Hilton Coliseum · at Iowa State · Conference game
Closing line
ISU -16.5✓ ISU covered by 4.5
ISU -16.5✓ ISU covered by 4.5Closing total148.5Over by 2.5
 ASU | This season | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| 16-14 | Record | 24-6 |
| 19-11 | ATS | 16-14 |
| 14-16 | O/U | 12-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ASU 68–82 ISU · ✓ ISU (90%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | 41 | 24 | 65 |
| ISU | 37 | 49 | 86 |
1st half: ASU 41, ISU 37 (ASU by 4). The model had ISU by 8.5 and a total of 70.0 (actual 78).
Team stats
| ASU | ISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-43 47% | Field goals | 29-66 44% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 11-29 38% |
| 18-22 82% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 29 4 off | Rebounds | 32 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 16 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 23 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 25 |
Players
| ASU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Odum G | 30 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Noah Meeusen G | 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Andrija Grbovic F | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Massamba Diop C | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Santiago Trouet F | 18 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Johnson G | 24 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Allen Mukeba F | 20 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Ford G | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Trevor Best G | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Marcus Adams Jr., Quentin McCoy, Kash Polk, Vijay Wallace, Dame Salane, Adante' Holiman, Jovan Icitovic
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Momcilovic F | 36 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 4-10 | 4-9 |
| Tamin Lipsey G | 35 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 5-12 | 2-4 |
| Joshua Jefferson F | 30 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 5-12 | 2-5 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 22 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Killyan Toure G | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamarion Batemon G | 22 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Nate Heise G | 20 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 14 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Dominick Nelson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Eric Mulder F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cade Kelderman G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mason Williams, Xzavion Mitchell, Anthony Rise
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketISU -16.5
ModelISU -14.5
Model edgeASU +2.0
L ISU covered
Total
Market148.5
Model149.7
Model edgeOver 1.2
W Over
Projected score
ASU 67.6 · ISU 82.1
ASU 65 · ISU 86
Win probability
ISU 90%
1st half
Spread
ISU -8.5
ASU -4.0
Total
70.0
78 points
Projected score
ASU 30.8 · ISU 39.3
ASU 41 · ISU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenISU -13.5
3 → ISU
CloseISU -16.5
3 pts toward ISU
Total
Open146.5
▲ 2
Close148.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
ASU +1100 · ISU -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ISU -13.5 · closed ISU -16.5 · moved 3 toward ISUmodel ISU -14.5
model ISU -14.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 2 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | 1-9 10% |
| ISU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ASU 0–1 ISUISU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ASU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | ISU 76 @ ASU 61 | ASU +9.5 | ISU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arizona St
30 games played
Straight up
16-14
53% wins
Against the spread
19-11
63% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-16
47% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs SUU | W 81-64 | -17.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 9 | vs UTU | W 81-66 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs GONZ | L 65-77 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs GAST | W 75-62 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | @ HAW | W 83-76 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEX | W 87-86 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs WSU | W 100-94 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 26 | vs USC | L 75-88 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs OU | W 86-70 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 9 | vs NAU | W 73-48 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs SCU | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCLA | L 77-90 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 21 | vs ORST | L 75-78 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vs COLO | L 89-95 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | @ BYU | L 76-104 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vs KSU | W 87-84 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @ ARIZ | L 82-89 | +21.5 | W +14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 18 | @ HOU | L 73-103 | +18.5 | L −11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 21 | vs WVU | L 63-75 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 24 | vs CIN | W 82-68 | +3.5 | W +17.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 27 | @ UCF | L 76-79 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 31 | vsARIZ | L 74-87 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 4 | @ UTAH | W 71-63 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 7 | @COLO | L 70-78 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 10 | vs OKST | W 85-76 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 17 | vs TTU | W 72-67 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 21 | @ BAY | L 68-73 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 24 | @ TCU | L 78-90 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | vsUTAH | W 73-60 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 3 | vs KU | W 70-60 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−0.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
+2.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
+1.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−5.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+8.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+7.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+1.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
−8.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
+21.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
+8.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+4.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
−3.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
−15.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
−7.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
−10.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 87-84
+1.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZL 82-89
+14.5
18
@HOU
HOUL 73-103
−11.5
21
vsWVU
WVUL 63-75
−13.5
24
vsCIN
CINW 82-68
+17.5
27
@UCF
UCFL 76-79
+3.5
31
vsARIZ
ARIZL 74-87
+1.5
4
@UTAH
UTAHW 71-63
+9.5
7
@COLO
COLOL 70-78
−4.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
+5.5
17
vsTTU
TTUW 72-67
+12.5
21
@BAY
BAYL 68-73
+3.5
24
@TCU
TCUL 78-90
−5.5
28
vsUTAH
UTAHW 73-60
+6.5
3
vsKU
KUW 70-60
+15.5
covered 19didn’t cover 11avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−6.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
−5.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
−16.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−8.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+15.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+19.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+36.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
+1.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
−1.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
−33.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+6.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
+24.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
+5.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
+27.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
+11.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 87-84
+1.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZL 82-89
+3.5
18
@HOU
HOUL 73-103
+33.5
21
vsWVU
WVUL 63-75
−7.5
24
vsCIN
CINW 82-68
+3.5
27
@UCF
UCFL 76-79
−6.5
31
vsARIZ
ARIZL 74-87
−2.5
4
@UTAH
UTAHW 71-63
−27.5
7
@COLO
COLOL 70-78
−10.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
−2.5
17
vsTTU
TTUW 72-67
−17.5
21
@BAY
BAYL 68-73
−16.5
24
@TCU
TCUL 78-90
+18.5
28
vsUTAH
UTAHW 73-60
−17.5
3
vsKU
KUW 70-60
−21.5
over 14under 16avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa State
30 games played
Straight up
24-6
80% wins
Against the spread
16-14
53% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-18
40% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FDU | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs GRAM | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs MSST | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs STO | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs SJU | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs CREI | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs SYR | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs ALCN | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @ PUR | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 11 | vs IOWA | W 66-62 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs EIU | W 78-53 | -43.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 21 | vs LBSU | W 91-60 | -37.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 29 | vs HCU | W 89-61 | -35.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 2 | vsWVU | W 80-59 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 7 | @BAY | W 70-60 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vsOKST | W 83-71 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | @KU | L 63-84 | -3.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | @CIN | L 70-79 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 20 | vsUCF | W 87-57 | -14.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @OKST | W 84-71 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 29 | vsCOLO | W 97-67 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 1 | @KSU | W 95-61 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 7 | vsBAY | W 72-69 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 10 | @TCU | L 55-62 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 14 | vsKU | W 74-56 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 16 | vsHOU | W 70-67 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 21 | @BYU | L 69-79 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 24 | @UTAH | W 75-59 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 28 | vsTTU | L 73-82 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 2 | @ARIZ | L 57-73 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
+8.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+20.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+21.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
+27.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−18.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
−6.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
−7.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
+4.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
+6.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−7.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−24.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
−14.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
+15.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
+2.5
29
vsCOLO
COLOW 97-67
+12.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 95-61
+21.5
7
vsBAY
BAYW 72-69
−11.5
10
@TCU
TCUL 55-62
−14.5
14
vsKU
KUW 74-56
+10.5
16
vsHOU
HOUW 70-67
+0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 69-79
−12.5
24
@UTAH
UTAHW 75-59
+1.5
28
vsTTU
TTUL 73-82
−19.5
2
@ARIZ
ARIZL 57-73
−8.5
covered 16didn’t cover 14avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
−14.5
26
vsSYR
SYRW 95-64
+13.5
3
vsALCN
ALCNW 132-68
+48.5
6
@PUR
PURW 81-58
−15.5
11
vsIOWA
IOWAW 66-62
−13.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 78-53
−13.5
21
vsLBSU
LBSUW 91-60
+1.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 89-61
+4.5
2
vsWVU
WVUW 80-59
−3.5
7
@BAY
BAYW 70-60
−25.5
10
vsOKST
OKSTW 83-71
−11.5
13
@KU
KUL 63-84
−5.5
17
@CIN
CINL 70-79
+7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFW 87-57
−12.5
24
@OKST
OKSTW 84-71
−7.5
29
vsCOLO
COLOW 97-67
+11.5
1
@KSU
KSUW 95-61
−0.5
7
vsBAY
BAYW 72-69
−10.5
10
@TCU
TCUL 55-62
−30.5
14
vsKU
KUW 74-56
−17.5
16
vsHOU
HOUW 70-67
+2.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 69-79
−6.5
24
@UTAH
UTAHW 75-59
−10.5
28
vsTTU
TTUL 73-82
+9.5
2
@ARIZ
ARIZL 57-73
−19.5
over 12under 18avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arizona St
16-14 overall · 7-10 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas70–60
- Wvs Utah73–60
- L@ TCU78–90
- L@ Baylor68–73
- Wvs Texas Tech72–67
4 days since their last game.
Iowa State
24-6 overall · 11-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arizona57–73
- Lvs Texas Tech73–82
- W@ Utah75–59
- L@ BYU69–79
- Wvs Houston70–67
5 days since their last game.