LJVM Coliseum · at Wake Forest · Conference game
Closing line
CLEM -4.5✓ WAKE covered by 12.5
CLEM -4.5✓ WAKE covered by 12.5Closing total140.5Over by 21.5
| CLEM | This season | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| 20-6 | Record | 13-12 |
| 15-11 | ATS | 10-15 |
| 10-16 | O/U | 15-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CLEM 73–71 WAKE · ✗ CLEM (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM | 32 | 45 | 77 |
| WAKE | 45 | 40 | 85 |
1st half: CLEM 32, WAKE 45 (WAKE by 13). The model had CLEM by 1.4 and a total of 67.5 (actual 77).
Team stats
| CLEM | WAKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-56 46% | Field goals | 28-51 55% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 10-22 45% |
| 17-25 68% | Free throws | 19-24 79% |
| 27 10 off | Rebounds | 27 6 off |
| 14 | Assists | 14 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| CLEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Wahlin F | 30 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 7-11 | 3-7 |
| RJ Godfrey F | 27 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Carter Welling F | 26 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Dillon Hunter G | 22 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jestin Porter G | 22 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Butta Johnson G | 27 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Nick Davidson F | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Ace Buckner G | 20 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Chase Thompson F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Blake Davidson, Zac Foster, Trent Steinour, Dallas Thomas
| WAKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juke Harris G | 38 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 7-17 | 2-8 |
| Sebastian Akins G | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Tre'Von Spillers F | 29 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Myles Colvin G | 28 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 5-9 | 4-6 |
| Cooper Schwieger F | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marqus Marion F | 19 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Omaha Biliew F | 16 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Mekhi Mason G | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Isaac Carr G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dimitrije Kovacevic, Anson Beard Jr., Jaylen Cross, Will Underwood, Vincent Ricchiuti, Nate Calmese, Owen Kmety
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCLEM -4.5
ModelCLEM -2.1
Model edgeWAKE +2.4
W WAKE covered
Total
Market140.5
Model144.2
Model edgeOver 3.7
W Over
Projected score
CLEM 73.1 · WAKE 71
CLEM 77 · WAKE 85
Win probability
CLEM 57%
1st half
Spread
CLEM -1.4
WAKE -13.0
Total
67.5
77 points
Projected score
CLEM 34.4 · WAKE 33.1
CLEM 32 · WAKE 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCLEM -2.5
2 → CLEM
CloseCLEM -4.5
2 pts toward CLEM
Total
Open138.5
▲ 2
Close140.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
CLEM -218 · WAKE +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CLEM -2.5 · closed CLEM -4.5 · moved 2 toward CLEMmodel CLEM -2
model CLEM -2
Opened 138.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 2 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| WAKE | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CLEM 3–2 WAKECLEM leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · CLEM 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | WAKE 62 @ CLEM 73 | CLEM -8.5 | CLEM W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | CLEM 76 @ WAKE 81 | WAKE -3.5 | WAKE W |
| Jan 17, 2022-23 | CLEM 77 @ WAKE 87 | WAKE -3.5 | WAKE W |
| Dec 2, 2022-23 | WAKE 57 @ CLEM 77 | CLEM -3.5 | CLEM W |
| Feb 23, 2021-22 | WAKE 69 @ CLEM 80 | CLEM +4 | CLEM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Clemson
26 games played
Straight up
20-6
77% wins
Against the spread
15-11
58% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-16
38% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UNH | W 88-38 | -29.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 7 | vs GWEB | W 97-59 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 11 | vs MORE | W 83-56 | -29.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 15 | @ GTWN | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 17 | vs UNA | W 81-61 | -25.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs WVU | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs UGA | W 97-94 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 28 | vs AAMU | W 92-56 | -27.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ ALA | L 84-90 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 9 | vs BYU | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs MER | W 70-63 | -22.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 16 | vs SC | W 68-61 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 21 | vs CIN | W 68-65 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ SYR | W 64-61 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 3 | @ PITT | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 7 | vs SMU | W 74-70 | -3.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ ND | W 76-61 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 133.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 13 | vs BC | W 74-50 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs MIA | W 69-59 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 20 | vs NCSU | L 76-80 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 24 | @ GT | W 77-63 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | vsPITT | W 63-52 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 4 | @ STAN | W 66-64 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | @ CAL | W 77-55 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 11 | vs VT | L 66-76 | -8.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 14 | @ DUKE | L 54-67 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
+20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+8.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−2.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
−6.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−5.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
−1.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+1.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+8.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+2.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
+1.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−15.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−5.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−0.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
+1.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+1.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
+0.5
10
@ND
NDW 76-61
+11.5
13
vsBC
BCW 74-50
+8.5
17
vsMIA
MIAW 69-59
+5.5
20
vsNCSU
NCSUL 76-80
−6.5
24
@GT
GTW 77-63
+5.5
31
vsPITT
PITTW 63-52
+0.5
4
@STAN
STANW 66-64
−1.5
7
@CAL
CALW 77-55
+17.5
11
vsVT
VTL 66-76
−18.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-67
−0.5
covered 15didn’t cover 11avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
−20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+10.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−12.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
+10.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−2.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
+4.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+38.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+6.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+8.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
−21.5
13
vsMER
MERW 70-63
−19.5
16
vsSC
SCW 68-61
−13.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 68-65
−7.5
31
@SYR
SYRW 64-61
−15.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-68
+5.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 74-70
−5.5
10
@ND
NDW 76-61
+3.5
13
vsBC
BCW 74-50
−12.5
17
vsMIA
MIAW 69-59
−15.5
20
vsNCSU
NCSUL 76-80
+13.5
24
@GT
GTW 77-63
−2.5
31
vsPITT
PITTW 63-52
−20.5
4
@STAN
STANW 66-64
−8.5
7
@CAL
CALW 77-55
−7.5
11
vsVT
VTL 66-76
+3.5
14
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-67
−13.5
over 10under 16avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wake Forest
25 games played
Straight up
13-12
52% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-10
60% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AMER | W 88-74 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vsMORE | W 81-65 | -22.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | vs MICH | L 84-85 | +15.5 | W +14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 16 | vs UML | W 109-75 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 20 | vs TTU | L 83-84 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MEM | W 69-68 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAM | W 99-51 | -17.5 | W +30.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 28 | vs NE | W 86-73 | -17.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs OU | L 68-86 | -4.5 | L −22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vsWVU | W 75-66 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 14 | vs QUC | W 111-73 | -18.5 | W +19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 17 | vs LONG | W 71-68 | -24.5 | L −21.5 | 163.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs VAN | L 67-98 | +5.5 | L −25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @NCSU | L 57-70 | +10.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vsVT | W 81-78 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 7 | vsMIA | L 77-81 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @ UNC | L 84-87 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ FSU | W 69-68 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | vsSMU | L 79-91 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | @DUKE | L 69-90 | +19.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 27 | @PITT | L 76-80 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vsNCSU | L 78-96 | +5.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 7 | vs LOU | L 80-88 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 11 | @GT | W 83-67 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 14 | vsSTAN | W 68-63 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
−5.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+14.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+3.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+8.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−1.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
+30.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
−4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−22.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
+11.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+19.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−21.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
−25.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−2.5
3
vsVT
VTW 81-78
−2.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 77-81
−5.5
10
@UNC
UNCL 84-87
+7.5
17
@FSU
FSUW 69-68
−0.5
20
vsSMU
SMUL 79-91
−13.5
24
@DUKE
DUKEL 69-90
−1.5
27
@PITT
PITTL 76-80
−2.5
31
vsNCSU
NCSUL 78-96
−12.5
7
vsLOU
LOUL 80-88
+1.5
11
@GT
GTW 83-67
+12.5
14
vsSTAN
STANW 68-63
+0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
+22.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+0.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+6.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−23.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
−9.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
+4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−5.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
−2.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+18.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−24.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
+0.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−32.5
3
vsVT
VTW 81-78
+5.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 77-81
+0.5
10
@UNC
UNCL 84-87
+16.5
17
@FSU
FSUW 69-68
−31.5
20
vsSMU
SMUL 79-91
+12.5
24
@DUKE
DUKEL 69-90
+5.5
27
@PITT
PITTL 76-80
+5.5
31
vsNCSU
NCSUL 78-96
+17.5
7
vsLOU
LOUL 80-88
+5.5
11
@GT
GTW 83-67
−8.5
14
vsSTAN
STANW 68-63
−19.5
over 15under 10avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Clemson
20-6 overall · 10-3 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Duke54–67
- Lvs Virginia Tech66–76
- W@ California77–55
- W@ Stanford66–64
- Wvs Pitt63–52
4 days since their last game.
Wake Forest
13-12 overall · 4-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Stanford68–63
- W@ Georgia Tech83–67
- Lvs Louisville80–88
- Lvs NC State78–96
- L@ Pitt76–80
4 days since their last game.