Pete Maravich Assembly Center · at LSU · Conference game
Closing line
UGA -1.5✓ UGA covered by 10.5
UGA -1.5✓ UGA covered by 10.5Closing total161.5Under by 7.5
| UGA | This season | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| 16-6 | Record | 14-8 |
| 10-12 | ATS | 13-9 |
| 11-11 | O/U | 10-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UGA 86–85 LSU · ✓ UGA (53%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UGA | 42 | 41 | 83 |
| LSU | 37 | 34 | 71 |
1st half: UGA 42, LSU 37 (UGA by 5). The model had UGA by 0.6 and a total of 79.6 (actual 79).
Team stats
| UGA | LSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-59 51% | Field goals | 23-55 42% |
| 10-25 40% | 3-pointers | 5-23 22% |
| 13-24 54% | Free throws | 20-24 83% |
| 36 16 off | Rebounds | 34 14 off |
| 16 | Assists | 12 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| UGA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kanon Catchings F | 29 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 8-13 | 5-6 |
| Blue Cain G | 28 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Jeremiah Wilkinson G | 28 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 7-17 | 2-8 |
| Justin Abson F | 21 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Ross G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Millender G | 29 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Somto Cyril C | 17 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Jake Wilkins F | 12 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Justin Bailey G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Dylan James F | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kareem Stagg F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson McVey, Markel Jennings, Jaden Newell, Brandon Klatsky
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Mackinnon G | 38 | 26 | 5 | 4 | 7-16 | 2-9 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 36 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Marquel Sutton F | 31 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Rashad King G | 22 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 15 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Robert Miller III F | 22 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Reece G | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| PJ Carter G | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
Did not play: Mazi Mosley, Jalen Reed, Jaden Bobbett, Dedan Thomas Jr., Matt Gilhool, Ron Zipper, Marcus Vaughn
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUGA -1.5
ModelUGA -0.8
Model edgeLSU +0.8
L UGA covered
Total
Market161.5
Model170.3
Model edgeOver 8.8
L Under
Projected score
UGA 85.5 · LSU 84.8
UGA 83 · LSU 71
Win probability
UGA 53%
1st half
Spread
UGA -0.6
UGA -5.0
Total
79.6
79 points
Projected score
UGA 40.1 · LSU 39.5
UGA 42 · LSU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUGA -1.5
no move
CloseUGA -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open162.5
▼ 1
Close161.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UGA -125 · LSU +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UGA -1.5 · unchangedmodel UGA -1
model UGA -1
Opened 162.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 1 downmodel 170.5
model 170.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UGA | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| LSU | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
UGA 3–3 LSUSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · UGA 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | LSU 62 @ UGA 81 | UGA -6.5 | UGA W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | UGA 66 @ LSU 67 | LSU -5.5 | UGA W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | LSU 66 @ UGA 68 | UGA -4.5 | LSU W |
| Mar 8, 2022-23 | LSU 72 vs UGA 67 | UGA +3.5 | LSU W |
| Feb 14, 2022-23 | LSU 63 @ UGA 65 | UGA -3.5 | LSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Georgia
22 games played
Straight up
16-6
73% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-11
50% overs · avg +5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BELL | W 104-59 | -23.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 5 | vs UMES | W 94-29 | -33.5 | W +31.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 9 | vs MORE | W 120-81 | -28.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 14 | vs GT | W 92-87 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs FAMU | W 87-57 | -40.5 | L −10.5 | 170.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs XAV | W 78-77 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs CLEM | L 94-97 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs TNTC | W 123-81 | -34.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 2 | @ FSU | W 107-73 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 13 | vs CIN | W 84-65 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 18 | vs WCU | W 112-82 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 22 | vs WGA | W 103-74 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIU | W 89-74 | -30.5 | L −15.5 | 179.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 3 | vs AUB | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | @ FLA | L 77-92 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | @ SC | W 75-70 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs MISS | L 95-97 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | vs ARK | W 90-76 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | @ MIZ | W 74-72 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | @ TEX | L 67-87 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 28 | vs TENN | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 31 | vs TA&M | L 77-92 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 173.5 | U 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+21.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
+31.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+10.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
−10.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−10.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−9.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
−1.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+7.5
2
@FSU
FSUW 107-73
+35.5
13
vsCIN
CINW 84-65
+13.5
18
vsWCU
WCUW 112-82
−2.5
22
vsWGA
WGAW 103-74
−7.5
29
vsLIU
LIUW 89-74
−15.5
3
vsAUB
AUBW 104-100
−2.5
6
@FLA
FLAL 77-92
−5.5
10
@SC
SCW 75-70
+0.5
14
vsMISS
MISSL 95-97
−12.5
17
vsARK
ARKW 90-76
+11.5
20
@MIZ
MIZW 74-72
+3.5
24
@TEX
TEXL 67-87
−16.5
28
vsTENN
TENNL 85-86
+0.5
31
vsTA&M
TA&ML 77-92
−19.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+12.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
−19.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+50.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
+23.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−26.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−10.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
+38.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+43.5
2
@FSU
FSUW 107-73
+3.5
13
vsCIN
CINW 84-65
−8.5
18
vsWCU
WCUW 112-82
+26.5
22
vsWGA
WGAW 103-74
+3.5
29
vsLIU
LIUW 89-74
−16.5
3
vsAUB
AUBW 104-100
+30.5
6
@FLA
FLAL 77-92
−3.5
10
@SC
SCW 75-70
−18.5
14
vsMISS
MISSL 95-97
+33.5
17
vsARK
ARKW 90-76
−15.5
20
@MIZ
MIZW 74-72
−17.5
24
@TEX
TEXL 67-87
−14.5
28
vsTENN
TENNL 85-86
+13.5
31
vsTA&M
TA&ML 77-92
−4.5
over 11under 11avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
LSU
22 games played
Straight up
14-8
64% wins
Against the spread
13-9
59% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs TAR | W 96-60 | -15.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 10 | vs NOLA | W 93-58 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs ALCN | W 107-81 | -32.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 21 | vs OMA | W 99-73 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | vs DRKE | W 71-62 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs DEP | W 96-63 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ BC | W 78-69 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs TTU | L 58-82 | +5.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs SMU | W 89-77 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs SELA | W 78-65 | -24.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs PV | W 104-90 | -29.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 29 | vs USM | W 90-62 | -21.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @TA&M | L 72-75 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | vsSC | L 68-78 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ VAN | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs UK | L 74-75 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | vsMIZ | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | @FLA | L 61-79 | +15.5 | L −2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @ARK | L 81-85 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 28 | vs MSST | L 66-80 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | @SC | W 92-87 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+20.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
+15.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−4.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
−6.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+5.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−2.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+27.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
+1.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−18.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+10.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−11.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
−15.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
+6.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
+2.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
−17.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
+2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
+2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
+6.5
20
@FLA
FLAL 61-79
−2.5
24
@ARK
ARKL 81-85
+6.5
28
vsMSST
MSSTL 66-80
−21.5
31
@SC
SCW 92-87
+2.5
covered 13didn’t cover 9avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+7.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
−11.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+20.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
+32.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+8.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−18.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+6.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
−2.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−14.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+7.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−1.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
+32.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
−2.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
−21.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
+0.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
−2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
−2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
−0.5
20
@FLA
FLAL 61-79
−18.5
24
@ARK
ARKL 81-85
+2.5
28
vsMSST
MSSTL 66-80
−8.5
31
@SC
SCW 92-87
+31.5
over 10under 12avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgia
16-6 overall · 4-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas A&M77–92
- Lvs Tennessee85–86
- L@ Texas67–87
- W@ Missouri74–72
- Wvs Arkansas90–76
A week or more of rest.
LSU
14-8 overall · 2-7 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ South Carolina92–87
- Lvs Mississippi St66–80
- L@ Arkansas81–85
- L@ Florida61–79
- Wvs Missouri78–70
A week or more of rest.