crypto.com Arena · at Lakers
Closing line
LAL -3.5✓ LAL covered by 2.5
Closing total224.5Over by 31.5
| This season | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 4-2 |
| 3-2 | ATS | 3-3 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOR 113–114 LAL · ✓ LAL (54%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 23 | 31 | 28 | 43 | 125 |
| LAL | 36 | 30 | 38 | 27 | 131 |
1st half: TOR 54, LAL 66 (LAL by 12). The model had LAL by 0.7 and a total of 113.9 (actual 120).
Team stats
| TOR | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 45-105 43% | Field goals | 43-80 54% |
| 17-54 31% | 3-pointers | 18-37 49% |
| 18-25 72% | Free throws | 27-32 84% |
| 47 22 off | Rebounds | 45 9 off |
| 35 | Assists | 26 |
| 14 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 24 |
| 26 | Fouls | 21 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 23 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| TOR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes F | 36 | 29 | 6 | 5 | -9 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter G | 33 | 11 | 4 | 2 | -10 |
| Immanuel Quickley G | 33 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +8 |
| RJ Barrett F | 32 | 22 | 10 | 5 | +9 |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis F | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | -7 |
| Bench | |||||
| Jamal Shead G | 25 | 9 | 2 | 6 | -27 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles F | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | -14 |
| Jamison Battle F | 17 | 20 | 5 | 0 | -4 |
| Alijah Martin G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +10 |
| Allen Graves F | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
| Jaden Bradley G | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +9 |
| Kyle Anderson F | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +9 |
Did not play: Jakob Poeltl (LEFT SHOULDER)
| LAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves G | 39 | 19 | 3 | 4 | +14 |
| Luka Doncic G | 35 | 45 | 15 | 6 | +27 |
| Walker Kessler C | 31 | 16 | 15 | 1 | +11 |
| Jake LaRavia F | 25 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +6 |
| Matisse Thybulle G | 25 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 |
| Bench | |||||
| Quentin Grimes G | 26 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +5 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili F | 24 | 11 | 1 | 1 | +7 |
| Collin Sexton G | 19 | 14 | 3 | 3 | -9 |
| Jarred Vanderbilt F | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | -12 |
| Bronny James G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11 |
| Jaden Hardy G | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -9 |
| Cameron Carr G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9 |
Did not play: Kevon Looney (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLAL -3.5
ModelLAL -1.6
Model edgeTOR +1.9
L LAL covered
Total
Market224.5
Model227.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
W Over
Projected score
TOR 112.9 · LAL 114.4
TOR 125 · LAL 131
Win probability
LAL 54%
1st half
Spread
LAL -0.7
LAL -12.0
Total
113.9
120 points
Projected score
TOR 56.6 · LAL 57.3
TOR 54 · LAL 66
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLAL -4.5
1 → TOR
CloseLAL -3.5
1 pt toward TOR
Total
Open227.5
▼ 3
Close224.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
TOR +142 · LAL -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LAL -4.5 · closed LAL -3.5 · moved 1 toward TORmodel LAL -1.5
model LAL -1.5
Opened 227.5 · closed 224.5 · moved 3 downmodel 227.5
model 227.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% | 2-3 40% | |
| 4-2 67% | 3-3 50% | 3-3 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
TOR 2–8 LALLAL leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · LAL has won the last 7 meetings · TOR 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025-26 | TOR 93 @ LAL 110 | LAL -2.5 | LAL W |
| Dec 4, 2025-26 | LAL 123 @ TOR 120 | TOR -2.5 | LAL W |
| Nov 10, 2024-25 | TOR 103 @ LAL 123 | LAL -10.5 | LAL W |
| Nov 1, 2024-25 | LAL 131 @ TOR 125 | TOR +9.5 | TOR W |
| Apr 2, 2023-24 | LAL 128 @ TOR 111 | TOR +13.5 | LAL W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Raptors
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +5.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −7.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
CHI
W 135-92
+32.5
23
@
WSH
W 112-102
+0.5
25
@
MIN
L 94-117
−19.5
28
vs
ORL
W 129-99
+24.5
30
vs
ORL
L 114-121
−12.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vs
CHI
W 135-92
−10.5
23
@
WSH
W 112-102
−22.5
25
@
MIN
L 94-117
−17.5
28
vs
ORL
W 129-99
+3.5
30
vs
ORL
L 114-121
+8.5
over 2under 3avg −7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lakers
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
3-3
50% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
GS
W 127-105
+15.5
23
vs
LAC
W 125-117
−0.5
25
@
UTAH
W 132-123
+2.5
27
vs
POR
L 129-136
−8.5
28
@
LAC
W 103-87
+17.5
30
@
GS
L 95-112
−19.5
covered 3didn’t cover 3avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vs
GS
W 127-105
−1.5
23
vs
LAC
W 125-117
+16.5
25
@
UTAH
W 132-123
+17.5
27
vs
POR
L 129-136
+30.5
28
@
LAC
W 103-87
−34.5
30
@
GS
L 95-112
−27.5
over 3under 3avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Raptors
3-2 overall · 3-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Magic114–121
- Wvs Magic129–99
- L@ Timberwolves94–117
- W@ Wizards112–102
- Wvs Bulls135–92
2 days since their last game.
Lakers
4-2 overall · 4-2 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Warriors95–112
- W@ Clippers103–87
- Lvs Trail Blazers129–136
- W@ Jazz132–123
- Wvs Clippers125–117
2 days since their last game.