Cotterell Court · at Colgate · Conference game
Closing line
COLG -8.5✓ COLG covered by 10.5
COLG -8.5✓ COLG covered by 10.5Closing total139.5Over by 31.5
 BUCK | This season | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| 6-12 | Record | 8-8 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 4-14 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BUCK 67–75 COLG · ✓ COLG (78%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUCK | 32 | 44 | 76 |
| COLG | 43 | 52 | 95 |
1st half: BUCK 32, COLG 43 (COLG by 11). The model had COLG by 5.1 and a total of 66.6 (actual 75).
Team stats
| BUCK | COLG | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-55 44% | Field goals | 34-60 57% |
| 6-26 23% | 3-pointers | 12-27 44% |
| 22-24 92% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 24 5 off | Rebounds | 36 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 23 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| BUCK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achile Spadone G | 36 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Jayden Williams G | 35 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Amon Dorries C | 32 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Pat Curtin G | 29 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 7-15 | 1-6 |
| Quin Berger G | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aleksander Pachucki G | 27 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Jacob Meachem G | 13 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Patrick O'Brien F | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Matt Lange G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kellen Welch F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brandon McCreesh, Brady Muller, Josh Fulton, Ruot Bijiek, Grgur Brcic
| COLG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Cox G | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Sam Wright F | 29 | 17 | 6 | 0 | 8-12 | 1-3 |
| Andrew Alekseyenko F | 27 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 7-10 | 3-4 |
| Josh Ahayere G | 27 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Ben Tweedy G | 26 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 4-9 | 4-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyle Carlesimo G | 19 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Cooper Wright F | 14 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Brady Cummins G | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Ayomi Odetoyinbo F | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Brennan F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Brown F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jonathan Niv G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Charlie Pugh G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Blake Forrest, Stevie Clark, Parker Jones
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCOLG -8.5
ModelCOLG -8.8
Model edgeCOLG +0.3
W COLG covered
Total
Market139.5
Model142.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
W Over
Projected score
BUCK 66.7 · COLG 75.4
BUCK 76 · COLG 95
Win probability
COLG 78%
1st half
Spread
COLG -5.1
COLG -11.0
Total
66.6
75 points
Projected score
BUCK 30.7 · COLG 35.8
BUCK 32 · COLG 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCOLG -8.5
no move
CloseCOLG -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
no move
Close139.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
BUCK +330 · COLG -425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened COLG -8.5 · unchangedmodel COLG -9
model COLG -9
Opened 139.5 · unchangedmodel 142
model 142
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUCK | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| COLG | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
BUCK 1–9 COLGCOLG leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · BUCK 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024-25 | BUCK 80 @ COLG 87 | COLG -7.5 | BUCK W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | COLG 60 @ BUCK 66 | BUCK -2.5 | BUCK W |
| Mar 10, 2023-24 | BUCK 65 @ COLG 68 | COLG -12.5 | BUCK W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | BUCK 50 @ COLG 62 | COLG -12.5 | BUCK W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | COLG 84 @ BUCK 73 | BUCK +7.5 | COLG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bucknell
18 games played
Straight up
6-12
33% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-14
22% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DEL | W 78-70 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ MSM | W 73-62 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ PRIN | L 63-73 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 14 | vs HOF | L 77-83 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 17 | @ PITT | L 50-84 | +16.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | @ SJU | L 49-97 | +28.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs BGSU | L 66-71 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs BUF | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs COR | L 72-101 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 3 | @ AKR | L 77-97 | +23.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMBC | L 66-73 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | @ RID | W 51-38 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 89 |
| Dec 20 | @ IOWA | L 39-94 | +25.5 | L −29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ HC | L 58-65 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs LEH | W 72-65 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 7 | @ NAVY | L 55-76 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vs L-MD | W 70-67 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vs LAF | W 76-69 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDEL
DELW 78-70
+5.5
7
@MSM
MSMW 73-62
+12.5
11
@PRIN
PRINL 63-73
−5.5
14
vsHOF
HOFL 77-83
−1.5
17
@PITT
PITTL 50-84
−17.5
20
@SJU
SJUL 49-97
−19.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-71
+5.5
26
vsBUF
BUFL 71-73
+2.5
30
vsCOR
CORL 72-101
−23.5
3
@AKR
AKRL 77-97
+3.5
6
vsUMBC
UMBCL 66-73
−8.5
9
@RID
RIDW 51-38
+10.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 39-94
−29.5
31
@HC
HCL 58-65
−8.5
3
vsLEH
LEHW 72-65
+2.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 55-76
−12.5
10
vsL-MD
L-MDW 70-67
−3.5
14
vsLAF
LAFW 76-69
+4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDEL
DELW 78-70
−1.5
7
@MSM
MSMW 73-62
−8.5
11
@PRIN
PRINL 63-73
−10.5
14
vsHOF
HOFL 77-83
+20.5
17
@PITT
PITTL 50-84
−7.5
20
@SJU
SJUL 49-97
−12.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-71
−7.5
26
vsBUF
BUFL 71-73
−2.5
30
vsCOR
CORL 72-101
+13.5
3
@AKR
AKRL 77-97
+16.5
6
vsUMBC
UMBCL 66-73
−4.5
9
@RID
RIDW 51-38
−46.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 39-94
−0.5
31
@HC
HCL 58-65
−10.5
3
vsLEH
LEHW 72-65
−0.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 55-76
−6.5
10
vsL-MD
L-MDW 70-67
−6.5
14
vsLAF
LAFW 76-69
+7.5
over 4under 14avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colgate
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MSU | L 69-80 | +22.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 7 | vs NE | L 65-68 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | vs DREX | W 90-83 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ ILL | L 65-84 | +30.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 17 | @ SIE | W 72-69 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | @COR | L 94-95 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 28 | vs UALB | W 69-67 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs FOR | W 72-62 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 10 | @ SBU | L 77-85 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 21 | @ FLA | L 60-90 | +27.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 28 | vs HARV | L 69-78 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 31 | @LAF | W 85-77 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ ARMY | W 76-69 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | vs AMER | W 64-62 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | vsLEH | L 77-78 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @L-MD | W 86-80 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MSU
MSUL 69-80
+11.5
7
vsNE
NEL 65-68
−8.5
11
vsDREX
DREXW 90-83
+3.5
14
@ILL
ILLL 65-84
+11.5
17
@SIE
SIEW 72-69
+9.5
20
@COR
CORL 94-95
+4.5
28
vsUALB
UALBW 69-67
−5.5
30
vsFOR
FORW 72-62
+8.5
10
@SBU
SBUL 77-85
+1.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 60-90
−2.5
28
vsHARV
HARVL 69-78
−12.5
31
@LAF
LAFW 85-77
+1.5
3
@ARMY
ARMYW 76-69
−0.5
7
vsAMER
AMERW 64-62
−3.5
10
vsLEH
LEHL 77-78
−12.5
14
@L-MD
L-MDW 86-80
−2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MSU
MSUL 69-80
+4.5
7
vsNE
NEL 65-68
−14.5
11
vsDREX
DREXW 90-83
+29.5
14
@ILL
ILLL 65-84
−15.5
17
@SIE
SIEW 72-69
−5.5
20
@COR
CORL 94-95
+27.5
28
vsUALB
UALBW 69-67
−5.5
30
vsFOR
FORW 72-62
−8.5
10
@SBU
SBUL 77-85
+19.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 60-90
−6.5
28
vsHARV
HARVL 69-78
+5.5
31
@LAF
LAFW 85-77
+15.5
3
@ARMY
ARMYW 76-69
−2.5
7
vsAMER
AMERW 64-62
−22.5
10
vsLEH
LEHL 77-78
+12.5
14
@L-MD
L-MDW 86-80
+15.5
over 8under 8avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bucknell
6-12 overall · 3-2 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lafayette76–69
- Wvs Loyola MD70–67
- L@ Navy55–76
- Wvs Lehigh72–65
- L@ Holy Cross58–65
3 days since their last game.
Colgate
8-8 overall · 4-1 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Loyola MD86–80
- Lvs Lehigh77–78
- Wvs American64–62
- W@ Army76–69
- W@ Lafayette85–77
3 days since their last game.