American Airlines Center · at Mavericks
LineNo line yet
Total—
 BKN | This season | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| 1-5 | Record | 4-2 |
| 3-3 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 3-3 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects DAL 119–107 · win probability DAL 81%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 226.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 224-242 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: DAL has more of the edges
BKN 2, DAL 5 · 2026-27 so far
DALBigShooting
Effective FG%: BKN 50.7 and allows 55.3; DAL 56.9 and allows 51.3
Context
Schedule so far
BKN has played the 19th-hardest schedule, DAL the 2nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
DALBigBKN offense vs DAL defense
Offense 29th of 30 against a defense 16th, on the model’s ratings
DALBigThree-pointers
BKN hits 35.1% and allows 35.8%; DAL hits 35.1% and allows 29.7%. Threes are 48.0% and 42.1% of their shots
BKNSmallRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BKN 25.4%, DAL 27.8%. Defensive: BKN 77.8%, DAL 69.4%
DALSmallDAL offense vs BKN defense
Offense 16th of 30 against a defense 22nd, on the model’s ratings
DALSmallHome court
DAL at home. This season: DAL 2-1 at home, BKN 1-2 away
BKNSmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: BKN 18.2%, DAL 16.8%. Forced: BKN 15.9%, DAL 14.5%
Context
Tempo
About 104 possessions: BKN plays 105.1 a game (10th fastest), DAL 102.8 (18th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Recent form
Last 5: BKN 3-2 ATS, margin -8.0; DAL 4-1 ATS, margin +6.6
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: BKN 32.9, DAL 21.4. Allowed: BKN 33.5, DAL 27.2
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BKN 100%, DAL 100%. Transfers in: BKN 0, DAL 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelDAL -12.4
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model226.3
Model edge—
Projected score
BKN 107 · DAL 119.4
Win probability
DAL 81%
1st half
Spread
DAL -6.8
Total
113.4
Projected score
BKN 53.3 · DAL 60.1
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BKNlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
| DALlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
BKN 2–9 DALDAL leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · DAL has won the last 3 meetings · BKN 5-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2025-26 | DAL 123 @ BKN 114 | BKN +1.5 | DAL W |
| Jan 12, 2025-26 | BKN 105 @ DAL 113 | DAL -3.5 | DAL W |
| Dec 12, 2025-26 | BKN 111 @ DAL 119 | DAL -7.5 | DAL W |
| Mar 31, 2024-25 | BKN 113 @ DAL 109 | DAL -9.5 | BKN W |
| Mar 24, 2024-25 | DAL 120 @ BKN 101 | BKN +2.5 | DAL W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nets
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
CHA
CHAL 103-110
−5.5
24
@
CLE
CLEL 121-125
+7.5
25
vs
IND
INDL 109-136
−21.5
27
@
BOS
BOSL 124-125
+12.5
30
vs
DET
DETL 94-110
−7.5
1
@IND
INDW 98-90
+11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsCHA
CHAL 103-110
−7.5
24
@CLE
CLEL 121-125
+17.5
25
vsIND
INDL 109-136
+13.5
27
@BOS
BOSL 124-125
+25.5
30
vsDET
DETL 94-110
−18.5
1
@IND
INDW 98-90
−42.5
over 3under 3avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mavericks
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +10.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
HOU
HOUL 110-128
−8.5
23
@IND
INDW 121-105
+23.5
24
vs
SA
SAL 106-122
−1.5
26
@
MIA
MIAW 113-109
+11.5
28
vs
OKC
OKCW 120-96
+28.5
30
vsHOU
HOUW 116-111
+10.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +10.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@HOU
HOUL 110-128
+7.5
23
@IND
INDW 121-105
−15.5
24
vsSA
SAL 106-122
−1.5
26
@MIA
MIAW 113-109
−18.5
28
vsOKC
OKCW 120-96
−11.5
30
vsHOU
HOUW 116-111
+3.5
over 2under 4avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mavericks has the better starters
Position by position: Nets 1, Mavericks 2, even 2
NetsBetterMavericks
G K. Ellis5 pts · 2 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 21
=Even
G M. Christie8.3 pts · 3.8 reb · 2 ast
Score 9
G N. Traore10.5 pts · 1.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 1
→DALBig
F P. Washington13.8 pts · 8.2 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 78
F J. Randle20.8 pts · 7.2 reb · 5.3 ast
Score 39
=Even
F C. Flagg26.8 pts · 6 reb · 6.6 ast
Score 49
F M. Porter21.2 pts · 7.3 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 91
←BKNSmall
F Z. Risacher9.5 pts · 6 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 65
C D. Sharpe8 pts · 7.7 reb · 1.7 ast
Score 6
→DALBig
F D. Gafford8.5 pts · 7 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 46
NetsBetterMavericks
BKN offense29th of 30 · -5.5
→DALBig
DAL defense16th of 30 · -0.1
BKN defense22nd of 30 · -1.7
→DALSmall
DAL offense16th of 30 · +0.6
Backcourt-12.0 · 2 players
→DALBig
Backcourt-6.6 · 1 player
Frontcourt+7.8 · 3 players
→DALBig
Frontcourt+16.0 · 4 players
Bench-10.8 · 5 players
→DALBig
Bench+2.7 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestBKN betterDAL betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
NetsGuards
K. Ellis24 minN. Traore21 minT. Mann24 minM. Brown23 minD. Powell21 minB. Saraf21 min
Forwards
J. Randle34 minM. Porter32 minC. Johnson22 minN. Clowney22 minD. Wolf21 minJ. Minott11 min
Centers
D. Sharpe23 minM. Wagner19 min
Out
E. DeminOut
MavericksGuards
M. Christie27 minM. Sasser19 minJ. Howard12 min
Forwards
P. Washington34 minC. Flagg32 minZ. Risacher30 minD. Gafford24 minN. Marshall28 minC. Martin20 min
Centers
M. Cisse14 min
Out
S. de LarreaOutK. IrvingDay-To-Day
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
BKNDALScoring
108.2Points per game114.3
1.03Points per possession1.12
105.1Pace (possessions)102.8
Shooting
50.7Effective FG%56.9
35.13-point %35.1
48.03-point attempt rate42.1
32.9Free throw rate21.4
Possessions
18.2Turnover rate16.8
25.4Offensive rebound rate27.8
22.8Assists per game27.0
Defense
116.0Points allowed111.8
1.11Points allowed per possession1.08
55.3Opponent effective FG%51.3
35.8Opponent 3-point %29.7
15.9Turnovers forced14.5
77.8Defensive rebound rate69.4
9.0Steals per game8.8
4.7Blocks per game6.8
| BKN | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 108.2 #25 | Points per game | 114.3 #14 |
| 1.03 #29 | Points per possession | 1.12 #11 |
| 105.1 #10 | Pace (possessions) | 102.8 #18 |
| Shooting | ||
| 50.7 #26 | Effective FG% | 56.9 #2 |
| 35.1 #15 | 3-point % | 35.1 #14 |
| 48.0 #3 | 3-point attempt rate | 42.1 #18 |
| 32.9 #6 | Free throw rate | 21.4 #29 |
| Possessions | ||
| 18.2 #27 | Turnover rate | 16.8 #23 |
| 25.4 #23 | Offensive rebound rate | 27.8 #13 |
| 22.8 #28 | Assists per game | 27.0 #12 |
| Defense | ||
| 116.0 #21 | Points allowed | 111.8 #14 |
| 1.11 #18 | Points allowed per possession | 1.08 #13 |
| 55.3 #23 | Opponent effective FG% | 51.3 #9 |
| 35.8 #19 | Opponent 3-point % | 29.7 #2 |
| 15.9 #12 | Turnovers forced | 14.5 #24 |
| 77.8 #2 | Defensive rebound rate | 69.4 #25 |
| 9.0 #14 | Steals per game | 8.8 #16 |
| 4.7 #17 | Blocks per game | 6.8 #2 |
Nets
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Pacers98–90
- Lvs Pistons94–110
- L@ Celtics124–125
- Lvs Pacers109–136
- L@ Cavaliers121–125
A week or more of rest.
Mavericks
4-2 overall · 2-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Rockets116–111
- Wvs Thunder120–96
- W@ Heat113–109
- Lvs Spurs106–122
- W@ Pacers121–105
A week or more of rest.