TD Garden · at Celtics · Conference game
Closing line
BOS -13.5✓ BKN covered by 12.5
BOS -13.5✓ BKN covered by 12.5Closing total223.5Over by 25.5
 BKN | This season | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 2-1 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BKN 101–119 BOS · ✓ BOS (90%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKN | 31 | 30 | 21 | 35 | 7 | 124 |
| BOS | 26 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 8 | 125 |
1st half: BKN 61, BOS 56 (BKN by 5). The model had BOS by 10.0 and a total of 110.7 (actual 117).
Team stats
| BKN | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 45-97 46% | Field goals | 42-93 45% |
| 17-50 34% | 3-pointers | 11-41 27% |
| 17-22 77% | Free throws | 30-38 79% |
| 48 12 off | Rebounds | 47 11 off |
| 26 | Assists | 32 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 7 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 30 | Fouls | 24 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| BKN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle F | 44 | 24 | 9 | 4 | +8 |
| Michael Porter Jr. F | 40 | 27 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| Nolan Traore G | 24 | 15 | 1 | 3 | -3 |
| Day'Ron Sharpe C | 17 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +3 |
| Egor Demin G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +2 |
| Bench | |||||
| Chaney Johnson F | 29 | 15 | 3 | 2 | +3 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. G | 28 | 17 | 5 | 5 | -1 |
| Keon Ellis G | 25 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +4 |
| Noah Clowney F | 24 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -17 |
| Moritz Wagner C | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | -4 |
Did not play: Josh Minott, Danny Wolf (COACH'S DECISION), Terance Mann (COACH'S DECISION)
| BOS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum F | 42 | 40 | 5 | 8 | +5 |
| Paul George F | 36 | 20 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| Derrick White G | 33 | 16 | 5 | 7 | -4 |
| Mitchell Robinson C | 25 | 7 | 5 | 0 | -17 |
| Jordan Walsh G | 24 | 15 | 6 | 1 | -6 |
| Bench | |||||
| Sam Hauser F | 25 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +9 |
| Payton Pritchard G | 24 | 4 | 2 | 6 | +2 |
| Baylor Scheierman G | 21 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +7 |
| Neemias Queta C | 15 | 7 | 3 | 2 | -2 |
| Luka Garza C | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +18 |
| Hugo Gonzalez G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 |
Did not play: Chris Cenac Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Mike Conley (COACH'S DECISION), Ron Harper Jr. (COACH'S DECISION)
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBOS -13.5
ModelBOS -18.0
Model edgeBOS +4.5
L BKN covered
Total
Market223.5
Model220.5
Model edgeUnder 3.0
L Over
Projected score
BKN 101.3 · BOS 119.2
BKN 124 · BOS 125
Win probability
BOS 90%
1st half
Spread
BOS -10.0
BKN -5.0
Total
110.7
117 points
Projected score
BKN 50.3 · BOS 60.4
BKN 61 · BOS 56
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBOS -11.5
2 → BOS
CloseBOS -13.5
2 pts toward BOS
Total
Open222.5
▲ 1
Close223.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
BKN +525 · BOS -750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BOS -11.5 · closed BOS -13.5 · moved 2 toward BOSmodel BOS -18
model BOS -18
Opened 222.5 · closed 223.5 · moved 1 upmodel 220.5
model 220.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BKNlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
| BOSlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 24 since 2021-22
BKN 3–21 BOSBOS leads · 24 games since 2021-22 · BOS has won the last 2 meetings · BKN 8-15-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025-26 | BKN 111 @ BOS 148 | BOS -16.5 | BOS W |
| Jan 23, 2025-26 | BOS 130 @ BKN 126 | BKN +8.5 | BKN W |
| Nov 21, 2025-26 | BKN 113 @ BOS 105 | BOS -13.5 | BKN W |
| Nov 18, 2025-26 | BOS 113 @ BKN 99 | BKN +11.5 | BOS W |
| Mar 18, 2024-25 | BKN 96 @ BOS 104 | BOS -13.5 | BKN W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nets
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +7.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
CHA
CHAL 103-110
−5.5
24
@
CLE
CLEL 121-125
+7.5
25
vs
IND
INDL 109-136
−21.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsCHA
CHAL 103-110
−7.5
24
@CLE
CLEL 121-125
+17.5
25
vsIND
INDL 109-136
+13.5
over 2under 1avg +7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Celtics
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg +0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@
DET
DETL 113-121
−9.5
23
vs
NY
NYW 107-103
+1.5
26
vs
CHI
CHIW 134-99
+20.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@DET
DETL 113-121
+13.5
23
vsNY
NYW 107-103
−10.5
26
vsCHI
CHIW 134-99
−0.5
over 1under 2avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Nets
0-3 overall · 0-3 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Pacers109–136
- L@ Cavaliers121–125
- Lvs Hornets103–110
2 days since their last game.
Celtics
2-1 overall · 2-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Bulls134–99
- Wvs Knicks107–103
- L@ Pistons113–121
1 day since their last game.