When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
46 games · 2024 · Postseason round 16 · pick one to list those games
54% went over. Of the 25 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 36% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 20% of games.
All 46 games
2024 · Postseason round 16 · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
OSU -8.5 | 44.5 | 7284657 | Q3 | OSU Q2 | 34–23 |
2024 · Postseason |
OSU -5.5 | 51.5 | 7212842 | U | OSU Q4 | 28–14 |
2024 · Postseason |
PSU -1.5 | 45.5 | 0132051 | Q4 | ND Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2024 · Postseason |
BUFF -3.5 | 50.5 | 691633 | U | BUFF Q1 | 26–7 |
2024 · Postseason |
MINN -10.5 | 43.5 | 7313134 | U | MINN Q2 | 24–10 |
2024 · Postseason |
TXST -15.5 | 66.5 | 13303758 | U | UNT Q1 | 28–30 |
2024 · Postseason |
MISS -14.5 | 50.5 | 14314572 | Q4 | MISS Q2 | 20–52 |
2024 · Postseason |
ND -1.5 | 46.5 | 0163033 | U | ND Q2 | 23–10 |
2024 · Postseason |
OSU -2.5 | 54.5 | 14425662 | Q3 | OSU Q1 | 41–21 |
2024 · Postseason |
TEX -13.5 | 52.5 | 1720254870 | OT | ASU Q3 Late over |
39–31 |
2024 · Postseason |
PSU -11.5 | 54.5 | 14243845 | U | PSU Q4 Late cover flip |
31–14 |
2024 · Postseason |
BAY -2.5 | 62.5 | 14515875 | Q4 | LSU Q1 | 31–44 |
2024 · Postseason |
SC -9.5 | 49.5 | 10102438 | U | ILL Q1 | 17–21 |
2024 · Postseason |
WASH -1.5 | 50.5 | 21425669 | Q3 | LOU Q1 | 35–34 |
2024 · Postseason |
ALA -16.5 | 45.5 | 16262632 | U | MICH Q1 | 13–19 |
2024 · Postseason |
MIZ -1.5 | 41.5 | 21354551 | Q3 | MIZ Q4 Late cover flip |
24–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
ARMY -14.5 | 44.5 | 14242733 | U | ARMY Q2 | 6–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
COLO -2.5 | 53.5 | 10203450 | U | BYU Q1 | 36–14 |
2024 · Postseason |
NCSU -7.5 | 60.5 | 7202747 | U | ECU Q1 Lead lost |
26–21 |
2024 · Postseason |
M-OH -1.5 | 42.5 | 9123960 | Q4 | M-OH Q1 | 43–17 |
2024 · Postseason |
MIA -5.5 | 61.5 | 35597383 | Q3 | ISU Q1 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–41 |
2024 · Postseason |
TCU -9.5 | 59.5 | 14273437 | U | TCU Q1 | 3–34 |
2024 · Postseason |
NEB -3.5 | 47.5 | 0152235 | U | NEB Q2 | 15–20 |
2024 · Postseason |
UNC -1.5 | 52.5 | 17313441 | U | CONN Q1 | 27–14 |
2024 · Postseason |
TA&M -3.5 | 56.5 | 7143866 | Q4 | USC Q4 Late over Lead lost |
35–31 |
2024 · Postseason |
SYR -18.5 | 57.5 | 35567087 | Q3 | WSU Q1 | 52–35 |
2024 · Postseason |
TTU -3.5 | 52.5 | 24435365 | Q3 | ARK Q1 | 26–39 |
2024 · Postseason |
GT -2.5 | 48.5 | 7243462 | Q4 | VAN Q1 | 27–35 |
2024 · Postseason |
OU -2.5 | 44.5 | 14212841 | U | NAVY Q3 | 20–21 |
2024 · Postseason |
BGSU -10.5 | 54.5 | 24455569 | Q3 | ARST Q1 | 38–31 |
2024 · Postseason |
KSU -7.5 | 51.5 | 10446385 | Q3 | RUTG Q1 Lead lost |
41–44 |
2024 · Postseason |
PITT -6.5 | 48.5 | 832436094 | Q4 | TOL Q1 | 46–48 |
2024 · Postseason |
USF -0.5 | 64.5 | 731415480 | OT | USF OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
41–39 |
2024 · Postseason |
NIU -2.5 | 40.5 | 1616262648 | OT | NIU OT Late cover flip Late over |
28–20 |
2024 · Postseason |
UTSA -13.5 | 56.5 | 0212759 | Q4 | UTSA Q2 Late over |
44–15 |
2024 · Postseason |
OSU -7.5 | 46.5 | 21314559 | Q4 | OSU Q1 | 17–42 |
2024 · Postseason |
TEX -13.5 | 49.5 | 14384862 | Q4 | TEX Q2 | 24–38 |
2024 · Postseason |
PSU -7.5 | 50.5 | 7283448 | U | PSU Q2 | 10–38 |
2024 · Postseason |
ND -6.5 | 50.5 | 7202344 | U | ND Q1 | 17–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
FLA -9.5 | 49.5 | 361641 | U | FLA Q3 | 8–33 |
2024 · Postseason |
OHIO -5.5 | 56.5 | 21344157 | Q4 | JXST Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
30–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
GASO -3.5 | 48.5 | 7314057 | Q4 | SHSU Q1 Late over |
26–31 |
2024 · Postseason |
UNLV -3.5 | 44.5 | 17273437 | U | UNLV Q3 | 13–24 |
2024 · Postseason |
JMU -7.5 | 50.5 | 7213144 | U | JMU Q4 Late cover flip |
17–27 |
2024 · Postseason |
MEM -5.5 | 60.5 | 7455879 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip |
42–37 |
2024 · Postseason |
USA -5.5 | 54.5 | 7293653 | U | USA Q3 Late cover flip |
30–23 |
OSU
ND
TEX
PSU
BUFF
LIB
MINN
VT
UNT
TXST
DUKE
MISS
UGA
ORE
ASU
BOIS
BAY
LSU
SC
ILL
LOU
WASH
ALA
MICH
IOWA
MIZ
LT
ARMY
BYU
COLO
ECU
NCSU
M-OH
CSU
ISU
MIA
UL
TCU
BC
NEB
CONN
UNC
USC
TA&M
SYR
WSU
TTU
ARK
GT
VAN
OU
NAVY
ARST
BGSU
RUTG
KSU
PITT
TOL
USF
SJSU
NIU
FRES
UTSA
CCU
TENN
CLEM
SMU
IU
TULN
FLA
OHIO
JXST
GASO
SHSU
CAL
UNLV
WKU
JMU
MEM
WVU
USA
WMUWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 48% 22
Q2 20% 9
Q3 13% 6
Q4 15% 7
OT 4% 2
The team leading at halftime won 84% and covered 75% of 44 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 79% of 42 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 9 | 100% 9 |
| 1–3 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 4–7 | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 8–10 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 11–14 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 15–17 | 7 | 43% 3 |
| 18–21 | 7 | 14% 1 |
| 22+ | 13 | 31% 4 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.