Colonial Life Arena · at South Carolina · Conference game
Closing line
MIZ -3.5✓ MIZ covered by 15.5
MIZ -3.5✓ MIZ covered by 15.5Closing total147.5Under by 10.5
| MIZ | This season | SC |
|---|---|---|
| 15-7 | Record | 11-12 |
| 8-14 | ATS | 10-13 |
| 9-13 | O/U | 14-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIZ 76–74 SC · ✓ MIZ (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 34 | 44 | 78 |
| SC | 30 | 29 | 59 |
1st half: MIZ 34, SC 30 (MIZ by 4). The model had MIZ by 1.4 and a total of 70.3 (actual 64).
Team stats
| MIZ | SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-54 46% | Field goals | 17-55 31% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 3-22 14% |
| 21-30 70% | Free throws | 22-27 81% |
| 44 16 off | Rebounds | 28 11 off |
| 16 | Assists | 8 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Stone G | 37 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 7-9 | 3-4 |
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 36 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Trent Pierce G | 34 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 32 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4-12 | 0-3 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Robinson II G | 22 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Jacob Crews G | 21 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Nicholas Randall F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Trent Burns C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aaron Rowe, Sebastian Mack, Jevon Porter, Luke Northweather, Annor Boateng
| SC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meechie Johnson G | 34 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 2-13 | 1-7 |
| Kobe Knox G | 34 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Mike Sharavjamts G | 32 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| EJ Walker F | 20 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Myles Stute G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eli Ellis G | 30 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Elijah Strong F | 19 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Grant Polk G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Butler F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Assemian F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cam Scott, Eli Sparkman, Christ Essandoko, Nordin Kapic, Abu Yarmah
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMIZ -3.5
ModelMIZ -2.1
Model edgeSC +1.4
L MIZ covered
Total
Market147.5
Model150.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
L Under
Projected score
MIZ 76.2 · SC 74.1
MIZ 78 · SC 59
Win probability
MIZ 57%
1st half
Spread
MIZ -1.4
MIZ -4.0
Total
70.3
64 points
Projected score
MIZ 35.9 · SC 34.5
MIZ 34 · SC 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSC -1.5
5 → MIZ
CloseMIZ -3.5
5 pts toward MIZ
Total
Open145.5
▲ 2
Close147.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MIZ -162 · SC +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SC -1.5 · closed MIZ -3.5 · moved 5 toward MIZmodel MIZ -2
model MIZ -2
Opened 145.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| SC | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MIZ 2–3 SCSC leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · MIZ 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | SC 71 @ MIZ 101 | MIZ -12.5 | MIZ W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | MIZ 64 @ SC 72 | SC -5.5 | SC W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | SC 71 @ MIZ 69 | MIZ -3.5 | SC W |
| Feb 7, 2022-23 | SC 74 @ MIZ 83 | MIZ -14.5 | SC W |
| Mar 1, 2021-22 | MIZ 69 @ SC 73 | SC -7 | MIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Missouri
22 games played
Straight up
15-7
68% wins
Against the spread
8-14
36% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-13
41% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs KU | L 60-80 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 11 | vs ALST | W 85-77 | -26.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vs BCU | W 82-60 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs ILL | L 48-91 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vs FLA | W 76-74 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ UK | W 73-68 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @ MISS | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs AUB | W 84-74 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | @ LSU | L 70-78 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | vs UGA | L 72-74 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | vs OU | W 88-87 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | @ ALA | L 64-90 | +10.5 | L −15.5 | 167.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 31 | vs MSST | W 84-79 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−14.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
−18.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
+1.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−34.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
+9.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
+17.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
−5.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+11.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−6.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−3.5
24
vsOU
OUW 88-87
−3.5
27
@ALA
ALAL 64-90
−15.5
31
vsMSST
MSSTW 84-79
−1.5
covered 8didn’t cover 14avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−10.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
+6.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
−4.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−14.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
−4.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
−9.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
+1.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+4.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−0.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−17.5
24
vsOU
OUW 88-87
+23.5
27
@ALA
ALAL 64-90
−13.5
31
vsMSST
MSSTW 84-79
+16.5
over 9under 13avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Carolina
23 games played
Straight up
11-12
48% wins
Against the spread
10-13
43% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-9
61% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs NCAT | W 91-72 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 9 | vs USM | W 83-79 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRES | W 81-61 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs RAD | W 87-58 | -10.5 | W +18.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs BTLR | L 72-79 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs NU | L 77-79 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 28 | vs CHSO | W 74-62 | -17.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs VT | L 83-86 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs STET | W 82-51 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | vs CIT | W 71-55 | -22.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | @ CLEM | L 61-68 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 22 | vsSCST | W 95-70 | -31.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 30 | vs UALB | W 96-67 | -19.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | vs VAN | L 71-83 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 6 | @LSU | W 78-68 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | vsUGA | L 70-75 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ ARK | L 74-108 | +12.5 | L −21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @AUB | L 67-71 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | vsOU | W 85-76 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | @ TA&M | L 69-92 | +10.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 28 | vsFLA | L 48-95 | +13.5 | L −33.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 31 | vsLSU | L 87-92 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 3 | @ TEX | L 75-84 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsNCAT
NCATW 91-72
−3.5
9
vsUSM
USMW 83-79
−13.5
12
vsPRES
PRESW 81-61
+3.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 87-58
+18.5
21
vsBTLR
BTLRL 72-79
−3.5
23
vsNU
NUL 77-79
+2.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOW 74-62
−5.5
2
vsVT
VTL 83-86
−5.5
6
vsSTET
STETW 82-51
+8.5
13
vsCIT
CITW 71-55
−6.5
16
@CLEM
CLEML 61-68
+5.5
22
vsSCST
SCSTW 95-70
−6.5
30
vsUALB
UALBW 96-67
+9.5
3
vsVAN
VANL 71-83
−2.5
6
@LSU
LSUW 78-68
+17.5
10
vsUGA
UGAL 70-75
−0.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 74-108
−21.5
17
@AUB
AUBL 67-71
+9.5
20
vsOU
OUW 85-76
+11.5
24
@TA&M
TA&ML 69-92
−12.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 48-95
−33.5
31
vsLSU
LSUL 87-92
−2.5
3
@TEX
TEXL 75-84
+4.5
covered 10didn’t cover 13avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsNCAT
NCATW 91-72
+19.5
9
vsUSM
USMW 83-79
+14.5
12
vsPRES
PRESW 81-61
+4.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 87-58
−8.5
21
vsBTLR
BTLRL 72-79
+0.5
23
vsNU
NUL 77-79
+9.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOW 74-62
−14.5
2
vsVT
VTL 83-86
+19.5
6
vsSTET
STETW 82-51
−9.5
13
vsCIT
CITW 71-55
−15.5
16
@CLEM
CLEML 61-68
−13.5
22
vsSCST
SCSTW 95-70
+15.5
30
vsUALB
UALBW 96-67
+14.5
3
vsVAN
VANL 71-83
−1.5
6
@LSU
LSUW 78-68
+0.5
10
vsUGA
UGAL 70-75
−18.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 74-108
+26.5
17
@AUB
AUBL 67-71
−14.5
20
vsOU
OUW 85-76
+10.5
24
@TA&M
TA&ML 69-92
+5.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 48-95
−8.5
31
vsLSU
LSUL 87-92
+31.5
3
@TEX
TEXL 75-84
+9.5
over 14under 9avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Missouri
15-7 overall · 5-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mississippi St84–79
- L@ Alabama64–90
- Wvs Oklahoma88–87
- Lvs Georgia72–74
- L@ LSU70–78
A week or more of rest.
South Carolina
11-12 overall · 2-8 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Texas75–84
- Lvs LSU87–92
- Lvs Florida48–95
- L@ Texas A&M69–92
- Wvs Oklahoma85–76
4 days since their last game.