CU Events Center · at Colorado · Conference game
Closing line
TTU -5.5✓ COLO covered by 3.5
TTU -5.5✓ COLO covered by 3.5Closing total161.5Under by 17.5
| TTU | This season | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| 11-4 | Record | 12-3 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 7-8 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TTU 84–77 COLO · ✓ TTU (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 43 | 30 | 73 |
| COLO | 27 | 44 | 71 |
1st half: TTU 43, COLO 27 (TTU by 16). The model had TTU by 4.3 and a total of 74.9 (actual 70).
Team stats
| TTU | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-70 41% | Field goals | 23-58 40% |
| 11-31 35% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 4-10 40% | Free throws | 19-22 86% |
| 46 16 off | Rebounds | 36 7 off |
| 20 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 9 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| TTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Anderson G | 40 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 6-13 | 2-6 |
| Jaylen Petty G | 35 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Donovan Atwell G | 35 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 6-15 | 5-13 |
| LeJuan Watts G | 33 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 5-14 | 1-2 |
| JT Toppin F | 32 | 16 | 13 | 4 | 7-14 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyeree Bryan G | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Leon Horner G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Marial Akuentok F | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jazz Henderson Jr., LaTrell Hoover, Nolan Groves, Josiah Moseley, Luke Bamgboye, Jack Francis
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress G | 36 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 6-13 | 1-4 |
| Sebastian Rancik F | 31 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 5-10 | 3-6 |
| Bangot Dak F | 27 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Felix Kossaras G | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Malone C | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson G | 31 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 3-11 | 2-5 |
| Alon Michaeli F | 23 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Josiah Sanders G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Leonardo Van Elswyk, Tacko Ifaola, Jon Mani, Nick Randall, Ian Inman, Andrew Crawford, Jalin Holland
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTTU -5.5
ModelTTU -7.0
Model edgeTTU +1.5
L COLO covered
Total
Market161.5
Model160.0
Model edgeUnder 1.5
W Under
Projected score
TTU 83.5 · COLO 76.5
TTU 73 · COLO 71
Win probability
TTU 73%
1st half
Spread
TTU -4.3
TTU -16.0
Total
74.9
70 points
Projected score
TTU 39.6 · COLO 35.3
TTU 43 · COLO 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTTU -5.5
no move
CloseTTU -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open161.5
no move
Close161.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
TTU -238 · COLO +195
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TTU -5.5 · unchangedmodel TTU -7
model TTU -7
Opened 161.5 · unchangedmodel 160
model 160
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| COLO | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TTU 1–0 COLOTTU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · TTU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | COLO 75 @ TTU 91 | TTU -19.5 | COLO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas Tech
15 games played
Straight up
11-4
73% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LIN | W 98-60 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 7 | vs SHSU | W 98-77 | -31.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 11 | @ ILL | L 77-81 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs MILW | W 80-63 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs WAKE | W 84-83 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs PUR | L 56-86 | +3.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs NOLA | W 82-50 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 30 | vs WYO | W 76-72 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 7 | vs LSU | W 82-58 | -5.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARK | L 86-93 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs UNCO | W 101-90 | -25.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | vs DUKE | W 82-81 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 28 | vs WIN | W 87-57 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs OKST | W 102-80 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 6 | @ HOU | L 65-69 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+8.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
−10.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−0.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−10.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
−8.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−26.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
+2.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−15.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
+18.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
−9.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
−14.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
28
vsWIN
WINW 87-57
+12.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTW 102-80
+9.5
6
@HOU
HOUL 65-69
+3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+11.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
+18.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−10.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−22.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
+6.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−11.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
−25.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−4.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
−14.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
+23.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
+38.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
28
vsWIN
WINW 87-57
−19.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTW 102-80
+14.5
6
@HOU
HOUL 65-69
−8.5
over 7under 8avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado
15 games played
Straight up
12-3
80% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +10.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MTST | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 8 | vs EWU | W 102-97 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 14 | vs PROV | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 17 | vs ALST | W 94-66 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCD | W 95-79 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 27 | vs SF | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs WASH | W 81-68 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 1 | vs CBU | W 78-70 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ CSU | L 86-91 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTSA | W 88-64 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs PRST | W 84-73 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs STAN | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 28 | vsUNCO | L 81-86 | -15.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 3 | @ ASU | W 95-89 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | vs UTAH | W 85-73 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
−5.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
−11.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+7.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+1.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
+11.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
+15.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−5.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
−3.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
+1.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
−5.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−11.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
−20.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+7.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
+2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
+13.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
+46.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+21.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+3.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+21.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
−2.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
−2.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−2.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
+27.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
−2.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
+6.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−9.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
+8.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+27.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
−4.5
over 9under 6avg +10.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas Tech
11-4 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Houston65–69
- Wvs Oklahoma St102–80
- Wvs Winthrop87–57
- Wvs Duke82–81
- Wvs N Colorado101–90
4 days since their last game.
Colorado
12-3 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Utah85–73
- W@ Arizona St95–89
- Lvs N Colorado81–86
- Lvs Stanford68–77
- Wvs Portland St84–73
3 days since their last game.