Kia Center · at Magic · Conference game
Closing line
BOS -6.5✓ BOS covered by 4.5
BOS -6.5✓ BOS covered by 4.5Closing total221.5Under by 16.5
| BOS | This season | ORL |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 2-3 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 2-3 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BOS 115–109 ORL · ✓ BOS (66%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 24 | 31 | 22 | 31 | 108 |
| ORL | 23 | 27 | 24 | 23 | 97 |
1st half: BOS 55, ORL 50 (BOS by 5). The model had BOS by 3.4 and a total of 112.4 (actual 105).
Team stats
| BOS | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-84 44% | Field goals | 34-81 42% |
| 12-44 27% | 3-pointers | 14-39 36% |
| 22-26 85% | Free throws | 15-19 79% |
| 41 14 off | Rebounds | 43 13 off |
| 29 | Assists | 24 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 7 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 22 | Fouls | 22 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| BOS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum F | 34 | 32 | 4 | 7 | +7 |
| Derrick White G | 34 | 12 | 2 | 2 | +18 |
| Paul George F | 33 | 17 | 6 | 8 | +10 |
| Neemias Queta C | 27 | 8 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| Hugo Gonzalez G | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Bench | |||||
| Payton Pritchard G | 27 | 7 | 7 | 3 | +3 |
| Luka Garza C | 21 | 12 | 6 | 4 | +11 |
| Baylor Scheierman G | 20 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +10 |
| Sam Hauser F | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +2 |
| Jordan Walsh G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 |
Did not play: Chris Cenac Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Ron Harper Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Amari Williams (COACH'S DECISION), Mike Conley (COACH'S DECISION)
| ORL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane G | 40 | 19 | 2 | 1 | -10 |
| Franz Wagner F | 40 | 14 | 6 | 12 | -7 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. C | 35 | 7 | 10 | 0 | -7 |
| Anthony Black G | 33 | 23 | 8 | 3 | -11 |
| Jase Richardson G | 26 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -8 |
| Bench | |||||
| Tristan da Silva F | 35 | 23 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| Jamal Cain F | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | -7 |
| Nikola Vucevic C | 7 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -5 |
| Goga Bitadze C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 |
Did not play: Alex Morales (COACH'S DECISION), Colin Castleton (COACH'S DECISION), Jevon Carter (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBOS -6.5
ModelBOS -5.7
Model edgeORL +0.8
L BOS covered
Total
Market221.5
Model224.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
L Under
Projected score
BOS 114.9 · ORL 109.2
BOS 108 · ORL 97
Win probability
BOS 66%
1st half
Spread
BOS -3.4
BOS -5.0
Total
112.4
105 points
Projected score
BOS 57.9 · ORL 54.5
BOS 55 · ORL 50
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBOS -6.5
no move
CloseBOS -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open222.5
▼ 1
Close221.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
BOS -285 · ORL +230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BOS -6.5 · unchangedmodel BOS -5.5
model BOS -5.5
Opened 222.5 · closed 221.5 · moved 1 downmodel 224
model 224
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BOSlast 5 | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% |
| ORLlast 5 | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 22 since 2021-22
BOS 14–8 ORLBOS leads · 22 games since 2021-22 · BOS has won the last 3 meetings · BOS 11-11 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025-26 | ORL 108 @ BOS 113 | BOS +12.5 | BOS W |
| Nov 23, 2025-26 | ORL 129 @ BOS 138 | BOS -4.5 | BOS W |
| Nov 9, 2025-26 | BOS 111 @ ORL 107 | ORL -3.5 | BOS W |
| Nov 7, 2025-26 | BOS 110 @ ORL 123 | ORL -3.5 | ORL W |
| Apr 29, 2024-25 | ORL 89 @ BOS 120 | BOS -11.5 | BOS W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Celtics
5 games played
Straight up
4-1
80% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@
DET
DETL 113-121
−9.5
23
vs
NY
NYW 107-103
+1.5
26
vs
CHI
CHIW 134-99
+20.5
27
vs
BKN
BKNW 125-124
−12.5
30
vsCHI
CHIW 125-111
−0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@DET
DETL 113-121
+13.5
23
vsNY
NYW 107-103
−10.5
26
vsCHI
CHIW 134-99
−0.5
27
vsBKN
BKNW 125-124
+25.5
30
vsCHI
CHIW 125-111
−0.5
over 2under 3avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Magic
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
ATL
ATLL 125-132
−9.5
23
vs
MIN
MINL 93-115
−23.5
25
@NY
NYW 111-102
+15.5
28
@
TOR
TORL 99-129
−24.5
30
@TOR
TORW 121-114
+12.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsATL
ATLL 125-132
+23.5
23
vsMIN
MINL 93-115
−26.5
25
@NY
NYW 111-102
−11.5
28
@TOR
TORL 99-129
+3.5
30
@TOR
TORW 121-114
+8.5
over 3under 2avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Celtics
4-1 overall · 4-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Bulls125–111
- Wvs Nets125–124
- Wvs Bulls134–99
- Wvs Knicks107–103
- L@ Pistons113–121
2 days since their last game.
Magic
2-3 overall · 2-2 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Raptors121–114
- L@ Raptors99–129
- W@ Knicks111–102
- Lvs Timberwolves93–115
- Lvs Hawks125–132
2 days since their last game.