27
vsWASH
WASHL 66-83
+3.5
28
vsSF
SFW 81-65
+3.5
2
vsUCSD
UCSDW 76-70
−3.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 78-64
−3.5
13
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-75
+1.5
20
vsBOIS
BOISW 81-66
+5.5
30
@CSU
CSUW 75-62
−2.5
3
@FRES
FRESW 66-65
−15.5
6
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-73
−0.5
10
vsWYO
WYOW 92-83
+31.5
14
@USU
USUL 62-71
−14.5
17
@AF
AFW 81-66
+12.5
20
vsSJSU
SJSUW 87-54
+3.5
24
@UNM
UNML 73-80
+2.5
27
vsGCU
GCUW 66-60
−17.5
30
vsUNLV
UNLVW 89-76
+17.5
3
@BOIS
BOISL 87-91
+36.5
7
vsFRES
FRESW 69-59
−21.5
14
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-71
−11.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUL 71-87
+16.5
21
vsUSU
USUW 80-77
+10.5
24
vsUNM
UNMW 67-60
−21.5
28
@UNLV
UNLVL 83-85
+17.5
3
@WYO
WYOL 73-83
+12.5
7
vsAF
AFW 74-59
−11.5
over 18under 13avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Air Force
3-28 overall · 0-20 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Nevada59–74
- Lvs Grand Canyon60–86
- L@ Wyoming62–66
- Lvs San José St80–86
- Lvs UNLV66–91
4 days since their last game.
Nevada
20-11 overall · 12-8 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Air Force74–59
- L@ Wyoming73–83
- L@ UNLV83–85
- Wvs New Mexico67–60
- Wvs Utah State80–77
4 days since their last game.