Bob Carpenter Center · at Delaware · Conference game
Closing line
MTSU -5.5✓ DEL covered by 6.5
MTSU -5.5✓ DEL covered by 6.5Closing total133.5Over by 43.5
| MTSU | This season | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| 8-11 | Record | 6-15 |
| 7-12 | ATS | 9-12 |
| 8-11 | O/U | 9-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MTSU 71–67 DEL · ✗ MTSU (66%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 43 | 36 | 9 | 88 |
| DEL | 41 | 38 | 10 | 89 |
1st half: MTSU 43, DEL 41 (MTSU by 2). The model had MTSU by 3.0 and a total of 64.6 (actual 84).
Team stats
| MTSU | DEL | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-65 49% | Field goals | 28-51 55% |
| 11-33 33% | 3-pointers | 14-28 50% |
| 13-19 68% | Free throws | 19-21 90% |
| 33 15 off | Rebounds | 26 5 off |
| 20 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamari Lands G | 42 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 8-18 | 3-10 |
| Alec Oglesby G | 38 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 6-13 | 5-11 |
| Torey Alston F | 37 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 9-14 | 0-0 |
| Chris Loofe F | 32 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jahvin Carter G | 23 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sean Smith G | 22 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Luka Jovanovic C | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tre Green G | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
Did not play: Savon Wykle, Brandon Oloumou, Jax Howard, Charvez Ambrose, Jarred Hall, James Dent Jr.
| DEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justyn Fernandez G | 45 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 7-17 | 5-9 |
| Macon Emory F | 45 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-4 |
| Christian Bliss G | 45 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Alex Kazanecki G | 39 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 5-6 | 5-6 |
| Tyler Houser F | 37 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Houston Emory F | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Taylor F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Ellison, Bouna Kebe, Alex McFadden, Cavan Reilly, Lance Piper, Brandon Baffone, Nnanna Njoku, Jameel Brown
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMTSU -5.5
ModelMTSU -4.8
Model edgeDEL +0.7
W DEL covered
Total
Market133.5
Model137.8
Model edgeOver 4.3
W Over
Projected score
MTSU 71.3 · DEL 66.5
MTSU 88 · DEL 89
Win probability
MTSU 66%
1st half
Spread
MTSU -3.0
MTSU -2.0
Total
64.6
84 points
Projected score
MTSU 33.8 · DEL 30.8
MTSU 43 · DEL 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTSU -5.5
no move
CloseMTSU -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open130.5
▲ 3
Close133.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
MTSU -218 · DEL +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTSU -5.5 · unchangedmodel MTSU -5
model MTSU -5
Opened 130.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 3 upmodel 138
model 138
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| DEL | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
MTSU
19 games played
Straight up
8-11
42% wins
Against the spread
7-12
37% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ EVAN | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ MICH | L 61-86 | +27.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs MUR | W 90-87 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs GW | L 79-92 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MCN | L 62-72 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | vs UAB | W 76-61 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs BEL | L 62-83 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vs KENN | W 68-67 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ HOU | L 60-69 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 2 | vs LT | W 88-51 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | vs SHSU | W 68-67 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | @ UTEP | L 80-83 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | @ NMSU | W 59-55 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 14 | @LT | L 58-59 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | vs MOST | W 90-87 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 23 | @ JXST | L 58-75 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 29 | vs LIB | L 65-81 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 31 | vs WKU | L 60-65 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | vs FIU | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+7.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
+2.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+9.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
−3.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−0.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
+16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−17.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−2.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
+16.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+30.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−3.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
−6.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
+7.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−4.5
17
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-87
−2.5
23
@JXST
JXSTL 58-75
−18.5
29
vsLIB
LIBL 65-81
−14.5
31
vsWKU
WKUL 60-65
−11.5
4
vsFIU
FIUL 84-88
−9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 12avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+8.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
−12.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+15.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
+12.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−13.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
−16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−25.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
−9.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+4.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−21.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
+25.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
−30.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−14.5
17
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-87
+39.5
23
@JXST
JXSTL 58-75
−0.5
29
vsLIB
LIBL 65-81
+9.5
31
vsWKU
WKUL 60-65
−15.5
4
vsFIU
FIUL 84-88
+17.5
over 8under 11avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Delaware
21 games played
Straight up
6-15
29% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-12
43% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BUCK | L 70-78 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ BYU | L 68-85 | +35.5 | W +18.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 18 | vs SPU | W 81-70 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs SIU | L 59-79 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNCG | W 73-60 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 1 | vs IONA | L 66-89 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 149.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 6 | @ DSU | L 72-75 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 129.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 10 | @GW | W 70-58 | +21.5 | W +33.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs CSUN | L 66-88 | -1.5 | L −23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 16 | vs RID | W 65-57 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 129.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 29 | vsMOST | L 43-61 | +1.5 | L −16.5 | 131.5 | U 104 |
| Jan 2 | vsJXST | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 126.5 | O 131 |
| Jan 4 | vsKENN | W 67-52 | +8.5 | W +23.5 | 148.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 8 | @SHSU | L 60-72 | +11.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | @LT | L 68-70 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 123.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 15 | vsUTEP | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 125.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | vsNMSU | L 68-97 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | @LIB | L 51-67 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 28 | @NMSU | W 73-64 | +13.5 | W +22.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 31 | @UTEP | L 55-70 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | vsLIB | L 69-75 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 132.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BUCK
BUCKL 70-78
−5.5
11
@BYU
BYUL 68-85
+18.5
18
vsSPU
SPUW 81-70
+6.5
23
vsSIU
SIUL 59-79
−11.5
25
vsUNCG
UNCGW 73-60
+14.5
1
vsIONA
IONAL 66-89
−21.5
6
@DSU
DSUL 72-75
−10.5
10
@GW
GWW 70-58
+33.5
13
vsCSUN
CSUNL 66-88
−23.5
16
vsRID
RIDW 65-57
−0.5
29
vsMOST
MOSTL 43-61
−16.5
2
vsJXST
JXSTL 64-67
+1.5
4
vsKENN
KENNW 67-52
+23.5
8
@SHSU
SHSUL 60-72
−0.5
10
@LT
LTL 68-70
+4.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPL 69-70
−2.5
17
vsNMSU
NMSUL 68-97
−24.5
24
@LIB
LIBL 51-67
−0.5
28
@NMSU
NMSUW 73-64
+22.5
31
@UTEP
UTEPL 55-70
−8.5
4
vsLIB
LIBL 69-75
+4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUCK
BUCKL 70-78
−1.5
11
@BYU
BYUL 68-85
−11.5
18
vsSPU
SPUW 81-70
+13.5
23
vsSIU
SIUL 59-79
−15.5
25
vsUNCG
UNCGW 73-60
−9.5
1
vsIONA
IONAL 66-89
+5.5
6
@DSU
DSUL 72-75
+17.5
10
@GW
GWW 70-58
−24.5
13
vsCSUN
CSUNL 66-88
+9.5
16
vsRID
RIDW 65-57
−7.5
29
vsMOST
MOSTL 43-61
−27.5
2
vsJXST
JXSTL 64-67
+4.5
4
vsKENN
KENNW 67-52
−29.5
8
@SHSU
SHSUL 60-72
−12.5
10
@LT
LTL 68-70
+14.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPL 69-70
+13.5
17
vsNMSU
NMSUL 68-97
+30.5
24
@LIB
LIBL 51-67
−16.5
28
@NMSU
NMSUW 73-64
−0.5
31
@UTEP
UTEPL 55-70
−3.5
4
vsLIB
LIBL 69-75
+11.5
over 9under 12avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
MTSU
8-11 overall · 5-6 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs FIU84–88
- Lvs Western KY60–65
- Lvs Liberty65–81
- L@ Jax State58–75
- Wvs Missouri St90–87
3 days since their last game.
Delaware
6-15 overall · 2-9 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Liberty69–75
- L@ UTEP55–70
- W@ New Mexico St73–64
- L@ Liberty51–67
- Lvs New Mexico St68–97
3 days since their last game.