Amica Mutual Pavilion · at Providence · Conference game
Closing line
PROV -4.5✓ PROV covered by 13.5
PROV -4.5✓ PROV covered by 13.5Closing total153.5Over by 8.5
 DEP | This season | PROV |
|---|---|---|
| 12-11 | Record | 10-13 |
| 16-7 | ATS | 13-10 |
| 7-16 | O/U | 17-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DEP 77–84 PROV · ✓ PROV (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEP | 26 | 46 | 72 |
| PROV | 43 | 47 | 90 |
1st half: DEP 26, PROV 43 (PROV by 17). The model had PROV by 3.7 and a total of 75.4 (actual 69).
Team stats
| DEP | PROV | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-70 43% | Field goals | 33-56 59% |
| 5-23 22% | 3-pointers | 9-21 43% |
| 7-11 64% | Free throws | 15-25 60% |
| 28 14 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 11 | Assists | 16 |
| 12 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 21 | Fouls | 14 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| DEP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Gunn G | 29 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 4-15 | 1-6 |
| Layden Blocker G | 28 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| RJ Smith G | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| Theo Pierre-Justin F | 20 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| NJ Benson F | 16 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandon Maclin G | 28 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 8-13 | 0-3 |
| Kaleb Banks F | 19 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Kruz McClure G | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Fabian Flores C | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ilija Milijasevic G | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Khaman Maker C | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Amsal Delalic, Nate Kasher, Jeremy Lorenz, Isaiah Medina, Jonas Johnson
| PROV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamier Jones G | 28 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse F | 26 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. G | 24 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaylin Sellers G | 22 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 6-8 | 3-4 |
| Stefan Vaaks G | 21 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Mela G | 24 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-2 |
| Jason Edwards G | 24 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 8-13 | 5-8 |
| Duncan Powell F | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cole Hargrove F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nilavan Daniels G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jack Williams G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Peteris Pinnis F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaylen Harrell, Rich Barron, Daquan Davis
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPROV -4.5
ModelPROV -6.4
Model edgePROV +1.9
W PROV covered
Total
Market153.5
Model161.1
Model edgeOver 7.6
W Over
Projected score
DEP 77.3 · PROV 83.8
DEP 72 · PROV 90
Win probability
PROV 71%
1st half
Spread
PROV -3.7
PROV -17.0
Total
75.4
69 points
Projected score
DEP 35.8 · PROV 39.5
DEP 26 · PROV 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPROV -5.5
1 → DEP
ClosePROV -4.5
1 pt toward DEP
Total
Open155.5
▼ 2
Close153.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
DEP +170 · PROV -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PROV -5.5 · closed PROV -4.5 · moved 1 toward DEPmodel PROV -6.5
model PROV -6.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 downmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEP | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
| PROV | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
DEP 1–7 PROVPROV leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · DEP 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | DEP 80 @ PROV 77 | PROV -8.5 | DEP W |
| Dec 10, 2024-25 | PROV 70 @ DEP 63 | DEP -1.5 | PROV W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | DEP 70 @ PROV 81 | PROV -19.5 | DEP W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | PROV 100 @ DEP 62 | DEP +8.5 | PROV W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | DEP 64 @ PROV 75 | PROV -8.5 | PROV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
DePaul
23 games played
Straight up
12-11
52% wins
Against the spread
16-7
70% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-16
30% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CHST | W 92-62 | -24.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs STO | W 72-64 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 11 | vs BUF | L 53-66 | -18.5 | L −31.5 | 153.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | vs NU | L 79-81 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 18 | vs GWEB | W 93-62 | -21.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs DETM | W 95-75 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 28 | vs GT | W 75-61 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs LSU | L 63-96 | +5.5 | L −27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UAPB | W 76-72 | -23.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 9 | vs MORG | W 92-49 | -21.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 13 | @ WICH | W 61-58 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 16 | @ SJU | L 66-79 | +19.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 21 | vs CONN | L 54-72 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 31 | @ VILL | L 66-71 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | vs XAV | W 86-77 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | vs GTWN | W 56-50 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 10 | @CONN | L 60-72 | +19.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 16 | vs MARQ | W 80-75 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 20 | @ BTLR | L 80-87 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 24 | vs HALL | W 67-60 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 28 | @GTWN | L 61-70 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 31 | @XAV | L 66-68 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 3 | vsSJU | L 56-68 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCHST
CHSTW 92-62
+5.5
7
vsSTO
STOW 72-64
−14.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-66
−31.5
14
vsNU
NUL 79-81
+3.5
18
vsGWEB
GWEBW 93-62
+9.5
23
vsDETM
DETMW 95-75
+0.5
28
vsGT
GTW 75-61
+12.5
29
vsLSU
LSUL 63-96
−27.5
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 76-72
−19.5
9
vsMORG
MORGW 92-49
+21.5
13
@WICH
WICHW 61-58
+10.5
16
@SJU
SJUL 66-79
+6.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 54-72
−5.5
31
@VILL
VILLL 66-71
+7.5
3
vsXAV
XAVW 86-77
+6.5
6
vsGTWN
GTWNW 56-50
+3.5
10
@CONN
CONNL 60-72
+7.5
16
vsMARQ
MARQW 80-75
+2.5
20
@BTLR
BTLRL 80-87
+0.5
24
vsHALL
HALLW 67-60
+9.5
28
@GTWN
GTWNL 61-70
−5.5
31
@XAV
XAVL 66-68
+2.5
3
vsSJU
SJUL 56-68
−2.5
covered 16didn’t cover 7avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHST
CHSTW 92-62
+10.5
7
vsSTO
STOW 72-64
−11.5
11
vsBUF
BUFL 53-66
−34.5
14
vsNU
NUL 79-81
+14.5
18
vsGWEB
GWEBW 93-62
−0.5
23
vsDETM
DETMW 95-75
+18.5
28
vsGT
GTW 75-61
−11.5
29
vsLSU
LSUL 63-96
+6.5
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 76-72
−8.5
9
vsMORG
MORGW 92-49
−9.5
13
@WICH
WICHW 61-58
−26.5
16
@SJU
SJUL 66-79
−2.5
21
vsCONN
CONNL 54-72
−7.5
31
@VILL
VILLL 66-71
−2.5
3
vsXAV
XAVW 86-77
+13.5
6
vsGTWN
GTWNW 56-50
−38.5
10
@CONN
CONNL 60-72
−5.5
16
vsMARQ
MARQW 80-75
+9.5
20
@BTLR
BTLRL 80-87
+19.5
24
vsHALL
HALLW 67-60
−8.5
28
@GTWN
GTWNL 61-70
−8.5
31
@XAV
XAVL 66-68
−16.5
3
vsSJU
SJUL 56-68
−21.5
over 7under 16avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Providence
23 games played
Straight up
10-13
43% wins
Against the spread
13-10
57% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-6
74% overs · avg +13.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HC | W 89-79 | -23.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs VT | L 101-107 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 11 | vs PENN | W 106-81 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 14 | @ COLO | L 88-97 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 18 | vs UNH | W 98-66 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PSU | W 77-65 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs WIS | L 83-104 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs FLA | L 78-90 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | vs FDU | W 94-64 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs URI | W 90-71 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs BRWN | W 86-79 | -19.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | @BTLR | L 110-113 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 223 |
| Dec 19 | vsHALL | L 67-72 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | @SJU | W 77-71 | +14.5 | W +20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vsCONN | L 98-103 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 10 | @XAV | L 84-97 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 165.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 13 | vsVILL | L 82-88 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 16 | vs CREI | W 93-88 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 19 | @MARQ | L 104-105 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | O 209 |
| Jan 24 | vsGTWN | L 78-81 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 27 | @CONN | L 81-87 | +15.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 30 | @VILL | L 73-87 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 4 | vsBTLR | W 97-87 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 168.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
−13.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
−8.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+5.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
−7.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
+8.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
−14.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
+0.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
+3.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+11.5
9
vsBRWN
BRWNW 86-79
−12.5
13
@BTLR
BTLRL 110-113
+0.5
19
vsHALL
HALLL 67-72
−6.5
3
@SJU
SJUW 77-71
+20.5
7
vsCONN
CONNL 98-103
+4.5
10
@XAV
XAVL 84-97
−14.5
13
vsVILL
VILLL 82-88
−3.5
16
vsCREI
CREIW 93-88
+7.5
19
@MARQ
MARQL 104-105
+1.5
24
vsGTWN
GTWNL 78-81
−8.5
27
@CONN
CONNL 81-87
+9.5
30
@VILL
VILLL 73-87
−5.5
4
vsBTLR
BTLRW 97-87
+7.5
covered 13didn’t cover 10avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
+15.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
+50.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+14.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
+21.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
−23.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
+20.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
−1.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
−4.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+1.5
9
vsBRWN
BRWNW 86-79
+19.5
13
@BTLR
BTLRL 110-113
+58.5
19
vsHALL
HALLL 67-72
−13.5
3
@SJU
SJUW 77-71
−18.5
7
vsCONN
CONNL 98-103
+48.5
10
@XAV
XAVL 84-97
+15.5
13
vsVILL
VILLL 82-88
+13.5
16
vsCREI
CREIW 93-88
+19.5
19
@MARQ
MARQL 104-105
+41.5
24
vsGTWN
GTWNL 78-81
−0.5
27
@CONN
CONNL 81-87
+15.5
30
@VILL
VILLL 73-87
+2.5
4
vsBTLR
BTLRW 97-87
+15.5
over 17under 6avg +13.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
DePaul
12-11 overall · 4-8 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs St John's56–68
- L@ Xavier66–68
- L@ Georgetown61–70
- Wvs Seton Hall67–60
- L@ Butler80–87
4 days since their last game.
Providence
10-13 overall · 3-9 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Butler97–87
- L@ Villanova73–87
- L@ UConn81–87
- Lvs Georgetown78–81
- L@ Marquette104–105
3 days since their last game.