UTSA Convocation Center · at UTSA · Conference game
Closing line
UNT -10.5✓ UNT covered by 12.5
UNT -10.5✓ UNT covered by 12.5Closing total141.5Under by 2.5
| UNT | This season | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| 10-11 | Record | 2-18 |
| 11-10 | ATS | 6-14 |
| 8-13 | O/U | 9-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNT 74–64 UTSA · ✓ UNT (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNT | 34 | 47 | 81 |
| UTSA | 26 | 32 | 58 |
1st half: UNT 34, UTSA 26 (UNT by 8). The model had UNT by 5.8 and a total of 64.5 (actual 60).
Team stats
| UNT | UTSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-66 44% | Field goals | 22-53 42% |
| 4-18 22% | 3-pointers | 2-15 13% |
| 19-23 83% | Free throws | 12-18 67% |
| 45 21 off | Rebounds | 28 9 off |
| 19 | Assists | 9 |
| 14 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 34 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| UNT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Arnett F | 30 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Cole Franklin G | 28 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 9-14 | 0-1 |
| Je'Shawn Stevenson G | 27 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| David Terrell Jr. G | 26 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Reece Robinson F | 23 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cahmai Crosby G | 21 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-6 |
| Demarion Watson G | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| EJ Horton G | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Curtis Stinson Jr. G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Buddy Hammer Jr., Will McClendon, Josiah Shackleford
| UTSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Simpson G | 35 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 7-16 | 1-5 |
| Brent Moss G | 34 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Austin Nunez G | 31 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Baboucarr Njie F | 28 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Mo Njie C | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| LJ Brown G | 20 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Daniel Akitoby F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Kaidon Rayfield F | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Matheo Coffi F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Vasean Allette, Jackson Fazande, Dorian Hayes, Macaleab Rich, Stanley Borden, Pierce Spencer
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNT -10.5
ModelUNT -9.4
Model edgeUTSA +1.1
L UNT covered
Total
Market141.5
Model137.8
Model edgeUnder 3.7
W Under
Projected score
UNT 73.6 · UTSA 64.2
UNT 81 · UTSA 58
Win probability
UNT 80%
1st half
Spread
UNT -5.8
UNT -8.0
Total
64.5
60 points
Projected score
UNT 35.2 · UTSA 29.4
UNT 34 · UTSA 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNT -10.5
no move
CloseUNT -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▲ 2
Close141.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UNT -575 · UTSA +425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNT -10.5 · unchangedmodel UNT -9.5
model UNT -9.5
Opened 139.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 upmodel 138
model 138
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNT | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| UTSA | 0-10 0% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UNT 6–2 UTSAUNT leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UNT 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025-26 | UTSA 62 @ UNT 81 | UNT -15.5 | UNT W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | UTSA 54 @ UNT 50 | UNT -14.5 | UTSA W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | UNT 72 @ UTSA 57 | UTSA +8.5 | UNT W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UTSA 64 @ UNT 62 | UNT -14.5 | UTSA W |
| Jan 26, 2022-23 | UTSA 59 @ UNT 63 | UNT -19.5 | UTSA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
North Texas
21 games played
Straight up
10-11
48% wins
Against the spread
11-10
52% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-13
38% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs NWST | W 80-53 | -11.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 9 | vs LUC | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORST | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ SMC | L 49-80 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 20 | vs CARK | W 74-56 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs EWU | W 79-71 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs PV | W 72-69 | -16.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 2 | vs HCU | W 77-75 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 127.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 7 | vs TCU | L 55-65 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 14 | @ USA | W 58-57 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | vs SCU | L 60-63 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 31 | @ MEM | L 48-57 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 105 |
| Jan 4 | vs TLSA | W 72-67 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 7 | vs USF | L 70-74 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 11 | @ WICH | L 67-78 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 18 | @ TULN | W 71-63 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 21 | vsUTSA | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 23 | vs ECU | L 59-63 | -10.5 | L −14.5 | 134.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 28 | @TLSA | L 66-82 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 31 | vs UAB | L 68-72 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 4 | @ RICE | L 83-86 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 134.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
+15.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
+3.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
+1.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
−16.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
+1.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
−4.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−13.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
−9.5
7
vsTCU
TCUL 55-65
−0.5
14
@USA
USAW 58-57
+2.5
17
vsSCU
SCUL 60-63
+9.5
31
@MEM
MEML 48-57
+0.5
4
vsTLSA
TLSAW 72-67
+7.5
7
vsUSF
USFL 70-74
+0.5
11
@WICH
WICHL 67-78
−2.5
18
@TULN
TULNW 71-63
+9.5
21
vsUTSA
UTSAW 81-62
+3.5
23
vsECU
ECUL 59-63
−14.5
28
@TLSA
TLSAL 66-82
−7.5
31
vsUAB
UABL 68-72
−5.5
4
@RICE
RICEL 83-86
−4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 10avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
−4.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
−12.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
−4.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
+0.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
−4.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
+8.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−0.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
+24.5
7
vsTCU
TCUL 55-65
−15.5
14
@USA
USAW 58-57
−20.5
17
vsSCU
SCUL 60-63
−16.5
31
@MEM
MEML 48-57
−32.5
4
vsTLSA
TLSAW 72-67
+0.5
7
vsUSF
USFL 70-74
−3.5
11
@WICH
WICHL 67-78
+9.5
18
@TULN
TULNW 71-63
−3.5
21
vsUTSA
UTSAW 81-62
+4.5
23
vsECU
ECUL 59-63
−12.5
28
@TLSA
TLSAL 66-82
+6.5
31
vsUAB
UABL 68-72
−1.5
4
@RICE
RICEL 83-86
+34.5
over 8under 13avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
UTSA
20 games played
Straight up
2-18
10% wins
Against the spread
6-14
30% covers · avg −5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs SIUE | L 60-77 | -6.5 | L −23.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 12 | @ TXST | L 69-80 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ DEN | W 84-79 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 24 | vs ACU | L 50-61 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 25 | vs GASO | W 77-64 | +3.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 30 | vsUSA | L 58-82 | +1.5 | L −22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 7 | @ ALA | L 55-97 | +33.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | @ COLO | L 64-88 | +22.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | @ USC | L 70-97 | +25.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 22 | vs SEA | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 31 | @ FAU | L 70-110 | +16.5 | L −23.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ TEM | L 57-76 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 7 | vs CLT | L 58-74 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | vsTULN | L 52-85 | +7.5 | L −25.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vsRICE | L 73-89 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 18 | @MEM | L 69-95 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 21 | @UNT | L 62-81 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 24 | vsTEM | L 64-70 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 28 | vsUAB | L 73-83 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 4 | @USF | L 88-109 | +23.5 | W +2.5 | 164.5 | O 197 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−23.5
12
@TXST
TXSTL 69-80
−8.5
15
@DEN
DENW 84-79
+9.5
24
vsACU
ACUL 50-61
−8.5
25
vsGASO
GASOW 77-64
+16.5
30
vsUSA
USAL 58-82
−22.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 55-97
−8.5
13
@COLO
COLOL 64-88
−1.5
17
@USC
USCL 70-97
−1.5
22
vsSEA
SEAL 68-71
+7.5
31
@FAU
FAUL 70-110
−23.5
3
@TEM
TEML 57-76
−8.5
7
vsCLT
CLTL 58-74
−9.5
10
vsTULN
TULNL 52-85
−25.5
14
vsRICE
RICEL 73-89
−9.5
18
@MEM
MEML 69-95
−5.5
21
@UNT
UNTL 62-81
−3.5
24
vsTEM
TEML 64-70
+4.5
28
vsUAB
UABL 73-83
+2.5
4
@USF
USFL 88-109
+2.5
covered 6didn’t cover 14avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−16.5
12
@TXST
TXSTL 69-80
+1.5
15
@DEN
DENW 84-79
+14.5
24
vsACU
ACUL 50-61
−33.5
25
vsGASO
GASOW 77-64
−19.5
30
vsUSA
USAL 58-82
−1.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 55-97
−19.5
13
@COLO
COLOL 64-88
−2.5
17
@USC
USCL 70-97
+9.5
22
vsSEA
SEAL 68-71
−9.5
31
@FAU
FAUL 70-110
+21.5
3
@TEM
TEML 57-76
−16.5
7
vsCLT
CLTL 58-74
−13.5
10
vsTULN
TULNL 52-85
−10.5
14
vsRICE
RICEL 73-89
+17.5
18
@MEM
MEML 69-95
+16.5
21
@UNT
UNTL 62-81
+4.5
24
vsTEM
TEML 64-70
−11.5
28
vsUAB
UABL 73-83
+0.5
4
@USF
USFL 88-109
+32.5
over 9under 11avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
North Texas
10-11 overall · 3-7 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Rice83–86
- Lvs UAB68–72
- L@ Tulsa66–82
- Lvs East Carolina59–63
- Wvs UTSA81–62
3 days since their last game.
UTSA
2-18 overall · 0-10 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ South Florida88–109
- Lvs UAB73–83
- Lvs Temple64–70
- L@ North Texas62–81
- L@ Memphis69–95
3 days since their last game.