Hope Coliseum · at West Virginia · Conference game
Closing line
WVU -2.5✓ BAY covered by 12.5
WVU -2.5✓ BAY covered by 12.5Closing total139.5Under by 23.5
 BAY | This season | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-9 | Record | 14-7 |
| 7-12 | ATS | 11-10 |
| 12-7 | O/U | 7-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BAY 73–73 WVU · ✗ WVU (51%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 38 | 25 | 63 |
| WVU | 30 | 23 | 53 |
1st half: BAY 38, WVU 30 (BAY by 8). The model had BAY by 0.0 and a total of 68.0 (actual 68).
Team stats
| BAY | WVU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-55 45% | Field goals | 18-50 36% |
| 9-22 41% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 4-5 80% | Free throws | 12-18 67% |
| 33 10 off | Rebounds | 32 12 off |
| 12 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 13 | Fouls | 12 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| BAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obi Agbim G | 38 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 6-15 | 4-10 |
| Cameron Carr G | 36 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 6-11 | 2-5 |
| Tounde Yessoufou G | 33 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 5-16 | 1-5 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. G | 24 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Caden Powell C | 24 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Rataj G | 22 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Isaac Williams IV G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| James Nnaji C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mayo Soyoye, Drew Perry, Maikcol Perez, Andre Iguodala II, Juslin Bodo Bodo, Will Kuykendall, James Goodis, JJ White
| WVU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honor Huff G | 38 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1-13 | 1-9 |
| Treysen Eaglestaff G | 36 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| Jasper Floyd G | 35 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Brenen Lorient F | 32 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 7-13 | 1-2 |
| Harlan Obioha C | 19 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DJ Thomas F | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Chance Moore G | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Amir Jenkins G | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Morris Ugusuk G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Evans Barning Jr., MJ Feenane, Niyol Hauet, Abraham Oyeadier, Jayden Forsythe, Jackson Fields
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWVU -2.5
ModelWVU -0.2
Model edgeBAY +2.3
W BAY covered
Total
Market139.5
Model145.2
Model edgeOver 5.7
L Under
Projected score
BAY 72.5 · WVU 72.7
BAY 63 · WVU 53
Win probability
WVU 51%
1st half
Spread
BAY -0.0
BAY -8.0
Total
68.0
68 points
Projected score
BAY 34 · WVU 34
BAY 38 · WVU 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWVU -3.5
1 → BAY
CloseWVU -2.5
1 pt toward BAY
Total
Open141.5
▼ 2
Close139.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
BAY +130 · WVU -155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WVU -3.5 · closed WVU -2.5 · moved 1 toward BAYmodel WVU -0
model WVU -0
Opened 141.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 2 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| WVU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
BAY 6–0 WVUBAY leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · BAY has won the last 6 meetings · BAY 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | WVU 71 @ BAY 74 | BAY -9.5 | WVU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | BAY 94 @ WVU 81 | WVU +8 | BAY W |
| Feb 13, 2022-23 | WVU 67 @ BAY 79 | BAY -6.5 | BAY W |
| Jan 11, 2022-23 | BAY 83 @ WVU 78 | WVU -1.5 | BAY W |
| Jan 31, 2021-22 | WVU 77 @ BAY 81 | BAY -12 | WVU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Baylor
19 games played
Straight up
10-9
53% wins
Against the spread
7-12
37% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-7
63% overs · avg +5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RGV | W 96-81 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 9 | vs WASH | W 78-69 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs TAR | W 94-81 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs CREI | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJU | L 81-96 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDSU | W 91-81 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 2 | vs SAC | W 110-88 | -29.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 6 | @ MEM | L 71-78 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs NORF | W 97-67 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs ALCN | W 113-56 | -35.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | vs SOU | W 111-67 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 169.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | @ TCU | L 63-69 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 7 | vs ISU | L 60-70 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs HOU | L 55-77 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ OKST | W 94-79 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 16 | @ KU | L 62-80 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | vs TTU | L 73-92 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsTCU | L 90-97 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | @ CIN | L 57-67 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
−9.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
+2.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
−10.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+3.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
−9.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+7.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
−7.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−10.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+3.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+21.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+17.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−3.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−6.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−19.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+13.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−10.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
−17.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
−11.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 12avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
+22.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
−9.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
+25.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+0.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
+17.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+23.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
+39.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−9.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+15.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+8.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+8.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−22.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−25.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−10.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+7.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−14.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
+10.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
+39.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−21.5
over 12under 7avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
West Virginia
21 games played
Straight up
14-7
67% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-14
33% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs MSM | W 70-54 | -19.5 | L −3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 6 | vs CAM | W 73-65 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 9 | vs LEH | W 69-47 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 13 | vs PITT | W 71-49 | -5.5 | W +16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs LAF | W 81-59 | -24.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLEM | L 67-70 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs XAV | L 68-78 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 30 | vs MERC | W 70-38 | -21.5 | W +10.5 | 127.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 3 | vs COPP | W 91-49 | -31.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 6 | vs WAKE | L 66-75 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 9 | vs LR | W 90-58 | -27.5 | W +4.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs OSU | L 88-89 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 22 | vs MVSU | W 86-51 | -42.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @ISU | L 59-80 | +16.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 6 | vsCIN | W 62-60 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 10 | vsKU | W 86-75 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 13 | @HOU | L 48-77 | +13.5 | L −15.5 | 127.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 17 | vs COLO | W 72-61 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 21 | @ ASU | W 75-63 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 24 | @ ARIZ | L 53-88 | +17.5 | L −17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vs KSU | W 59-54 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 113 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsMSM
MSMW 70-54
−3.5
6
vsCAM
CAMW 73-65
−7.5
9
vsLEH
LEHW 69-47
+4.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 71-49
+16.5
17
vsLAF
LAFW 81-59
−2.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 67-70
+1.5
23
vsXAV
XAVL 68-78
−15.5
30
vsMERC
MERCW 70-38
+10.5
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 91-49
+10.5
6
vsWAKE
WAKEL 66-75
−11.5
9
vsLR
LRW 90-58
+4.5
13
vsOSU
OSUL 88-89
+2.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-51
−7.5
2
@ISU
ISUL 59-80
−4.5
6
vsCIN
CINW 62-60
+3.5
10
vsKU
KUW 86-75
+13.5
13
@HOU
HOUL 48-77
−15.5
17
vsCOLO
COLOW 72-61
+4.5
21
@ASU
ASUW 75-63
+13.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 53-88
−17.5
27
vsKSU
KSUW 59-54
−2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsMSM
MSMW 70-54
−12.5
6
vsCAM
CAMW 73-65
−0.5
9
vsLEH
LEHW 69-47
−23.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 71-49
−14.5
17
vsLAF
LAFW 81-59
+4.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 67-70
+4.5
23
vsXAV
XAVL 68-78
+5.5
30
vsMERC
MERCW 70-38
−19.5
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 91-49
+5.5
6
vsWAKE
WAKEL 66-75
−2.5
9
vsLR
LRW 90-58
+15.5
13
vsOSU
OSUL 88-89
+31.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-51
−0.5
2
@ISU
ISUL 59-80
−3.5
6
vsCIN
CINW 62-60
−10.5
10
vsKU
KUW 86-75
+21.5
13
@HOU
HOUL 48-77
−2.5
17
vsCOLO
COLOW 72-61
−8.5
21
@ASU
ASUW 75-63
−7.5
24
@ARIZ
ARIZL 53-88
−2.5
27
vsKSU
KSUW 59-54
−33.5
over 7under 14avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Baylor
10-9 overall · 1-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Cincinnati57–67
- Lvs TCU90–97
- Lvs Texas Tech73–92
- L@ Kansas62–80
- W@ Oklahoma St94–79
3 days since their last game.
West Virginia
14-7 overall · 5-3 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas St59–54
- L@ Arizona53–88
- W@ Arizona St75–63
- Wvs Colorado72–61
- L@ Houston48–77
4 days since their last game.