When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
3,141 games · 2023–2026 · pick one to list those games
51% went over. Of the 1,606 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 32% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 18% of games.
Leader lost the game in the last 5 minutes: 246 games
2023–2026 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 7 |
ORE -6.5 | 50.5 | 072031 | U | NEB Q1 Lead lost |
14–17 |
2026 · Week 7 |
ND -10.5 | 47.5 | 10313752 | Q4 | BYU Q1 Late over Lead lost |
24–28 |
2026 · Week 7 |
WVU -1.5 | 64.5 | 7354987 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–45 |
2026 · Week 7 |
ECU -5.5 | 49.5 | 717233447 | U | UAB Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–30 |
2026 · Week 7 |
DEL -1.5 | 49.5 | 8284963 | Q4 | MTSU Q3 Late cover flip Lead lost |
30–33 |
2026 · Week 6 |
LT -3 | 48.5 | 0233763 | Q4 | UL Q3 Lead lost |
31–32 |
2026 · Week 6 |
LSU -9.5 | 50.5 | 1738415469 | Q4 | UK Q1 Lead lost |
34–35 |
2026 · Week 6 |
VT -11.5 | 51.5 | 0242745 | U | CAL Q1 Lead lost |
20–25 |
2026 · Week 6 |
EMU -4.5 | 51.5 | 10273348 | U | AKR Q1 Lead lost |
25–23 |
2026 · Week 5 |
USF -5.5 | 50.5 | 3132030 | U | TEM Q1 Lead lost |
17–13 |
2026 · Week 5 |
SC -2.5 | 52.5 | 1430445469 | Q4 | UK Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
35–34 |
2026 · Week 5 |
ISU -3 | 53.5 | 14355687 | Q3 | Push Late cover flip Lead lost |
42–45 |
2026 · Week 4 |
PSU -9.5 | 43.5 | 3243044 | Q4 | WIS Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
24–20 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MICH -4.5 | 39.5 | 14172039 | U | IOWA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
20–19 |
 GWEB @  MRSH2026 · Week 4 |
MRSH -24.5 | 56.5 | 24485571 | Q4 | GWEB Q1 Lead lost |
35–36 |
2026 · Week 4 |
ARMY -4 | 48.5 | 14142838 | U | Push Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–17 |
2026 · Week 3 |
CIN -14.5 | 50.5 | 21354966 | Q4 | M-OH Q1 Lead lost |
31–35 |
2026 · Week 3 |
TOL -4.5 | 48.5 | 1738488497 | Q4 | TEM Q1 Lead lost |
48–49 |
2026 · Week 3 |
VAN -3 | 50.5 | 14243866 | Q4 | VAN Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–35 |
2026 · Week 2 |
TEX -2.5 | 50.5 | 10232647 | U | OSU Q1 Lead lost |
23–24 |
 ILST @  NIU2026 · Week 2 |
ILST -2.5 | 47.5 | 14383852 | Q4 | ILST Q1 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
28–24 |
2026 · Week 2 |
TULN -9.5 | 48.5 | 10243852 | Q4 | USA Q1 Late over Lead lost |
24–28 |
2026 · Week 2 |
OHIO -1.5 | 48.5 | 731384856 | OT | OHIO OT Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–29 |
 UNCO @  WYO2026 · Week 2 |
WYO -23.5 | 44.5 | 0172034 | U | UNCO Q1 Lead lost |
13–21 |
2026 · Week 2 |
SYR -4 | 56.5 | 3193239 | U | CAL Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–18 |
2026 · Week 2 |
ARMY -3 | 45.5 | 7212852 | Q4 | USF Q3 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
28–24 |
GWEB @  LIB2026 · Week 2 |
LIB -28.5 | 55.5 | 20374047 | U | GWEB Q1 Lead lost |
23–24 |
2026 · Week 1 |
MICH -27.5 | 50.5 | 10131325 | U | WMU Q1 Lead lost |
12–13 |
2026 · Week 1 |
GT -6.5 | 53.5 | 0171727 | U | COLO Q1 Lead lost |
14–13 |
 ALB @  BUFF2026 · Week 1 |
BUFF -18.5 | 47.5 | 7243138 | U | ALB Q1 Lead lost |
17–21 |
2025 · Postseason |
DUKE -4 | 49.5 | 28526781 | Q2 | ASU Q3 Lead lost |
39–42 |
2025 · Postseason |
USC -4.5 | 56.5 | 327354857 | OT | TCU Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
27–30 |
2025 · Postseason |
BYU -3.5 | 55.5 | 14313146 | U | BYU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
21–25 |
2025 · Week 14 |
OU -12.5 | 36.5 | 362030 | U | LSU Q1 Lead lost |
13–17 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UTSA -8.5 | 50.5 | 7273051 | Q4 | ARMY Q1 Late over Lead lost |
27–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
UL -10.5 | 47.5 | 2730305457 | Q4 | ULM Q1 Lead lost |
27–30 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ARST -1.5 | 54.5 | 6324659 | Q4 | APP Q1 Late over Lead lost |
30–29 |
2025 · Week 14 |
BOIS -1.5 | 55.5 | 24344349 | U | USU Q1 Lead lost |
25–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
NIU -4.5 | 44.5 | 10384166 | Q4 | KENT Q1 Lead lost |
35–31 |
2025 · Week 13 |
UTAH -18.5 | 52.5 | 14527398 | Q3 | KSU Q1 Lead lost |
47–51 |
2025 · Week 13 |
IOWA -17.5 | 43.5 | 7102437 | U | MSU Q1 Lead lost |
17–20 |
2025 · Week 13 |
DUKE -6.5 | 50.5 | 14274257 | Q4 | DUKE Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
32–25 |
2025 · Week 13 |
MRSH -3.5 | 57.5 | 10374750 | U | APP Q3 Lead lost |
24–26 |
2025 · Week 13 |
ARMY -9.5 | 43.5 | 14363951 | Q4 | TLSA Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
26–25 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UNLV -4.5 | 68.5 | 923334655 | U | USU Q1 Lead lost |
26–29 |
2025 · Week 12 |
ASU -9.5 | 46.5 | 3323248 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late over Lead lost |
23–25 |
2025 · Week 12 |
MICH -10.5 | 42.5 | 0133046 | Q4 | NU Q4 Lead lost |
24–22 |
2025 · Week 11 |
DUKE -7.5 | 62.5 | 17345171 | Q4 | CONN Q1 Lead lost |
34–37 |
2025 · Week 11 |
ARIZ -6.5 | 56.5 | 14313744 | U | KU Q1 Lead lost |
20–24 |
2025 · Week 11 |
LIB -7.5 | 51.5 | 7101738 | U | MOST Q3 Lead lost |
21–17 |
NEB
ORE
ND
BYU
CIN
WVU
ECU
UAB
DEL
MTSU
UL
LT
LSU
UK
VT
CAL
EMU
AKR
TEM
USF
SC
ISU
WIS
PSU
IOWA
MICH
ARMY
M-OH
TOL
NCSU
VAN
OSU
TEX
USA
TULN
JXST
OHIO
SYR
WMU
COLO
GT
ASU
DUKE
USC
TCU
OU
UTSA
ULM
ARST
APP
BOIS
USU
KENT
KSU
UTAH
MSU
UNC
TLSA
UNLV
NU
CONN
KU
ARIZ
MOSTWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 1,568
Q2 16% 494
Q3 15% 471
Q4 18% 556
OT 1% 18
Push 1% 34
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 69% of 2,929 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 72% of 2,988 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 516 | 100% 516 |
| 1–3 | 192 | 95% 182 |
| 4–7 | 295 | 86% 255 |
| 8–10 | 261 | 70% 184 |
| 11–14 | 345 | 58% 200 |
| 15–17 | 270 | 41% 110 |
| 18–21 | 339 | 27% 92 |
| 22+ | 923 | 7% 67 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.