Foster Pavilion · at Baylor · Conference game
Closing line
BYU -3.5✓ BYU covered by 1.5
BYU -3.5✓ BYU covered by 1.5Closing total158.5Over by 34.5
| BYU | This season | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| 17-6 | Record | 12-10 |
| 9-14 | ATS | 10-12 |
| 12-11 | O/U | 12-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BYU 83–81 BAY · ✓ BYU (59%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | 41 | 58 | 99 |
| BAY | 41 | 53 | 94 |
1st half: BYU 41, BAY 41 (tied). The model had BYU by 1.6 and a total of 76.7 (actual 82).
Team stats
| BYU | BAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-68 56% | Field goals | 32-62 52% |
| 3-19 16% | 3-pointers | 10-21 48% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 20-25 80% |
| 33 12 off | Rebounds | 34 12 off |
| 12 | Assists | 16 |
| 9 | Steals | 2 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 64 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| BYU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Wright III G | 40 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 12-21 | 2-5 |
| AJ Dybantsa F | 40 | 36 | 5 | 7 | 14-20 | 1-4 |
| Richie Saunders G | 36 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 6-14 | 0-5 |
| Kennard Davis Jr. G | 24 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Keba Keita F | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khadim Mboup F | 27 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Mihailo Boskovic F | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Mrus F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Abdullah Ahmed C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dominique Diomande, Aleksej Kostic, Brody Kozlowski, KJ Perry, Xavion Staton, Nate Pickens, Jared McGregor, Dawson Baker
| BAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tounde Yessoufou G | 40 | 37 | 6 | 3 | 12-19 | 5-8 |
| Isaac Williams IV G | 36 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Carr G | 35 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 9-15 | 3-7 |
| Obi Agbim G | 34 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Caden Powell C | 29 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Rataj G | 19 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| James Nnaji C | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: James Goodis, Drew Perry, Mayo Soyoye, Maikcol Perez, Andre Iguodala II, Juslin Bodo Bodo, Will Kuykendall, JJ White, Dan Skillings Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBYU -3.5
ModelBYU -2.5
Model edgeBAY +1.0
L BYU covered
Total
Market158.5
Model164.2
Model edgeOver 5.7
W Over
Projected score
BYU 83.3 · BAY 80.8
BYU 99 · BAY 94
Win probability
BYU 59%
1st half
Spread
BYU -1.6
tied
Total
76.7
82 points
Projected score
BYU 39.2 · BAY 37.6
BYU 41 · BAY 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBYU -1.5
2 → BYU
CloseBYU -3.5
2 pts toward BYU
Total
Open162.5
▼ 4
Close158.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
BYU -170 · BAY +142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BYU -1.5 · closed BYU -3.5 · moved 2 toward BYUmodel BYU -2.5
model BYU -2.5
Opened 162.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 4 downmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% |
| BAY | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BYU 2–1 BAYBYU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · BYU has won the last 2 meetings · BYU 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024-25 | BAY 89 @ BYU 93 | BYU -3.5 | BYU W |
| Feb 20, 2023-24 | BAY 71 @ BYU 78 | BYU -4.5 | BYU W |
| Jan 9, 2023-24 | BYU 72 @ BAY 81 | BAY -4.5 | BAY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
BYU
23 games played
Straight up
17-6
74% wins
Against the spread
9-14
39% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-11
52% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs VILL | W 71-66 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs HC | W 98-53 | -38.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs DEL | W 85-68 | -35.5 | L −18.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 15 | vs CONN | L 84-86 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | vs WIS | W 98-70 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs MIA | W 72-62 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 28 | vs DAY | W 83-79 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs CBU | W 91-60 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 9 | vs CLEM | W 67-64 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCR | W 100-53 | -33.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs PAC | W 93-57 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs ACU | W 85-67 | -33.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs EWU | W 109-81 | -34.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 3 | @ KSU | W 83-73 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs ASU | W 104-76 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | @ UTAH | W 89-84 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 168.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 14 | vs TCU | W 76-70 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | @ TTU | L 71-84 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 24 | vsUTAH | W 91-78 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 26 | vs ARIZ | L 83-86 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 31 | @ KU | L 82-90 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 4 | @ OKST | L 92-99 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Feb 7 | vs HOU | L 66-77 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−4.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
+6.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−18.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+4.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+23.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
+2.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
−5.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
+12.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−1.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
+13.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+12.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
−15.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
−6.5
3
@KSU
KSUW 83-73
+2.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 104-76
+10.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 89-84
−9.5
14
vsTCU
TCUW 76-70
−7.5
17
@TTU
TTUL 71-84
−10.5
24
vsUTAH
UTAHW 91-78
−6.5
26
vsARIZ
ARIZL 83-86
−1.5
31
@KU
KUL 82-90
−5.5
4
@OKST
OKSTL 92-99
−15.5
7
vsHOU
HOUL 66-77
−9.5
covered 9didn’t cover 14avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−16.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
−14.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−11.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+13.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+2.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
−31.5
28
vsDAY
DAYW 83-79
+11.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 91-60
−2.5
9
vsCLEM
CLEMW 67-64
−21.5
13
vsUCR
UCRW 100-53
−2.5
16
vsPAC
PACW 93-57
+0.5
19
vsACU
ACUW 85-67
+5.5
22
vsEWU
EWUW 109-81
+21.5
3
@KSU
KSUW 83-73
−18.5
7
vsASU
ASUW 104-76
+11.5
10
@UTAH
UTAHW 89-84
+4.5
14
vsTCU
TCUW 76-70
−16.5
17
@TTU
TTUL 71-84
−10.5
24
vsUTAH
UTAHW 91-78
+0.5
26
vsARIZ
ARIZL 83-86
+2.5
31
@KU
KUL 82-90
+12.5
4
@OKST
OKSTL 92-99
+23.5
7
vsHOU
HOUL 66-77
−8.5
over 12under 11avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Baylor
22 games played
Straight up
12-10
55% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RGV | W 96-81 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 9 | vs WASH | W 78-69 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs TAR | W 94-81 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs CREI | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJU | L 81-96 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDSU | W 91-81 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 2 | vs SAC | W 110-88 | -29.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 6 | @ MEM | L 71-78 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs NORF | W 97-67 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs ALCN | W 113-56 | -35.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | vs SOU | W 111-67 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 169.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | @TCU | L 63-69 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 7 | vs ISU | L 60-70 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsHOU | L 55-77 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @OKST | W 94-79 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 16 | @KU | L 62-80 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | vsTTU | L 73-92 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsTCU | L 90-97 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | @ CIN | L 57-67 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @ WVU | W 63-53 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 4 | vs COLO | W 86-67 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 7 | @ISU | L 69-72 | +14.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
−9.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
+2.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
−10.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+3.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
−9.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+7.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
−7.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−10.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+3.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+21.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+17.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−3.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−6.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−19.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+13.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−10.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
−17.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
−11.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−6.5
31
@WVU
WVUW 63-53
+12.5
4
vsCOLO
COLOW 86-67
+11.5
7
@ISU
ISUL 69-72
+11.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
+22.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
−9.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
+25.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+0.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
+17.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+23.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
+39.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−9.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+15.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+8.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+8.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−22.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−25.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−10.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+7.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−14.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
+10.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
+39.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−21.5
31
@WVU
WVUW 63-53
−23.5
4
vsCOLO
COLOW 86-67
−2.5
7
@ISU
ISUL 69-72
−10.5
over 12under 10avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
BYU
17-6 overall · 5-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Houston66–77
- L@ Oklahoma St92–99
- L@ Kansas82–90
- Lvs Arizona83–86
- Wvs Utah91–78
3 days since their last game.
Baylor
12-10 overall · 3-8 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iowa State69–72
- Wvs Colorado86–67
- W@ West Virginia63–53
- L@ Cincinnati57–67
- Lvs TCU90–97
3 days since their last game.