Chase Center · at Warriors · Conference game
Closing line
GS -1.5✓ GS covered by 10.5
GS -1.5✓ GS covered by 10.5Closing total220.5Over by 15.5
 LAC | This season | GS |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 3-3 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LAC 113–114 GS · ✓ GS (55%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 37 | 20 | 28 | 27 | 112 |
| GS | 29 | 34 | 29 | 32 | 124 |
1st half: LAC 57, GS 63 (GS by 6). The model had GS by 0.8 and a total of 113.8 (actual 120).
Team stats
| LAC | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-91 44% | Field goals | 46-86 53% |
| 14-39 36% | 3-pointers | 22-49 45% |
| 18-19 95% | Free throws | 10-14 71% |
| 42 14 off | Rebounds | 44 11 off |
| 22 | Assists | 32 |
| 11 | Steals | 5 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| LAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland G | 33 | 15 | 0 | 7 | -17 |
| Rui Hachimura F | 30 | 24 | 7 | 0 | -28 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. F | 28 | 9 | 7 | 1 | -8 |
| Kris Dunn G | 27 | 12 | 2 | 4 | -8 |
| Isaiah Jackson F | 22 | 5 | 8 | 2 | -20 |
| Bench | |||||
| Kobe Sanders G | 30 | 16 | 3 | 0 | -18 |
| Keaton Wagler G | 19 | 7 | 4 | 4 | -6 |
| Brook Lopez C | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +1 |
| Cam Christie G | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +10 |
| Jalen Pickett G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +10 |
| Baba Miller F | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +10 |
| Nick Martinelli F | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | +10 |
| Blake Wesley G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +7 |
| Gradey Dick G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 |
| GS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski G | 37 | 17 | 8 | 8 | +11 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 34 | 37 | 4 | 6 | +6 |
| De'Anthony Melton G | 28 | 21 | 6 | 3 | +20 |
| Georges Niang F | 21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Charles Bassey C | 20 | 6 | 10 | 2 | +5 |
| Bench | |||||
| Brandon Williams G | 25 | 17 | 3 | 3 | +15 |
| Al Horford C | 22 | 9 | 5 | 2 | +4 |
| Will Richard G | 22 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4 |
| Gary Payton II G | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +3 |
| Gui Santos F | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +8 |
| Graham Ike F | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 |
| LJ Cryer G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11 |
Did not play: Malevy Leons (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGS -1.5
ModelGS -1.7
Model edgeGS +0.2
W GS covered
Total
Market220.5
Model227.1
Model edgeOver 6.6
W Over
Projected score
LAC 112.7 · GS 114.4
LAC 112 · GS 124
Win probability
GS 55%
1st half
Spread
GS -0.8
GS -6.0
Total
113.8
120 points
Projected score
LAC 56.5 · GS 57.3
LAC 57 · GS 63
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGS -2.5
1 → LAC
CloseGS -1.5
1 pt toward LAC
Total
Open219.5
▲ 1
Close220.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
LAC +110 · GS -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GS -2.5 · closed GS -1.5 · moved 1 toward LACmodel GS -1.5 matches the line
model GS -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 219.5 · closed 220.5 · moved 1 upmodel 227
model 227
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAClast 5 | 1-4 20% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% |
| GSlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 4-2 67% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 21 since 2021-22
LAC 13–8 GSLAC leads · 21 games since 2021-22 · LAC 13-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2025-26 | GS 126 @ LAC 121 | LAC -5.5 | GS W |
| Apr 12, 2025-26 | GS 110 @ LAC 115 | LAC -3.5 | LAC W |
| Mar 2, 2025-26 | LAC 114 @ GS 101 | GS +1.5 | LAC W |
| Jan 5, 2025-26 | GS 102 @ LAC 103 | LAC +3.5 | LAC W |
| Oct 28, 2025-26 | LAC 79 @ GS 98 | GS +1.5 | GS W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Clippers
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
SAC
SACW 121-96
+19.5
23
@
LAL
LALL 117-125
+0.5
25
@
OKC
OKCL 101-108
+9.5
28
vsLAL
LALL 87-103
−17.5
30
@
MIN
MINL 101-127
−19.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsSAC
SACW 121-96
−9.5
23
@LAL
LALL 117-125
+16.5
25
@OKC
OKCL 101-108
−14.5
28
vsLAL
LALL 87-103
−34.5
30
@MIN
MINL 101-127
+5.5
over 2under 3avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Warriors
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@LAL
LALL 105-127
−15.5
23
vs
MEM
MEML 108-111
−7.5
24
@
PHX
PHXL 122-131
+0.5
26
@
DEN
DENW 134-114
+26.5
28
@MIN
MINW 119-114
+8.5
30
vsLAL
LALW 112-95
+19.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@LAL
LALL 105-127
−1.5
23
vsMEM
MEML 108-111
−17.5
24
@PHX
PHXL 122-131
+31.5
26
@DEN
DENW 134-114
+11.5
28
@MIN
MINW 119-114
+5.5
30
vsLAL
LALW 112-95
−27.5
over 3under 3avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Clippers
1-4 overall · 1-4 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Timberwolves101–127
- Lvs Lakers87–103
- L@ Thunder101–108
- L@ Lakers117–125
- Wvs Kings121–96
2 days since their last game.
Warriors
3-3 overall · 3-3 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Lakers112–95
- W@ Timberwolves119–114
- W@ Nuggets134–114
- L@ Suns122–131
- Lvs Grizzlies108–111
2 days since their last game.