FedExForum · at Memphis
Closing line
MEM -20.5✓ MEM covered by 0.5
MEM -20.5✓ MEM covered by 0.5Closing total151.5Over by 3.5
 ALST | This season | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| 2-8 | Record | 4-7 |
| 5-5 | ATS | 8-3 |
| 4-6 | O/U | 4-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALST 66–85 MEM · ✓ MEM (95%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALST | 33 | 34 | 67 |
| MEM | 42 | 46 | 88 |
1st half: ALST 33, MEM 42 (MEM by 9). The model had MEM by 11.3 and a total of 70.6 (actual 75).
Team stats
| ALST | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-64 36% | Field goals | 32-63 51% |
| 8-29 28% | 3-pointers | 13-30 43% |
| 13-22 59% | Free throws | 11-18 61% |
| 37 19 off | Rebounds | 40 15 off |
| 13 | Assists | 20 |
| 9 | Steals | 13 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| ALST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson G | 37 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-14 | 0-5 |
| Asjon Anderson G | 35 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 4-13 | 3-9 |
| Cameron Palesse G | 24 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Jerquarius Stanback F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| R'Chaun King F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Byrd G | 24 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Damarien Yates F | 23 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Tyler Mason F | 22 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Mario Andrews C | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler Mack, Jordon Marshall, Kevin Alabi, Damarion Bonds, Damion Cox Jr., Trey Miller, JaSteven Walker
| MEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel G | 31 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 8-16 | 7-12 |
| Ashton Hardaway F | 29 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Julius Thedford G | 23 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Thierno Sylla C | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hasan Abdul Hakim G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Curtis Givens III G | 28 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 7-12 | 3-6 |
| Aaron Bradshaw F | 20 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Quante Berry G | 14 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Zach Davis G | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Simon Majok C | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| William Whorton F | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Tariq Ingraham F | 5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Sincere Parker G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Mason Matthews F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Arop Arop F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMEM -20.5
ModelMEM -19.0
Model edgeALST +1.5
L MEM covered
Total
Market151.5
Model150.8
Model edgeUnder 0.7
L Over
Projected score
ALST 65.9 · MEM 84.9
ALST 67 · MEM 88
Win probability
MEM 95%
1st half
Spread
MEM -11.3
MEM -9.0
Total
70.6
75 points
Projected score
ALST 29.7 · MEM 40.9
ALST 33 · MEM 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMEM -18.5
2 → MEM
CloseMEM -20.5
2 pts toward MEM
Total
Open146.5
▲ 5
Close151.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
ALST +1800 · MEM -5000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MEM -18.5 · closed MEM -20.5 · moved 2 toward MEMmodel MEM -19
model MEM -19
Opened 146.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 5 upmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALST | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| MEM | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ALST 0–2 MEMMEM leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · MEM has won the last 2 meetings · ALST 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2023-24 | ALST 75 @ MEM 92 | MEM -28.5 | ALST W |
| Dec 21, 2022-23 | ALST 61 @ MEM 83 | MEM -31.5 | ALST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama St
10 games played
Straight up
2-8
20% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ FSU | L 64-101 | +24.5 | L −12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ UAB | W 77-74 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 17 | @ COLO | L 66-94 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ AF | L 64-66 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs IUIN | W 101-80 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 181.5 | U 181 |
| Nov 23 | vs SIUE | L 68-83 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 26 | @ UNM | L 87-93 | +19.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 7 | @ UTM | L 64-74 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 11 | @ MIZ | L 77-85 | +26.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ CIN | L 51-88 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−12.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
+22.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
−5.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
+0.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
+23.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
−13.5
26
@UNM
UNML 87-93
+13.5
7
@UTM
UTML 64-74
−3.5
11
@MIZ
MIZL 77-85
+18.5
17
@CIN
CINL 51-88
−15.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−1.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
−13.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
+3.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
−8.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
−0.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
+8.5
26
@UNM
UNML 87-93
+31.5
7
@UTM
UTML 64-74
−6.5
11
@MIZ
MIZL 77-85
+6.5
17
@CIN
CINL 51-88
−6.5
over 4under 6avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Memphis
11 games played
Straight up
4-7
36% wins
Against the spread
8-3
73% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −6.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SF | W 76-70 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | @ MISS | L 77-83 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs UNLV | L 78-92 | -9.5 | L −23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PUR | L 71-80 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs WAKE | L 68-69 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs SIU | W 74-58 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | vs NOLA | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | vs BAY | W 78-71 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ LOU | L 73-99 | +16.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 17 | vs VAN | L 70-77 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | @ MSST | L 66-71 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
+3.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 77-83
+3.5
16
vsUNLV
UNLVL 78-92
−23.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 71-80
+5.5
21
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
+1.5
26
vsSIU
SIUW 74-58
+5.5
3
vsNOLA
NOLAW 86-70
+1.5
6
vsBAY
BAYW 78-71
+10.5
13
@LOU
LOUL 73-99
−9.5
17
vsVAN
VANL 70-77
+2.5
20
@MSST
MSSTL 66-71
−1.5
covered 8didn’t cover 3avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
−11.5
11
@MISS
MISSL 77-83
+7.5
16
vsUNLV
UNLVL 78-92
+6.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 71-80
−5.5
21
vsWAKE
WAKEL 68-69
−23.5
26
vsSIU
SIUW 74-58
−24.5
3
vsNOLA
NOLAW 86-70
+6.5
6
vsBAY
BAYW 78-71
−9.5
13
@LOU
LOUL 73-99
+9.5
17
vsVAN
VANL 70-77
−12.5
20
@MSST
MSSTL 66-71
−16.5
over 4under 7avg −6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama St
2-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Cincinnati51–88
- L@ Missouri77–85
- L@ UT Martin64–74
- L@ New Mexico87–93
- Lvs SIUE68–83
5 days since their last game.
Memphis
4-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Mississippi St66–71
- Lvs Vanderbilt70–77
- L@ Louisville73–99
- Wvs Baylor78–71
- Wvs LSU N Orleans86–70
2 days since their last game.