Gainbridge Fieldhouse · at Pacers · Conference game
Closing line
IND -3.5✓ BKN covered by 11.5
Closing total230.5Under by 42.5
| This season | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-5 | Record | 2-4 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BKN 112–118 IND · ✗ IND (69%) lost
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKN | 20 | 23 | 28 | 27 | 98 |
| IND | 19 | 21 | 22 | 28 | 90 |
1st half: BKN 43, IND 40 (BKN by 3). The model had IND by 3.7 and a total of 115.1 (actual 83).
Team stats
| BKN | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-73 41% | Field goals | 28-70 40% |
| 13-39 33% | 3-pointers | 13-35 37% |
| 25-31 81% | Free throws | 21-30 70% |
| 43 7 off | Rebounds | 37 9 off |
| 21 | Assists | 21 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 26 | Fouls | 25 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| BKN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle F | 37 | 20 | 5 | 6 | +17 |
| Michael Porter Jr. F | 36 | 23 | 9 | 3 | +4 |
| Chaney Johnson F | 31 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +10 |
| Nolan Traore G | 30 | 16 | 2 | 6 | +8 |
| Day'Ron Sharpe C | 26 | 15 | 13 | 4 | +13 |
| Bench | |||||
| Noah Clowney F | 24 | 8 | 3 | 0 | -7 |
| Moritz Wagner C | 21 | 14 | 6 | 0 | -4 |
| Keon Ellis G | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 |
| Terance Mann G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
Did not play: Josh Minott (COACH'S DECISION), Danny Wolf (COACH'S DECISION), Drake Powell (COACH'S DECISION)
| IND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam F | 36 | 17 | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Andrew Nembhard G | 35 | 23 | 3 | 4 | -1 |
| Aaron Nesmith G | 30 | 11 | 3 | 4 | -15 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. G | 20 | 11 | 2 | 1 | -2 |
| Jay Huff C | 17 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 |
| Bench | |||||
| Larry Nance Jr. F | 26 | 4 | 6 | 1 | -5 |
| Quenton Jackson G | 24 | 12 | 3 | 2 | -1 |
| Jarace Walker F | 20 | 6 | 6 | 3 | -2 |
| Jalen Slawson F | 18 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -10 |
| Kobe Brown G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -3 |
| Braden Smith G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Did not play: Ivica Zubac (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIND -3.5
ModelIND -6.8
Model edgeIND +3.3
L BKN covered
Total
Market230.5
Model229.9
Model edgeUnder 0.6
W Under
Projected score
BKN 111.5 · IND 118.4
BKN 98 · IND 90
Win probability
IND 69%
1st half
Spread
IND -3.7
BKN -3.0
Total
115.1
83 points
Projected score
BKN 55.7 · IND 59.4
BKN 43 · IND 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIND -4.5
1 → BKN
CloseIND -3.5
1 pt toward BKN
Total
Open231.5
▼ 1
Close230.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
BKN +130 · IND -155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IND -4.5 · closed IND -3.5 · moved 1 toward BKNmodel IND -7
model IND -7
Opened 231.5 · closed 230.5 · moved 1 downmodel 230
model 230
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-5 0% | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% | |
| 2-4 33% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 18 since 2021-22
BKN 8–10 INDIND leads · 18 games since 2021-22 · IND has won the last 3 meetings · BKN 6-12 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026-27 | IND 136 @ BKN 109 | BKN +5.5 | IND W |
| Apr 9, 2025-26 | IND 123 @ BKN 94 | BKN +3.5 | IND W |
| Feb 11, 2025-26 | IND 115 @ BKN 110 | BKN -6.5 | IND W |
| Nov 5, 2025-26 | BKN 112 @ IND 103 | IND -6.5 | BKN W |
| Mar 22, 2024-25 | BKN 103 @ IND 108 | IND -13.5 | BKN W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Nets
5 games played
Straight up
0-5
0% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
CHA
L 103-110
−5.5
24
@
CLE
L 121-125
+7.5
25
vs
IND
L 109-136
−21.5
27
@
BOS
L 124-125
+12.5
30
vs
DET
L 94-110
−7.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vs
CHA
L 103-110
−7.5
24
@
CLE
L 121-125
+17.5
25
vs
IND
L 109-136
+13.5
27
@
BOS
L 124-125
+25.5
30
vs
DET
L 94-110
−18.5
over 3under 2avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pacers
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
NO
W 123-120
+0.5
23
vs
DAL
L 105-121
−23.5
25
@
BKN
W 136-109
+21.5
26
@
MIL
L 102-110
−11.5
28
vs
PHI
L 109-114
+2.5
30
@
MIA
L 125-145
−11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@
NO
W 123-120
+4.5
23
vs
DAL
L 105-121
−15.5
25
@
BKN
W 136-109
+13.5
26
@
MIL
L 102-110
−27.5
28
vs
PHI
L 109-114
−11.5
30
@
MIA
L 125-145
+33.5
over 3under 3avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Nets
0-5 overall · 0-5 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Pistons94–110
- L@ Celtics124–125
- Lvs Pacers109–136
- L@ Cavaliers121–125
- Lvs Hornets103–110
2 days since their last game.
Pacers
2-4 overall · 1-3 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Heat125–145
- Lvs 76ers109–114
- L@ Bucks102–110
- W@ Nets136–109
- Lvs Mavericks105–121
2 days since their last game.