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College game flow: when games go over and when the cover is settled

When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

Totals 67–75 ✕

When did they go over?

53 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 67–75 · pick one to list those games
Went overAll games53100%By halftime00%In Q3713%In Q41732%In OT00%Stayed under2955%
Last 5 minutesCover changed hands713%Over cashed917%Leader lost the game59%
45% went over. Of the 24 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 29% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 31% of games.

All 53 games

2023–2026 · Totals 67–75 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2026 · Week 7
 TXST -15.5 69.5 21669393 Q3 TXST Q1 27–66
MUR @ OKST
2026 · Week 3
 OKST -56.5 70.5 14315259 U OKST Q4 0–59
PRST @ ORE
2026 · Week 3
 ORE -58.5 71.5 28496384 Q4 ORE Q3 0–84
HOW @ IU
2026 · Week 2
 IU -57.5 67.5 20415555 U HOW Q1 0–55
2025 · Week 13
 USF -22.5 68.5 17274466 U USF Q3 48–18
2025 · Week 12
 UNLV -4.5 68.5 923334655 U USU Q1
Lead lost
 26–29
2025 · Week 12
 UNT -17.5 69.5 21386477 Q4 UNT Q1 53–24
2025 · Week 11
 SJSU -6.5 68.5 3192242 U AFA Q1 26–16
2025 · Week 10
 UNT -6.5 68.5 14344848 U UNT Q1 17–31
2025 · Week 9
 CIN -3.5 69.5 14303961 U CIN Q1 20–41
2025 · Week 8
 USF -20.5 72.5 10274461 U USF Q4 13–48
2025 · Week 8
 TCU -3.5 67.5 7314678 Q4 TCU Q2
Late over
 36–42
2025 · Week 7
 TENN -10.5 68.5 17344465 U ARK Q1 31–34
2025 · Week 7
 UNT -2.5 68.5 21427799 Q3 USF Q2 63–36
2025 · Week 4
 TENN -38.5 68.5 21497380 Q3 UAB Q4
Late cover flip
 24–56
IDST @ UNLV
2025 · Week 1
 UNLV -30.5 67.5 10314869 Q4 IDST Q1 31–38
2024 · Week 13
 UNT -2.5 73.5 14285968 U ECU Q3 40–28
2024 · Week 12
 WSU -11.5 71.5 21425673 Q4 UNM Q3
Late over
 35–38
2024 · Week 12
 UTSA -1.5 71.5 14345075 Q4 UTSA Q1
Late over
 27–48
2024 · Week 11
 WSU -20.5 67.5 14284977 Q4 WSU Q3
Late over
 28–49
2024 · Week 11
 TCU -10.5 69.5 10243751 U TCU Q2 13–38
2024 · Week 9
 TULN -7.5 69.5 24486982 Q4 TULN Q1
Late over
 45–37
2024 · Week 8
 MEM -10.5 67.5 35526696 Q4 UNT Q1
Late cover flip
 44–52
2024 · Week 4
 MISS -35.5 68.5 17314865 U MISS Q4 13–52
SFA @ UNT
2024 · Week 2
 UNT -21.5 72.5 24384855 U SFA Q1 20–35
TNTC @ UGA
2024 · Week 2
 UGA -54.5 68.5 14244551 U TNTC Q1 3–48
2024 · Week 1
 LSU -3.5 67.5 0203047 U USC Q4 27–20
2023 · Postseason
 ORE -18.5 71 9374451 U ORE Q2 6–45
2023 · Week 13
 UNT -2 72 20425387 Q4 UNT Q4 42–45
2023 · Week 13
 LSU -13 67 7314572 Q4 TA&M Q1
Late over
 30–42
2023 · Week 12
 LSU -32.5 74 21495670 U LSU Q4 14–56
2023 · Week 12
 UNT -2 69 14425663 U UNT Q3 35–28
2023 · Week 11
 LSU -16.5 68 14316687 Q4 LSU Q4
Late cover flip
 35–52
2023 · Week 11
 USF -7 70 17303750 U TEM Q4 23–27
2023 · Week 10
 TXST -2.5 68.5 17416269 Q4 TXST Q2 24–45
2023 · Week 10
 UTSA -8 70 10404366 U Push 37–29
2023 · Week 10
 MEM -13.5 68 286387109 Q3 USF Q2 50–59
CAM @ UNC
2023 · Week 10
 UNC -38 68.5 14355266 U UNC Q4 7–59
2023 · Week 9
 USC -10 67.5 31456599 Q4 CAL Q1 50–49
2023 · Week 9
 MEM -6.5 69.5 21415287 Q4 UNT Q4
Late cover flip Late over
 45–42
2023 · Week 8
 OU -17 67.5 7344060 U UCF Q1 29–31
2023 · Week 7
 WASH -3.5 68.5 22405569 Q4 ORE Q3
Late over Lead lost
 33–36
2023 · Week 6
 USF -3 68 35497091 Q3 UAB Q1 35–56
2023 · Week 6
 UL -1 67.5 17344464 U UL Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
 30–34
ACU @ UNT
2023 · Week 5
 UNT -15.5 70.5 31486976 Q4 ACU Q4
Late cover flip Late over
 31–45
2023 · Week 5
 GASO -6 67.5 7355966 U GASO Q2 28–38
2023 · Week 5
 LSU -3 67 285976104 Q3 MISS Q4
Lead lost
 49–55
2023 · Week 5
 USC -22.5 74 14487589 Q3 COLO Q1 48–41
2023 · Week 4
 ORE -21.5 70.5 13354248 U ORE Q2 6–42
2023 · Week 3
 ORE -37.5 67.5 24375165 U ORE Q3 10–55
Final score is away–home. Points by quarter are combined points at the end of each quarter; the highlighted one is when the over cashed.Show 53

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 36% 19
Q2 17% 9
Q3 15% 8
Q4 30% 16
OT 0% 0
Push 2% 1
The team leading at halftime won 83% and covered 67% of 48 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 84% and covered 63% of 51 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over7100% 7
1–35100% 5
4–72100% 2
8–10250% 1
11–14333% 1
15–17425% 1
18–21944% 4
22+2114% 3
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.