Draddy Gymnasium · at Manhattan · Conference game
Closing line
MRST -5.5✓ MRST covered by 8.5
MRST -5.5✓ MRST covered by 8.5Closing total142.5Over by 11.5
| MRST | This season | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| 15-10 | Record | 11-16 |
| 12-13 | ATS | 11-16 |
| 9-16 | O/U | 12-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRST 75–69 MAN · ✓ MRST (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRST | 42 | 42 | 84 |
| MAN | 35 | 35 | 70 |
1st half: MRST 42, MAN 35 (MRST by 7). The model had MRST by 3.8 and a total of 67.6 (actual 77).
Team stats
| MRST | MAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-58 55% | Field goals | 24-53 45% |
| 7-17 41% | 3-pointers | 5-21 24% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 30 10 off | Rebounds | 27 11 off |
| 19 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| MRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Collins-Roberts G | 36 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Rhyjon Blackwell G | 36 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 8-13 | 2-3 |
| Justin Menard G | 35 | 30 | 2 | 3 | 10-14 | 3-5 |
| Jaden Daughtry F | 30 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1-8 | 1-3 |
| Jason Schofield C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Parby Kabamba F | 30 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Myles Parker F | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Martin Kawa G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Gabriel C | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ricky McKenzie, Elijah Lewis, Antoni Vlogianitis, Trace Salton, Tarik Watson
| MAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Jones G | 37 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 10-18 | 3-7 |
| Jaden Winston G | 36 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Devin Dinkins G | 29 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Fraser Roxburgh F | 25 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Marko Ljubicic F | 23 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Isaac Jr. F | 22 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Quron Elliott G | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jackson Delaney G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Will Sydnor, Louis Fairtlough, Michael Lawlor, Aryan Arora, Erik Oliver-Bush, Jaeden Robley, Brett Rumpel, Jameson Borodawka, Omari Moore, Nick Lukmann, Asier Miguel
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRST -5.5
ModelMRST -6.2
Model edgeMRST +0.7
W MRST covered
Total
Market142.5
Model144.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
W Over
Projected score
MRST 75.3 · MAN 69.1
MRST 84 · MAN 70
Win probability
MRST 71%
1st half
Spread
MRST -3.8
MRST -7.0
Total
67.6
77 points
Projected score
MRST 35.7 · MAN 31.9
MRST 42 · MAN 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRST -4.5
1 → MRST
CloseMRST -5.5
1 pt toward MRST
Total
Open140.5
▲ 2
Close142.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MRST -218 · MAN +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRST -4.5 · closed MRST -5.5 · moved 1 toward MRSTmodel MRST -6
model MRST -6
Opened 140.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 upmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRST | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| MAN | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
MRST 7–2 MANMRST leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MRST has won the last 6 meetings · MRST 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025-26 | MAN 68 @ MRST 80 | MRST -7.5 | MRST W |
| Dec 8, 2024-25 | MRST 82 @ MAN 75 | MAN +1.5 | MRST W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | MRST 57 @ MAN 50 | MAN +7.5 | MAN W |
| Dec 3, 2023-24 | MAN 56 @ MRST 70 | MRST -7.5 | MRST W |
| Mar 7, 2022-23 | MRST 61 vs MAN 50 | MAN -3.5 | MRST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marist
25 games played
Straight up
15-10
60% wins
Against the spread
12-13
48% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-16
36% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ XAV | L 62-66 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 9 | @ DART | W 75-56 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 16 | vs HARV | L 54-56 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARMY | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs LEH | W 78-55 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 132.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 5 | vs MSM | W 64-56 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 7 | vsMAN | W 80-68 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @ BRY | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 16 | @ GT | L 76-87 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs STBK | W 70-51 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | @ QUIN | L 58-64 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 2 | @ SPU | L 59-69 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 133.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 4 | vs IONA | W 83-38 | -4.5 | W +40.5 | 148.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 9 | @ SHU | W 76-72 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 11 | @ RID | W 71-49 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 131.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | vs FAIR | W 82-67 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 19 | vs MRMK | L 55-68 | -6.5 | L −19.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 22 | @ SIE | L 50-69 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 133.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 24 | vsQUIN | W 71-64 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 30 | @ CAN | W 88-86 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 129.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 1 | @ NIA | W 58-46 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 5 | vsRID | W 81-52 | -14.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 7 | @FAIR | L 60-63 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 12 | @MRMK | L 56-81 | +2.5 | L −22.5 | 128.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 15 | vsSIE | L 63-67 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
+8.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
+20.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−8.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
−1.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+15.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−0.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+4.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+6.5
16
@GT
GTL 76-87
−4.5
21
vsSTBK
STBKW 70-51
+12.5
29
@QUIN
QUINL 58-64
−3.5
2
@SPU
SPUL 59-69
−12.5
4
vsIONA
IONAW 83-38
+40.5
9
@SHU
SHUW 76-72
−1.5
11
@RID
RIDW 71-49
+11.5
17
vsFAIR
FAIRW 82-67
+6.5
19
vsMRMK
MRMKL 55-68
−19.5
22
@SIE
SIEL 50-69
−17.5
24
vsQUIN
QUINW 71-64
+3.5
30
@CAN
CANW 88-86
−7.5
1
@NIA
NIAW 58-46
+2.5
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-52
+14.5
7
@FAIR
FAIRL 60-63
−4.5
12
@MRMK
MRMKL 56-81
−22.5
15
vsSIE
SIEL 63-67
−6.5
covered 12didn’t cover 13avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@XAV
XAVL 62-66
−11.5
9
@DART
DARTW 75-56
−7.5
16
vsHARV
HARVL 54-56
−20.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYW 76-65
+8.5
25
vsLEH
LEHW 78-55
+0.5
5
vsMSM
MSMW 64-56
−16.5
7
vsMAN
MANW 80-68
+7.5
13
@BRY
BRYW 82-74
+24.5
16
@GT
GTL 76-87
+21.5
21
vsSTBK
STBKW 70-51
−16.5
29
@QUIN
QUINL 58-64
−23.5
2
@SPU
SPUL 59-69
−5.5
4
vsIONA
IONAW 83-38
−27.5
9
@SHU
SHUW 76-72
+4.5
11
@RID
RIDW 71-49
−11.5
17
vsFAIR
FAIRW 82-67
+7.5
19
vsMRMK
MRMKL 55-68
−10.5
22
@SIE
SIEL 50-69
−14.5
24
vsQUIN
QUINW 71-64
−4.5
30
@CAN
CANW 88-86
+44.5
1
@NIA
NIAW 58-46
−24.5
5
vsRID
RIDW 81-52
−2.5
7
@FAIR
FAIRL 60-63
−15.5
12
@MRMK
MRMKL 56-81
+8.5
15
vsSIE
SIEL 63-67
−3.5
over 9under 16avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Manhattan
27 games played
Straight up
11-16
41% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-15
44% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ USC | L 83-114 | +28.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTU | W 79-75 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 14 | @ HAW | L 56-86 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs MVSU | W 80-73 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 21 | @ TA&M | L 68-109 | +23.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs WAG | L 101-103 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 29 | @ARMY | L 78-81 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vsFAIR | W 70-66 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @MRST | L 68-80 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @ FOR | L 53-82 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | vs FUR | L 68-75 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs PRES | W 87-81 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 29 | @RID | W 74-71 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 2 | vsQUIN | W 80-79 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 4 | @MRMK | L 66-73 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 9 | vsCAN | L 64-70 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | vsNIA | W 79-70 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 14 | @FAIR | L 62-98 | +6.5 | L −29.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | vsSIE | L 59-74 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 19 | @QUIN | L 92-98 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 24 | @IONA | L 57-66 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 30 | vsRID | W 95-90 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Feb 1 | @MSM | L 65-72 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | vsSPU | L 75-80 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 7 | vsSHU | W 80-68 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 161.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 13 | @NIA | W 76-69 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 15 | @CAN | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
−2.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
+6.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−13.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
−17.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
−4.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
−4.5
5
vsFAIR
FAIRW 70-66
+5.5
7
@MRST
MRSTL 68-80
−4.5
13
@FOR
FORL 53-82
−20.5
18
vsFUR
FURL 68-75
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 87-81
+8.5
29
@RID
RIDW 74-71
+0.5
2
vsQUIN
QUINW 80-79
+8.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-73
−0.5
9
vsCAN
CANL 64-70
−13.5
11
vsNIA
NIAW 79-70
+3.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 62-98
−29.5
17
vsSIE
SIEL 59-74
−8.5
19
@QUIN
QUINL 92-98
+7.5
24
@IONA
IONAL 57-66
−1.5
30
vsRID
RIDW 95-90
−0.5
1
@MSM
MSML 65-72
−0.5
5
vsSPU
SPUL 75-80
−0.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 80-68
+13.5
13
@NIA
NIAW 76-69
+4.5
15
@CAN
CANW 69-65
+2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
+41.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
−4.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−1.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
+14.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
+59.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
+6.5
5
vsFAIR
FAIRW 70-66
−19.5
7
@MRST
MRSTL 68-80
+7.5
13
@FOR
FORL 53-82
−12.5
18
vsFUR
FURL 68-75
−11.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 87-81
+29.5
29
@RID
RIDW 74-71
−2.5
2
vsQUIN
QUINW 80-79
−0.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-73
−9.5
9
vsCAN
CANL 64-70
−11.5
11
vsNIA
NIAW 79-70
+8.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 62-98
+1.5
17
vsSIE
SIEL 59-74
−11.5
19
@QUIN
QUINL 92-98
+36.5
24
@IONA
IONAL 57-66
−30.5
30
vsRID
RIDW 95-90
+39.5
1
@MSM
MSML 65-72
−10.5
5
vsSPU
SPUL 75-80
+10.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 80-68
−13.5
13
@NIA
NIAW 76-69
+8.5
15
@CAN
CANW 69-65
−8.5
over 12under 15avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marist
15-10 overall · 10-7 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Siena63–67
- L@ Merrimack56–81
- L@ Fairfield60–63
- Wvs Rider81–52
- W@ Niagara58–46
5 days since their last game.
Manhattan
11-16 overall · 8-9 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Canisius69–65
- W@ Niagara76–69
- Wvs Sacred Heart80–68
- Lvs Saint Peter's75–80
- L@ Mount St Marys65–72
5 days since their last game.