Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · at Indiana · Conference game
Closing line
IU -9.5✓ NU covered by 13.5
IU -9.5✓ NU covered by 13.5Closing total145.5Under by 5.5
 NU | This season | IU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-16 | Record | 17-10 |
| 12-15 | ATS | 13-14 |
| 14-13 | O/U | 13-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NU 71–78 IU · ✗ IU (74%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NU | 33 | 39 | 72 |
| IU | 42 | 26 | 68 |
1st half: NU 33, IU 42 (IU by 9). The model had IU by 4.2 and a total of 69.9 (actual 75).
Team stats
| NU | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-54 48% | Field goals | 23-50 46% |
| 6-13 46% | 3-pointers | 10-28 36% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 12-14 86% |
| 34 11 off | Rebounds | 23 5 off |
| 15 | Assists | 18 |
| 4 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli F | 39 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 12-21 | 1-3 |
| Jake West G | 36 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 4-9 | 3-5 |
| Tre Singleton F | 34 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Reid G | 24 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Kropp F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Arrinten Page F | 27 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Angelo Ciaravino G | 27 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Clayton G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: K.J. Windham, Phoenix Gill, Max Green, Cade Bennerman, Blake Smith, Gus Hurlburt, Justin Mullins
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker DeVries F | 37 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3-11 | 2-7 |
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 36 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 5-17 | 4-11 |
| Nick Dorn G | 32 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Sam Alexis F | 26 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Conor Enright G | 25 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tayton Conerway G | 19 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 6-6 | 1-1 |
| Reed Bailey F | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jasai Miles G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Trent Sisley F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Drew Snively, Tryce Grensing, Andrej Acimovic, Aleksa Ristic, Josh Harris, Jordan Rayford, Ian Stephens, Deuce Drake
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIU -9.5
ModelIU -7.3
Model edgeNU +2.2
W NU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model149.5
Model edgeOver 4.0
L Under
Projected score
NU 71.1 · IU 78.4
NU 72 · IU 68
Win probability
IU 74%
1st half
Spread
IU -4.2
IU -9.0
Total
69.9
75 points
Projected score
NU 32.9 · IU 37.1
NU 33 · IU 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIU -8.5
1 → IU
CloseIU -9.5
1 pt toward IU
Total
Open147.5
▼ 2
Close145.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
NU +360 · IU -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IU -8.5 · closed IU -9.5 · moved 1 toward IUmodel IU -7.5
model IU -7.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 downmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NU | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| IU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NU 5–0 IUNU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · NU has won the last 5 meetings · NU 5-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | IU 70 @ NU 79 | NU -4.5 | NU W |
| Feb 18, 2023-24 | NU 76 @ IU 72 | IU -2.5 | NU W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | IU 62 @ NU 64 | NU +3.5 | NU W |
| Jan 8, 2022-23 | NU 84 @ IU 83 | IU -6.5 | NU W |
| Feb 8, 2021-22 | IU 51 @ NU 59 | NU -3 | NU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northwestern
27 games played
Straight up
11-16
41% wins
Against the spread
12-15
44% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MERC | W 70-47 | -26.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 7 | vs BU | W 76-52 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 10 | vs CLE | W 110-63 | -23.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ DEP | W 81-79 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UVA | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs SC | W 79-77 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 27 | vs OKST | L 81-86 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ WIS | L 73-85 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs OSU | L 82-86 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs JKST | W 93-53 | -30.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs VAL | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs BTLR | L 58-61 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 30 | vs HOW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs MINN | L 78-84 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 8 | @ MSU | L 66-76 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 11 | @ RUTG | L 75-77 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 14 | vs ILL | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vs NEB | L 58-77 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | @ USC | W 74-68 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @ UCLA | L 64-71 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | vs PSU | W 94-73 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 31 | vs WASH | L 62-76 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | @ILL | L 44-84 | +16.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 8 | @ IOWA | L 70-76 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 11 | vs MICH | L 75-87 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | @NEB | L 49-68 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 18 | vs MD | W 78-74 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−3.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
+6.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+23.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
−3.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
−0.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
−2.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
−7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
−1.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
−2.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
+9.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+1.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
+0.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
−10.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
+3.5
11
@RUTG
RUTGL 75-77
−6.5
14
vsILL
ILLL 68-79
−1.5
17
vsNEB
NEBL 58-77
−14.5
21
@USC
USCW 74-68
+12.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 64-71
+0.5
29
vsPSU
PSUW 94-73
+13.5
31
vsWASH
WASHL 62-76
−15.5
4
@ILL
ILLL 44-84
−23.5
8
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-76
+4.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 75-87
+3.5
14
@NEB
NEBL 49-68
−5.5
18
vsMD
MDW 78-74
−3.5
covered 12didn’t cover 15avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−23.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
−8.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+21.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
+14.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
+11.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
+9.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
+7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
+2.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
+12.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
−0.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+10.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
−35.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
−8.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
+23.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
−1.5
11
@RUTG
RUTGL 75-77
+7.5
14
vsILL
ILLL 68-79
−4.5
17
vsNEB
NEBL 58-77
−14.5
21
@USC
USCW 74-68
−7.5
24
@UCLA
UCLAL 64-71
−8.5
29
vsPSU
PSUW 94-73
+18.5
31
vsWASH
WASHL 62-76
−8.5
4
@ILL
ILLL 44-84
−21.5
8
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-76
+6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 75-87
+8.5
14
@NEB
NEBL 49-68
−29.5
18
vsMD
MDW 78-74
+9.5
over 14under 13avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Indiana
27 games played
Straight up
17-10
63% wins
Against the spread
13-14
48% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-14
48% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vs MARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs MILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LOU | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | vsPSU | W 113-72 | -14.5 | W +26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | @ UK | L 60-72 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs CHST | W 78-58 | -38.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIE | W 81-60 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 4 | vsWASH | W 90-80 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @MD | W 84-66 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vsNEB | L 77-83 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | @MSU | L 60-81 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vsIOWA | L 57-74 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | @MICH | L 72-86 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @RUTG | W 82-59 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vs PUR | W 72-67 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | @UCLA | W 98-97 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 3 | @USC | L 75-81 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 7 | vsWIS | W 78-77 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 9 | vs ORE | W 92-74 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 15 | @ILL | L 51-71 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 20 | @PUR | L 64-93 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
−5.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+26.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−8.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−18.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−0.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+0.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+10.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
−10.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−14.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−20.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
+1.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
+15.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
+9.5
31
@UCLA
UCLAW 98-97
+4.5
3
@USC
USCL 75-81
−7.5
7
vsWIS
WISW 78-77
−2.5
9
vsORE
OREW 92-74
+7.5
15
@ILL
ILLL 51-71
−11.5
20
@PUR
PURL 64-93
−17.5
covered 13didn’t cover 14avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
+2.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+32.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−24.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−16.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−4.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+17.5
7
@MD
MDW 84-66
+2.5
10
vsNEB
NEBL 77-83
+9.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-81
−4.5
17
vsIOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−15.5
20
@MICH
MICHL 72-86
−5.5
23
@RUTG
RUTGW 82-59
−6.5
27
vsPUR
PURW 72-67
−11.5
31
@UCLA
UCLAW 98-97
+50.5
3
@USC
USCL 75-81
+2.5
7
vsWIS
WISW 78-77
−2.5
9
vsORE
OREW 92-74
+22.5
15
@ILL
ILLL 51-71
−31.5
20
@PUR
PURL 64-93
+6.5
over 13under 14avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northwestern
11-16 overall · 3-13 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maryland78–74
- L@ Nebraska49–68
- Lvs Michigan75–87
- L@ Iowa70–76
- L@ Illinois44–84
6 days since their last game.
Indiana
17-10 overall · 8-8 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Purdue64–93
- L@ Illinois51–71
- Wvs Oregon92–74
- Wvs Wisconsin78–77
- L@ USC75–81
4 days since their last game.