Xfinity Mobile Arena · at 76ers
LineNo line yet
Total—
 DAL | This season | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 6-1 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects PHI 113–112 · win probability PHI 54%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 224.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 224-242 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: DAL has more of the edges
DAL 5, PHI 4 · 2026-27 so far
PHIBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: DAL 16.8%, PHI 12.3%. Forced: DAL 14.5%, PHI 17.0%
Context
Schedule so far
DAL has played the 2nd-hardest schedule, PHI the 20th. A record against a soft schedule means less
DALBigShooting
Effective FG%: DAL 56.9 and allows 51.3; PHI 50.8 and allows 49.8
DALSmallThree-pointers
DAL hits 35.1% and allows 29.7%; PHI hits 34.0% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 42.1% and 39.5% of their shots
DALSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DAL 27.8%, PHI 19.9%. Defensive: DAL 69.4%, PHI 70.8%
DALSmallRecent form
Last 5: DAL 4-1 ATS, margin +6.6; PHI 2-3 ATS, margin +2.6
PHISmallDAL offense vs PHI defense
Offense 16th of 30 against a defense 10th, on the model’s ratings
DALSmallPHI offense vs DAL defense
Offense 22nd of 30 against a defense 16th, on the model’s ratings
PHISmallHome court
PHI at home. This season: PHI 3-1 at home, DAL 2-1 away
PHISmallFree throws
Free throw rate: DAL 21.4, PHI 28.7. Allowed: DAL 27.2, PHI 28.5
Context
Tempo
About 103 possessions: DAL plays 102.8 a game (18th fastest), PHI 102.4 (19th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DAL 100%, PHI 100%. Transfers in: DAL 0, PHI 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelPHI -1.5
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model224.8
Model edge—
Projected score
DAL 111.6 · PHI 113.1
Win probability
PHI 54%
1st half
Spread
PHI -0.7
Total
112.7
Projected score
DAL 56 · PHI 56.7
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DALlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% |
| PHIlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
DAL 3–7 PHIPHI leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · PHI has won the last 5 meetings · DAL 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | PHI 123 @ DAL 108 | DAL +2.5 | PHI W |
| Dec 20, 2025-26 | DAL 114 @ PHI 121 | PHI -1.5 | PHI W |
| Mar 16, 2024-25 | PHI 130 @ DAL 125 | DAL -6.5 | PHI W |
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | DAL 116 @ PHI 118 | PHI -3.5 | DAL W |
| Mar 3, 2023-24 | PHI 120 @ DAL 116 | DAL -7.5 | PHI W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mavericks
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +10.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
HOU
HOUL 110-128
−8.5
23
@
IND
INDW 121-105
+23.5
24
vs
SA
SAL 106-122
−1.5
26
@
MIA
MIAW 113-109
+11.5
28
vs
OKC
OKCW 120-96
+28.5
30
vsHOU
HOUW 116-111
+10.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +10.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@HOU
HOUL 110-128
+7.5
23
@IND
INDW 121-105
−15.5
24
vsSA
SAL 106-122
−1.5
26
@MIA
MIAW 113-109
−18.5
28
vsOKC
OKCW 120-96
−11.5
30
vsHOU
HOUW 116-111
+3.5
over 2under 4avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
76ers
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −15.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | @ NY | W 106-100 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 231.5 | U 206 |
| Oct 22 | vs CLE | W 114-106 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 237.5 | U 220 |
| Oct 24 | vs MIL | W 127-116 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 234.5 | O 243 |
| Oct 25 | vs DET | L 93-106 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 228.5 | U 199 |
| Oct 28 | @IND | W 114-109 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 234.5 | U 223 |
| Oct 30 | vsNY | W 98-93 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 224.5 | U 191 |
| Oct 31 | @ CHA | W 109-104 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 211.5 | O 213 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
+10.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
+5.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
−1.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−11.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−2.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
+2.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
−25.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
−17.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
+8.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−29.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−11.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
−33.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+1.5
over 2under 5avg −15.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
76ers has the better starters
Position by position: Mavericks 1, 76ers 3, even 1
MavericksBetter76ers
G M. Christie8.3 pts · 3.8 reb · 2 ast
Score 9
→PHIBig
G T. Maxey29.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.4 ast
Score 67
F P. Washington13.8 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 78
←DALBig
G J. Brown19.8 pts · 6.2 reb · 4.2 ast
Score 35
F C. Flagg26.8 pts · 6 reb · 6.6 ast
Score 49
→PHIBig
G V. Edgecombe11.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 96
F Z. Risacher9.5 pts · 6 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 65
=Even
F L. James16.4 pts · 7 reb · 7 ast
Score 54
F D. Gafford8.5 pts · 7 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 46
→PHIBig
F D. Wade3.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 90
MavericksBetter76ers
DAL offense16th of 30 · +0.6
→PHISmall
PHI defense10th of 30 · +3.0
DAL defense16th of 30 · -0.1
←DALSmall
PHI offense22nd of 30 · -1.7
Backcourt-6.6 · 1 player
→PHIBig
Backcourt+25.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt+16.0 · 4 players
←DALSmall
Frontcourt+14.0 · 2 players
Bench+2.7 · 5 players
←DALBig
Bench-19.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestDAL betterPHI betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
MavericksGuards
M. Christie27 minM. Sasser19 minJ. Howard12 min
Forwards
P. Washington34 minC. Flagg32 minZ. Risacher30 minD. Gafford24 minN. Marshall28 minC. Martin20 min
Centers
M. Cisse14 min
Out
S. de LarreaOutK. IrvingDay-To-Day
76ersGuards
T. Maxey38 minJ. Brown37 minV. Edgecombe33 minA. Simons25 minK. Caldwell-Pope24 minC. Love21 min
Forwards
L. James33 minD. Wade28 minJ. Edwards15 minJ. Walker10 min
Centers
A. Bona14 minT. FallNew
Out
J. EmbiidDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
DALPHIScoring
114.3Points per game108.7
1.12Points per possession1.06
102.8Pace (possessions)102.4
Shooting
56.9Effective FG%50.8
35.13-point %34.0
42.13-point attempt rate39.5
21.4Free throw rate28.7
Possessions
16.8Turnover rate12.3
27.8Offensive rebound rate19.9
27.0Assists per game25.1
Defense
111.8Points allowed104.9
1.08Points allowed per possession1.03
51.3Opponent effective FG%49.8
29.7Opponent 3-point %32.1
14.5Turnovers forced17.0
69.4Defensive rebound rate70.8
8.8Steals per game9.6
6.8Blocks per game5.0
| DAL | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 114.3 #14 | Points per game | 108.7 #23 |
| 1.12 #11 | Points per possession | 1.06 #22 |
| 102.8 #18 | Pace (possessions) | 102.4 #19 |
| Shooting | ||
| 56.9 #2 | Effective FG% | 50.8 #25 |
| 35.1 #14 | 3-point % | 34.0 #20 |
| 42.1 #18 | 3-point attempt rate | 39.5 #23 |
| 21.4 #29 | Free throw rate | 28.7 #16 |
| Possessions | ||
| 16.8 #23 | Turnover rate | 12.3 #1 |
| 27.8 #13 | Offensive rebound rate | 19.9 #30 |
| 27.0 #12 | Assists per game | 25.1 #22 |
| Defense | ||
| 111.8 #14 | Points allowed | 104.9 #2 |
| 1.08 #13 | Points allowed per possession | 1.03 #3 |
| 51.3 #9 | Opponent effective FG% | 49.8 #4 |
| 29.7 #2 | Opponent 3-point % | 32.1 #9 |
| 14.5 #24 | Turnovers forced | 17.0 #9 |
| 69.4 #25 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.8 #21 |
| 8.8 #16 | Steals per game | 9.6 #7 |
| 6.8 #2 | Blocks per game | 5.0 #14 |
Mavericks
4-2 overall · 2-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Rockets116–111
- Wvs Thunder120–96
- W@ Heat113–109
- Lvs Spurs106–122
- W@ Pacers121–105
A week or more of rest.
76ers
6-1 overall · 6-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Hornets109–104
- Wvs Knicks98–93
- W@ Pacers114–109
- Lvs Pistons93–106
- Wvs Bucks127–116
A week or more of rest.