Memorial Gymnasium (TN) · at Vanderbilt · Conference game
Closing line
VAN -10.5✓ MISS covered by 7.5
VAN -10.5✓ MISS covered by 7.5Closing total149.5Under by 10.5
 MISS | This season | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 11-9 | Record | 18-3 |
| 7-13 | ATS | 12-9 |
| 11-9 | O/U | 10-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MISS 71–83 VAN · ✓ VAN (86%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 23 | 45 | 68 |
| VAN | 31 | 40 | 71 |
1st half: MISS 23, VAN 31 (VAN by 8). The model had VAN by 7.3 and a total of 72.1 (actual 54).
Team stats
| MISS | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-52 42% | Field goals | 24-55 44% |
| 4-15 27% | 3-pointers | 8-32 25% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 33 11 off | Rebounds | 33 12 off |
| 6 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilias Kamardine G | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-3 |
| James Scott F | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Travis Perry G | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Storr G | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-3 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 28 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Malik Dia F | 24 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 4-11 | 0-1 |
| Kezza Giffa G | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Koren Johnson G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Corey Chest F | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Zach Day G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Niko Bundalo F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tylis Jordan, Max Smith, Hobert Grayson IV
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 37 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 10-20 | 2-8 |
| AK Okereke F | 32 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 28 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 26 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Jalen Washington F | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mike James G | 26 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Chandler Bing F | 22 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Tyler Harris F | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Jayden Leverett C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Coleson Messer, Frankie Collins, Duke Miles, Jaylon Dean-Vines, George Kimble III, Mason Nicholson, Miles Keeffe
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVAN -10.5
ModelVAN -12.4
Model edgeVAN +1.9
L MISS covered
Total
Market149.5
Model154.0
Model edgeOver 4.5
L Under
Projected score
MISS 70.8 · VAN 83.2
MISS 68 · VAN 71
Win probability
VAN 86%
1st half
Spread
VAN -7.3
VAN -8.0
Total
72.1
54 points
Projected score
MISS 32.4 · VAN 39.7
MISS 23 · VAN 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -13.5
3 → MISS
CloseVAN -10.5
3 pts toward MISS
Total
Open149.5
no move
Close149.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MISS +470 · VAN -650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -13.5 · closed VAN -10.5 · moved 3 toward MISSmodel VAN -12.5
model VAN -12.5
Opened 149.5 · unchangedmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| VAN | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MISS 1–3 VANVAN leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · MISS 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | MISS 72 @ VAN 77 | VAN -0.5 | VAN W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | VAN 56 @ MISS 69 | MISS -10.5 | MISS W |
| Feb 4, 2022-23 | MISS 71 @ VAN 74 | VAN -4.5 | MISS W |
| Mar 5, 2021-22 | VAN 63 @ MISS 61 | MISS -1 | VAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ole Miss
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
7-13
35% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-9
55% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs ARK | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | vs MIZ | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ UGA | W 97-95 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | @ MSST | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 20 | vs AUB | L 66-78 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ UK | L 63-72 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
−3.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+5.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+12.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
+4.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−8.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
+2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 13avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
+27.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+1.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+33.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
−12.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−7.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
−10.5
over 11under 9avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Vanderbilt
21 games played
Straight up
18-3
86% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-11
48% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMC | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs SMU | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs CARK | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @MEM | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ WAKE | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs NHVN | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ SC | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 7 | vs ALA | W 96-90 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs LSU | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ TEX | L 64-80 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs FLA | L 94-98 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | @ARK | L 68-93 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | @MSST | W 88-56 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 27 | vsUK | W 80-55 | -5.5 | W +19.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+20.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−25.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−2.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+25.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
+2.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+2.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
−2.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−23.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
+24.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
+19.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+17.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
−8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−3.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−12.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+0.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+9.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
+27.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−12.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
−15.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
−20.5
over 10under 11avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ole Miss
11-9 overall · 3-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kentucky63–72
- Lvs Auburn66–78
- W@ Mississippi St68–67
- W@ Georgia97–95
- Wvs Missouri76–69
A week or more of rest.
Vanderbilt
18-3 overall · 5-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kentucky80–55
- W@ Mississippi St88–56
- L@ Arkansas68–93
- Lvs Florida94–98
- L@ Texas64–80
4 days since their last game.